Skip to comments.Can Rick Perry Come Back? (yes)
Posted on 01/04/2012 8:21:41 PM PST by Para-Ord.45
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......."Romney and Santorum (like Gingrich and Obama) both go 4-for-4 on the ethanol lobby's scorecard. Paul goes 2-for-4 because he would cut oil subsidies and allow 15-percent ethanol blends to be sold, but opposes the mandate and other subsidies. Rick Perry went 0-for-4."
After spending an estimated $364 in campaign funds per every vote gained in Iowa yes he could make a comeback, all he has to do is double it and then just stop buying advertising and just simply write checks to the people for their votes.
I bet a lot of people would do it for $100, better than nothing.
And a lot of people got nothing, while a lot of people keep throwing contributions to Perry.
Ha Ha. Happy New Year to you too.
Of course, Romney’s vulnerable. BUT, so long as 3 non-Romneys are in the race, he still wins. Leave aside Ron Paul, who really isn’t a non-Romney, but who pulls @ 15-20% of the vote.
Let’s say Romney’s base is @ 25% and Paul’s is 20%. That leaves 55% to be split among 3 candidates who are acceptable in varying degrees to the vast majority of those Republican voters who don’t want Romney. Who wins? Romney.
The one purpose the IA caucuses serve is to ‘winnow out’ candidates as the process moves on to more meaningful primaries. In the case of the GOP, that’s SC and FL.
Usually there are 3, sometimes 4, ‘tickets out of IA.’ Perry didn’t get one. If his position and Newt’s had been reversed, Newt would have been the one expected to drop out.
I can’t imagine hat ‘way forward’ Perry sees for himself, but he’s now in the position of strengthening Romney.
Worst of all, the longer R’s beat each other up in the primaries, the better it is for vulnerable Obama.
I am ready to forgive him for calling me heartless (or what ever it was) but he is still to tight with La Raza for me...
Newt and Perry finished with 35 difference between them.
At one point it was 2%.
Why should either bow out?
Three non-Romneys vying for 45% of the vote and handing it to Romney isn’t all that complicated.
Romney has his 25% and Paul his 20%. Those voters aren’t going anywhere. Perry, Gingrich and Santorum are after the same voters, with only shades of difference among them. If one of the three doesn’t emerge by FL as THE primary opponent to Romney, it’s virtually over, with Romney as the nominee.
IA is a winnowing process, rather like the NCAA’s Road to the Final Four tournament. One point can make all the difference in whether a team goes on or not. Perry didn’t make the cut. He and his advisors seem not to understand that. Fine. Let him stay in, but if Romney is the GOP nominee because Perry didn’t clear the field when he was in essence eliminated, he will be perceived as a spoiler. Any hope he might have for a future run is down the drain.
Similarly, I’d hope that if Newt doesn’t do well in SC, he’d put the country’s interest ahead of his personal ambition, withdraw, and put everything he has behind Santorum, assuming he’s held his lead.