Skip to comments.Final PPP NH poll: Romney 35, Paul 18, Huntsman 16, Gingrich 12, Santorum 11
Posted on 01/08/2012 8:31:13 PM PST by lilyfreeper
Santorum's so-called surge is all but gone. Huntsman is catching up.
The excitement in New Hampshire on Tuesday night will probably be the battle for second place. There Huntsman has the momentum. His support is up from 12% to 16%, while Paul's has declined from 21% to 18% over the last week and a half. Huntsman's favorability (55/30) is far better than Paul's (43/51) and 13% of voters list Huntsman as their 2nd choice compared to only 5% for Paul.
This is a fake poll for Romney who is now
exposed as a liar, and is collapsing.
Bad Gov. Romney, in another of his hit and runs
managed to even raise taxes on New Hampshire residents
while Gov. of Massachusetts.
Believe it or not.
Yeah, and I have a bridge to sell you.
Who exactly do these pollsters ask?
Well there you have it. Santorum is done, so lets all get behind Huntsman! Time for Santorum, Newt, and Perry to drop out so we can get behind our non-Romney! Huntsman talks so well in the debates. He even spoke Chinese in the last one. He’ll definitely beat Obama in the debates! And that’s really all that matters.
If this is true, I’m embarrassed to live in NH. Blech!
I knew Huntsman would rise. He had a good debate. I just wish he was taking more support from Romney. I am not worried about Santorum as this is NH and he was not going to win NH. His state win will be SC.
This is NH though, not Texas. In a real conservative state, Romney wouldn’t be polling so high consistently.
The Clinton stooge did his job...
New Hampshire; they like that Huntsman “ can’t we all just get along” approach. It won’t fly anywhere else.
Geemineey, if being a dullard, ruse and rascal as is Romney gets you a 60% favorability rating, I would say there is something wrong WITH New Hampshire. Their laugh rating is seriously increasing with each passing hour, yet they want to be taken as impeccable citizen politicos. Bwahahaha!
” New Hampshire, we have a problem. “
Stupid newby, trix are for kids.
Romney in first, then Paul, Huntsman, Gingrich, and finally Santorum.
The words “alternate universe” come to mind.
What was Santorum polling right before the Iowa primary vote? And how does it compare to what the results were?
WOW NH’s move to the left has been swift and sure. The three liberals in the race are killing the conservatives. So tell me why NH is an important primary state for conservatives?
When the (quasi) conservative side can settle on one candidate, with the others willingly throwing their support to that candidate, that’s when Romney will have a daunting challenger. Right now they are spoilers for one another.
Welcome to FR....lol
Pardon me, please, while I run and puke over the railing.... I'm seasick on dry land....
He was at 1 percent all of 2011. :)
Facts are stubborn thing my friend.
You shouldn’t ask such questions!
This is the PPP (Promptly Pushing Progressivism) poll...it gets absolutely no street cred from me,I can tell you that. It’s as credible as a Time Magazine/MSLSD poll. Pfft!!!
It would be unsurprising for Mitt to take the plurality in NH, but I would not expect to see him gain a majority. It would be very funny to have the “nobody” Huntsman nipping at Mitt’s heels like Santorum did in Iowa. Romney is not just liberal, he’s weird liberal.
Paul is declining, and will no a non-factor in South Carolina, which will have less cross-overs, even though it’s technically an open primary. New Hampshire is Huntsman’s best state, because he’s camped out there for about a year, and because of the high number of Obama-supporting cross-overs. But in conservative South Carolina, Huntsman will - like Paul - be a non-factor.
So South Carolina will be a 4-way race between Romney, Perry, Santorum and Gingrich. If Perry would get out the way, I think Gingrich or Santorum could win with 35 - 40%. But with the conservative vote divided 3 ways, Romney unfortunately is the favorite.
since Jan 1,2012
Welcome to FR.
What I don’t understand is why states like Iowa or NH get to go first, thus giving these freak-of-nature states the first say in who is the Republican candidate. They aren’t even reliably conservative. Wouldn’t it make more sense to let Red States go first, so that we don’t have a situation where a liberal who is hated by the vast majority of Republicans gets the nomination through pure money and staying power?
It’s a system that promotes mediocrity and decline. The only real Republican winners have been the ones who are the most conservative. Weaklings like McCain or Romney can’t beat a hard left Obama because they’re as vapid as Obama is. When truth is preached boldly, people are drawn to it.
Romney has a high floor and a low ceiling. Somebody conservative just needs to climb above his ceiling.
Zotty New Year!
No sir, I don't believe it!
Public Policy Polling (PPP) is an American Democratic Party-affiliated polling firm based in Raleigh, North Carolina. PPP was founded in 2001 by businessman and Democratic pollster Dean Debnam, the firm's current president and chief executive officer.
Partnership with Dailykos
Many PPP election polls were commissioned by the liberal website Dailykos, although the company states that most of its revenue comes from other sources.
lilyfreeper has exactly one post, the one to which you replied.
PPP may be a left polling firm but it’s also highly accurate.
Romneybot alert. Why would a newbie pick a handle with “freeper” in it?
Freaks of nature!
I like it.
On to the adult states....lol
Unfortunately this poll is fairly consistent with other recent New Hampshire polls, except for showing a moderate surge for Huntsman and a slight surge for Santorum.
The last bastion of conservatism in the Northeast is rapidly sinking. New Hampshire, we hardly knew you.
Correction: slight surge for Gingrich, not Santorum
"Vote Count Error? Did Rick Santorum Really Win the Iowa Caucuses?
DES MOINES, Iowa - Edward True, 28, of Moulton, said he helped count the votes
and jotted the results down on a piece of paper to post to his Facebook page.
He said when he checked to make sure the Republican Party of Iowa
got the count right, he said he was shocked to find they hadnt.
When Mitt Romney won Iowa by eight votes and Ive got a
20-vote discrepancy here, that right there says Rick Santorum won Iowa, True said. Not Mitt Romney.
"Several UNREPORTED news reports have it that Romney
did not win the Iowa Caucuses.
Barring any objective, verifiable proof that shows more than 12 votes mistakenly
being credited to Santorum, Romney lost."
<< PPP may be a left polling firm but its also highly accurate. >>
Well, if it’s “highly accurate,” then jump your lilybutt onto the bandwagon, but stop insulting everyone here by expecting them to jump onto a bandwagon being steered by liberals. Sheesh.
The Bandwagon effect, also known as social proof or “cromo effect” and closely related to opportunism, is the observation that people often do and believe things because many other people do and believe the same things. The effect is often pejoratively called “herding instinct,” particularly when applied to adolescents. People tend to follow the crowd without examining the merits of a particular thing. The bandwagon effect is the reason for the bandwagon fallacy’s success.
Use in Politics
The bandwagon effect occurs in voting: some people vote for those candidates or parties who are likely to succeed (or are proclaimed as such by the media), hoping to be on the ‘winner’s side’ in the end. The Bandwagon effect has been applied to situations involving majority opinion, such as political outcomes, where people alter their opinions to the majority view (McAllister and Studlar 721). Such a shift in opinion can occur because individuals draw inferences from the decisions of others, as in an informational cascade.
Current RealClearPolitics averages for New Hampshire (not including this PPP poll):
New Hampshire really seems to be a strange bird, even more this year than usual.
Looks like a ranking from Least Conservative to Most Conservative to me...
Gingrich at 12 and Huntsman at 16 ? That seems far fetched.
Paul 20%, Romney 19%, Santorum 18%, Gingrich 14%, Perry 10%
The final results
Romney 24.6%, Santorum 24.5%, Paul 21.4%, Gingrich 13.3% Perry 10.3%
>HOW IN THE HELL CAN YOU CALL ANYONE AS “FRONT RUNNER” UNLESS YOU SIMPLY WANT TO NARRATIVE IT THAT WAY WITH SOME KIND OF ACTIVIST AGENDA SUPERCEDING JOURNALISM?<
Looks like some kind of freaky Name It And Claim It voodoo...
Romney has a bad record — read this.
So according to this poll, NH is either for the lib, the left, or the loon...why even have a NH primary?
Two posts, both pro-Romney.
Here, Kitty, Kitty, Kitty...
Actually, 35% for Romney in New Hampshire is considerably down from his peak. I pray that they collapse even worse by Tuesday.
Now, now, Diogenesis...lol.
It’s Huntsman’s turn to surge. He’s been living in New Hampshire.
The two first states are going to be death of us, because it enforces the false premise that Romney is the most electable.