Second, New Hampshire is a blue state in a blue region of the country, with only 4 electoral votes. Notice the above mentioned pollsters never ask how a primary vote effects their vote.
Third, any pundit who has a candidate is finished is a liar. Santorum was able tie with Romney after being outspent nearly 7:1. Even though the media claims they don't matter. Paul's army of volunteers was able to put him in double digits in Iowa and will make him competitive for some time.
The media will cheerlead for whoever they think will buy the most ads. Most of them will also cheerlead for who they think Obama can beat. We have to use the internet, door to door, radio, and kitchen table discussions to bypass the lying media.
NH is not a blue state. The last election swept Republicans into control of both houses of the legislature. People up here just don't like big-govt. "compassionate" conservatives. There is a bill up which would grant concealed carry rights without a stinking permit. (You won't find that in many "blue" states!") The Demonrat Gov. is opposed, of course, but he will not be around for long.