Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Romney-Christie, Gingrich-Rubio are most likely ticket pairings
Yahoo! ^ | 1/30/12 | David Pennock

Posted on 01/30/2012 9:52:32 AM PST by dead

... who gets the would-be VP nod depends greatly on who is the nominee. As Newt Gingrich's odds of winning have spiked and dissipated twice in the last two months, the market for vice presidential candidates has reacted...

If Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee, my model estimates that he is 25 percent likely to pick Chris Christie as his running mate, a popular moderate governor from New Jersey who himself flirted with running for president before strongly endorsing Romney. (This in spite of the fact that you'd have two Northeasterners on the ticket.) The market puts Christie's overall chance of being the VP of any Republican nominee at only 14 percent, but because his odds tend to rise in tandem with Romney's, my model boosts his chances to 25 percent in the scenario where Romney is the nominee. Rubio is a close second to be Romney's right-hand man at 22 percent. Rubio's VP odds actually drop whenever Romney's go up (they are anti-correlated), but because Rubio's such a likely overall pick, he's still the second-most likely Romney pairing. Rubio so far hasn't endorsed a presidential candidate and has repeatedly said he's not interested in the VP job. No other candidate rises above single digits as Mitt's pick for a-heartbeat-away.

If Gingrich wins the Republican primary, he's most likely, at 30 percent, to pair up with Rubio. Christie virtually falls out of the running for VP at below 5 percent if Gingrich emerges the primary winner. Over the past 90 days, when Gingrich rose in the presidential market, Rubio tended to rise too and Christie tended to fall in the vice presidential market...

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-62 next last

1 posted on 01/30/2012 9:52:35 AM PST by dead
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: dead

Rubio would face the NBC issue.


2 posted on 01/30/2012 9:53:59 AM PST by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Gingrich/West mo’ better.


3 posted on 01/30/2012 9:55:00 AM PST by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Gingrich-Rubio?i don’t think so.


4 posted on 01/30/2012 9:55:05 AM PST by Cyman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Gingrich/Perry


5 posted on 01/30/2012 9:55:23 AM PST by Sacajaweau
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Romney-Christie? REALLY?

Count me out....TWICE! No way I want to set up RINO x 16 years...

I’ll take ZERO for 4 if that is the choice.


6 posted on 01/30/2012 9:55:44 AM PST by rightwingextremist1776
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Gingrich-Cain

Good men, and it would drive the MSM & race-baiters crazy.


7 posted on 01/30/2012 9:56:26 AM PST by BwanaNdege (Man has often lost his way, but modern man has lost his address - Gilbert K. Chesterton)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

That would be incredibly stupid. It would make Romney stupider than McCain, which is saying something. I mean, EVEN MC CAIN knew he needed something to fire up the GOP base, and he/they chose brilliantly. Would Romney really be so stupid as to pick someone perceived as moderate on “red-meat” issues to GOPers? I know a lot of folks here hate him, but would he really be that tone-deaf, does he really not know that it’s the conservative base that’s ambivalent (at best) about him?


8 posted on 01/30/2012 9:56:41 AM PST by BibChr ("...behold, they have rejected the word of the LORD, so what wisdom is in them?" [Jer. 8:9])
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Agatha Christie! Yeah!

Oh, she’s dead.


9 posted on 01/30/2012 9:57:15 AM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Sometimes progressives find their scripture in the penumbra of sacred bathroom stall writings (Tzar))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: skeeter

“Gingrich/West mo’ better.”

I like, also.


10 posted on 01/30/2012 9:57:51 AM PST by BwanaNdege (Man has often lost his way, but modern man has lost his address - Gilbert K. Chesterton)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: dead

I will vote for the nominee, but I sure don’t favor anyone running with Christie. And if anyone runs with him, it should be Newt.

Romney running with a Northeast moderate is the last thing that should be done.

Whoever runs should beg Rubio to join them.


11 posted on 01/30/2012 9:59:14 AM PST by Williams (Honey Badger Don't Care)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BibChr

“That would be incredibly stupid.”

Milt is both stupid and arrogant, the worst combination to be.

I suspect he would proudly pick Christie.


12 posted on 01/30/2012 10:00:48 AM PST by GOPsterinMA (Farewell sweet Rick, we barely knew ye...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Sacajaweau

I agree, Newt/ Perry


13 posted on 01/30/2012 10:01:17 AM PST by Beagle8U (Free Republic -- One stop shopping ....... It's the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Sacajaweau

I like that a lot. With all respect, Marco Rubio is not yet experienced, and hasn’t been vetted. You gotta love the guy after hearing him speak, but hold on - why does that sound familiar?? He’s young, let him serve out his Senate term and then maybe.

Perry would bring stability, executive experience, strong financial support from a very large and influential state, a successful economic growth template, and is a solid Conservative. He’s not an elitist, has a great military record, and is not a Washington insider.


14 posted on 01/30/2012 10:01:35 AM PST by bigbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: grumpygresh
-"Rubio would face the NBC issue. It won't be by Democrats. So by whom?
15 posted on 01/30/2012 10:02:25 AM PST by LibFreeUSA (Pick Your Poison)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: dead

Can I write in Nixon???? Seriously, this is the best Republicans have to offer???


16 posted on 01/30/2012 10:03:34 AM PST by Moleman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grumpygresh
Good.

It might finally settle it that a U.S. citizen at birth is a natural born citizen - as opposed to a “natural-IZED” citizen - and that these are the only two types of citizenship (other than those citizens of colonial America that were “grandfathered” in) the Constitution mentions or envisions.

17 posted on 01/30/2012 10:04:01 AM PST by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: dead
Don't agree. The only way this happens is if Obama's negative approval ratings are approaching -30 territory.

Successful presidential tickets require idealogical as well as geographical balance to make it over the finish line.

These pairings do neither. Gingrich/Christie or Romney/Rubio are far more likely pairings.

18 posted on 01/30/2012 10:04:01 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Rubio is too smart to be wasted as a VP pick.


19 posted on 01/30/2012 10:04:16 AM PST by LibFreeUSA (Pick Your Poison)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: HiTech RedNeck
Agatha Christie! Yeah! Oh, she’s dead.

She'll still vote Democrat.

20 posted on 01/30/2012 10:04:35 AM PST by Old Sarge (RIP FReeper Skyraider (1930-2011) - You Are Missed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: dead

Is Rubio qualified in accordance with Article II, Section 1 of the US Constitution?

If not, oh well...


21 posted on 01/30/2012 10:06:31 AM PST by Old Sarge (RIP FReeper Skyraider (1930-2011) - You Are Missed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: skeeter

That’s the ticket I will be hopeful for.


22 posted on 01/30/2012 10:06:54 AM PST by Kickass Conservative (Liberals, Useful Idiots Voting for Useless Idiots...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: grumpygresh
Rubio would face the NBC issue.

Yes, by a handful of birthers stomping their feet while the rest of the country ignores them.

23 posted on 01/30/2012 10:06:59 AM PST by Drew68
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: grumpygresh

That’s right.

Chestur Arthur, Obama and Rubio all had at least one parent who was not a citzen at the time of their birth..
Anyone who is saying that Obama can’t run for President must admit that neither can Rubio.

You can’t pick and choose.


24 posted on 01/30/2012 10:07:31 AM PST by RummyChick (It's a Satan Sandwich with Satan Fries on the side - perfect for Obama 666)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: dead

Strange model.

Two Northeastern moderates? No.

I think Rubio’s a Romney guy like pretty much the rest of the Florida Republican establishment. Don’t think he’d accept the nom from Gingrich.

Newt would probably pick Ron Paul as his running mate.


25 posted on 01/30/2012 10:08:07 AM PST by GatorGirl (ABO)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Old Sarge
Is Rubio qualified in accordance with Article II, Section 1 of the US Constitution?

Yes, Marco Rubio is qualified in accordance with Article II, Section 1 of the US Constitution.

Is Rubio qualified in accordance with made-up birther nonsense? Who cares...

26 posted on 01/30/2012 10:09:52 AM PST by Drew68
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: dead
I think Romney would pick Christie, despite all the negatives regarding geographical and ideological balance.

The main reason for would be to serve as his pit bull. Christie really is great at clearly, bluntly, and logically putting the media and other liberals in their place. Romney's an oily douche and has no such ability. He just sound whiney and apologetic whenever anybody challenges him on an issue.

Also, the NYTimes and such would briefly praise the selection, which is always paramount in the minds of Romney/McCain types.

Of course, all the muted approval of the media will disappear like a twenty on a three card monte box, once the general election gets underway.

Romney/Christie will be beaten like a Singaporean gum chewer.

27 posted on 01/30/2012 10:16:30 AM PST by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Obama/Romney would be unstoppable.

Gingrich/ANY solid fearless rational Midwestern or Southern conservative.


28 posted on 01/30/2012 10:17:25 AM PST by Leep (It's gonna be a Newt day!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Flopney/Crisco ..LOL! Let the establishment try to shove that down our throats.


29 posted on 01/30/2012 10:18:47 AM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Huck 2012 with Cain, Palin, Santorum, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in Newt's Cabinet)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Drew68
Yes, Marco Rubio is qualified in accordance with Article II, Section 1 of the US Constitution.

Please link me to your proof.

30 posted on 01/30/2012 10:20:19 AM PST by Old Sarge (RIP FReeper Skyraider (1930-2011) - You Are Missed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: dead
Isn't there a possibility that either of them will pick a real conservative?

Christie or Rubio? Yech!

31 posted on 01/30/2012 10:23:05 AM PST by Prokopton
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Gingrich/West!!!


32 posted on 01/30/2012 10:24:13 AM PST by georgiagirl_pam (Step One: SECURE YOUR DOOR! (it will give you time to get your gun!) mysafedoor.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: skeeter

My pick too!


33 posted on 01/30/2012 10:25:55 AM PST by FES0844
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: dead

The interesting thing here is that Christie is temperamentally more like GINGRICH in his combative public persona than anyone else Romney could pick or would be likely to pick as Veep choice.
Don’t wanna be, uh, “cynical”, but if that will be the choice
it will be done with the full knowledge of both Romney and Christie that their perceived images would be of use and highly exploitable to one another. Romney gets to be associated with someone who is a relentless,confront the unions, let’s -get- it- done type (which runs totally counter to the Romney image),
and Christie is sanitized and softened by the much more
“moderate” Romney, who is now and forever seen as the more “electable” choice between him and Gingrich.
It would be an unusual choice for Veep, since Veeps are usually a little safer at the outset, though it’s always been clear that Veep now could mean President 4 years from now.
I can’t see Gingrich’s choice being Rubio, which would be seen as a naked act of pandering,regardless of how sincerely
the choice might be made.
Rubio is on record in the pages of Sunday’s (2 days ago) NYTimes Magazine
as saying he’s not interested in the job and wants to serve Florida.
My choice for Gingrich would be Perry, who is as principled as Gingrich, but fits nicely into the “safer” template because of his more genial image, and , let’s face it, his lack of ability as a debater/communicator compared to Gingrich.


34 posted on 01/30/2012 10:25:58 AM PST by supremedoctrine
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead
More nutburgers promoting the idea of putting someone not eligible to hold the office on the ticket.

No thanks, these brain dead articles are getting old.

35 posted on 01/30/2012 10:32:09 AM PST by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sacajaweau
Gingrich/Perry

A good combo. But it won't happen.

Often the reason to pick a running mate is to draw in more voters. McCain was so far to the left that he had to pick a conservative. Other than that example, the VP slot is typically filled to bring in the votes from an important state. Since Texas is a sure thing for the GOP, I wouldn't expect Perry. A secondary consideration is age...a younger candidate will still be a viable choice in 8 years.

Gingrich/Santorum (PA) or Gingrich/Kasich (OH) or even Gingrich/West (FL) would be more likely.

36 posted on 01/30/2012 10:32:12 AM PST by kidd
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: dead

I fail to see how Christie is going to help Romney’s campaign. It would be a finger in the eye of conservatives, and Romney doesn’t have enough money to beat Obama without the conservative base. Rubio, however, is an excellent choice for Newt.


37 posted on 01/30/2012 10:32:15 AM PST by pallis
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Williams
Whoever runs should beg Rubio to join them.

So they can be caught up in the Obama collapse?

That would be damned stupid. Rubio is not eligible to hold the office.

38 posted on 01/30/2012 10:35:39 AM PST by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: HiTech RedNeck

“Agatha Christie! Yeah!

Oh, she’s dead.”

No, Julie Christie.

Oh wait, she’s British ... like Obama.


39 posted on 01/30/2012 10:36:57 AM PST by maggief
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: dead

If Romney wins the nomination, his pick for a running mate will not matter.... Obama will win, period.

As for Newt, I can’t say why, but I am uncomfortable with Rubio.

I like a Newt/West ticket. I am not sure that this would be a strong choice in terms of political advantage, but absent a better choice at this point in time, I like it. I couldn’t care less about how many Black votes that West might bring, because I consider 95% of them racist and dumber than a box of rocks. West is a good man, a real leader, a true patriot, a heroic man and a man with solid principles.

Having said that, I just want Newt to pick a conservative running mate that would enhance his chance of winning and help him turn this country around.


40 posted on 01/30/2012 10:37:47 AM PST by Gator113 (~Just livin' life, my way~..... GO NEWT GO--itÂ’s about the survival of our country!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dead

Gingrich - Rubio?

Really? I don’t see that one at all.

I think he’d pick Palin.


41 posted on 01/30/2012 10:38:45 AM PST by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Old Sarge
Yes, Marco Rubio is qualified in accordance with Article II, Section 1 of the US Constitution.

Please link me to your proof.

Obama has proven that Article II Section 1 is trumped by Affirmative Action.

Rubio is a minority therefore invoke the Obama rule.

But he is a Republican so maybe that's a double trump card.

But it is ironic that rubio means blonde in Spanish isn't it?

42 posted on 01/30/2012 10:39:15 AM PST by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: bigbob
Marco Rubio is not yet experienced, and hasn’t been vetted.

The Republican frenzy for Rubio shows how much they believe in affirmative action and identity politics.....and how unprincipled they really are.

43 posted on 01/30/2012 10:42:55 AM PST by SlargTarg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: dead

Neither Christie nor Rubio are “natural born citizens” as required by the Constitution. Both parents were not citizens at the time of birth.


44 posted on 01/30/2012 10:45:25 AM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Old Sarge
Please link me to your proof.

Let's see. Born in Miami? Check.
Over 35-years old? Check.

This whole "two citizen parent" nonsense is nothing more than a device birthers embraced to be a standard of eligibility that Obama could not possibly meet once the whole "born in Kenya" stupidity fell apart. Unfortunately for birthers, in their efforts to be consistent (and consistently wrong) they've been forced to apply their nonsense to good conservatives like Senator Rubio. Fortunately for Marco Rubio, nobody outside of the birther conspiracy circus is buying it.

45 posted on 01/30/2012 10:45:50 AM PST by Drew68
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: dead

Rubio would not be a good choice as his eligiblity is in question and the lawsuits would start flying. We don’t need that kind of chaos in the GOP this election year. Just put Allen West on the ticket and move on.


46 posted on 01/30/2012 10:47:32 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: skeeter

agreed


47 posted on 01/30/2012 10:49:04 AM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: kidd

I agree Gingerich/Santorum is a good possibility.


48 posted on 01/30/2012 10:50:33 AM PST by jdsteel (Give me freedom, not more government.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: Williams

I agree that Romney/Christie makes no sense. Two Northeastern liberal governors? No balance in geography, ideology, or experience.

Romney should remember that, although McCain lost, his pick of Palin was a major boost to the ticket (and McCain/Palin were leading the polls at the start of the general election campaign). Romney should pick a solid conservative who hails from another region and who has Washington experience (a Pence or DeMint type). Exception: He could go with Santorum, fitting two of the three criteria and helping to deliver Pennsylvania, a big swing state.

Unfortunately, these same criteria of balance suggest that, if Gingrich wins, he’ll be pressured to pick a RINO. As you say, Gingrich/Christie would be a more likely ticket than Gingrich/Rubio.


49 posted on 01/30/2012 10:54:04 AM PST by Eagle Forgotten
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: kidd
IIRC, Gingrich is a Penn boy. Very, very unlikely that Obama will win Florida and Kasich is an unknown.

I think Perry will fit Newt...just right!! Both are visionary and doers.

50 posted on 01/30/2012 10:54:29 AM PST by Sacajaweau
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-62 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson