Electable?!
Posted on 02/01/2012 6:47:09 AM PST by montag813
I just heard Newt’s speech after Florida and I have come to realize that Newt is going to win the GOP nomination and be the next president.
I understand that most people think that Romney is most likely, but I do not agree. First, Romney has never shown the ability to get the majority of the votes in any primary. Second, Romney’s win in Florida took place with no actual consideration of Romney’s record or ideas — Romney’s entire campaign was based on the idea that Romney is the only person who can beat Obama. His whole campaign in FL was on attacking Newt. Third, the voting numbers showed Gingrich did very well in the Fl. panhandle, which votes like southern states. This suggests that Gingrich will likely sweep the South.
Gingrich’s problems in FL were easy to fix. Gingrich got off message. Gingrich froze in the face of shock and awe from Romney’s attacks. Finally, Gingrich faced the one state that only Romney had a strong campaign organization in. The fact of the matter is that Romney had to compete in Iowa with almost everyone and lost. Romney had to compete in NH with Huntsman and won. Romney had to compete in SC with Santorum, Perry, and Gingrich and lost. FL was always too big for anyone but Romney to have a strong organization and ad campaign in. Gingrich had the momentum, but Romney had a uniquely large organization advantage for FL.
In future states Romney will continue to have an organization advantage, especially through Super Tuesday, but as the primary goes on, Romney’s advantage will drop as (1) later states even out since Romney is running a campaign like Clinton did in 2008 and his organization is strongest early, (2) as the race goes on voters will develop more solid opinions and organization will mater less, and (3) Gingrich will emerge as the alternative to Romney and will be better organized as people realize he is the only hope for conservatives in this race.
In terms of campaign focus, Gingrich is now developing a new contract with America and I expect he will use that to stay on message and contrast himself with Romney. Gingrich held a vote on all items he promised to and did what he could to pass them for the original contract. That was a promise kept for him. He will have credibility for his new contract and this will contrast him with Romney who cannot be trusted and is not conservative.
In terms of Romney’s shock and awe attacks, it is hard to see Romney get much worse. Romney’s negatives have already shot up, and it is almost impossible to think of what worse things Romney can attack Gingrich for. Romney already used several lines of attack have had blow back, and if he picked those as ‘go,’ it is hard to think he has anything left to fire with. The Romney smear campaign will need to let-up at some time or Romney will completely implode. How long can a campaign be 99.9% negative?
What it comes down to is that Gingrich is a real candidate, and Romney is a pretender. Gingrich has real conservative ideas to fix the problems we are in. Romney has talking points.
“Did Mittens call and give Newt a courtesy call when he won SC ?
I dont remember seeing it posted anywhere or hearing about it.
“
All I saw after SC was Romney pouting like a petulant child; he is a pathetically poor loser. Yet Newt is supposed to kiss his rear end? Forget that.
I agree, Santorum is done, but I sure wish someone would give HIM the news.
Newt supporters remind me of the hysterical paranoid people who believed that Y2K was going to bring society to it’s knees on Jan 1st. Look, Mittens isn’t a good candidate but he’s far better than Newt and is much more electable.
And, although my verdict is still out on Newt’s specific space plan, let’s take just one nanosecond to recall the benefits the entire world received from the US Space Program from the 60’s through the early 2000’s before it was turned into a Muslim Outreach Program ..... and contrast those benefits to those of OB’s bailout programs. Which method of spending money do YOU believe benefited the US and ALL Mankind more??????
Newt is the “true conservative.” His ACU rating is higher than your Santorum’s, who's actually just another NorthEastern pro-life Republican, who lost his last election in 2006 by a landslide to a pro-life democrat. There's no guarantee he can even carry his home state of PA in 2012!
You think he's squeaky clean. He's piling on Newt with attack ads in Nevada and Colorado. Why no attack ads against the front runner Romney? Hmmm?
Santorum was the beneficiary of Romney's scorched earth in Iowa against Gingrich, when Gingrich was the happy, positive warrior with all the solutions and running away with the nomination. Romney couldn't have that! He's been running for the presidency for 6 years!
But for the quirky Iowa caucus, Santorum would n’t be in this race and he's still running a vanity to split the vote. Romney's VP? Certainly not Newt Gingrich's! He'll choose a “bonafide Conservative warrior.”
“That’s right, the American people don’t like Newt, and most conservatives don’t trust him either. Obama may be stronger than we thought four months ago. People do like their incumbents, for it validates their lack of knowledge”
Are you serious??????? What rock are you hiding under?
SORRRRRYYYY!!!!!!!!!!!
That post was supposed to go to VRUSADER not YOU!!!! 8-((
Electable?!
Mittens better than Newt Gingrich!
Tick tock!
“hardly sounds like shilling to me. sounds like she’s just stating what she perceives to be the pragmatic truth of the situation. sounds like she’s speaking through some spit-up in her mouth actually, like this prospect gags her, but she sees it as reality.”
Are you sure it gags her? This forum is where I read about her and Ann Coulter giggling it up like teenagers about how “handsome” that bloated-faced, baggy-eyed, greasy-haired Willard is.
These anti-Newt weasels think it’s all right to bash Newt after Florida?
Tick tock!
‘And, although my verdict is still out on Newt’s specific space plan, let’s take just one nanosecond to recall the benefits the entire world received from the US Space Program from the 60’s through the early 2000’s before it was turned into a Muslim Outreach Program ..... and contrast those benefits to those of OB’s bailout programs. Which method of spending money do YOU believe benefited the US and ALL Mankind more??????”
Folks, Newt stated clearly last week that he intends for 90% of the funding for his space venture to come from the PRIVATE SECTOR. He isn’t advocating some big push on public spending! He said he believes there are plenty of billionaires and millionaires who would like to get in on space exploration. I think he’s right; look at Richard Branson of Virgin Airlines.
Get out of our house, troll.
OMG and Newt is God’s gift to women??? if you are going to vote based on looks, NEWT IS NOT YOUR MAN, good grief. it is beyond ludicrous to sit here and rag on people for what they perceive as the best shot at besting Obama, based on their own personal calculations which may or may not gibe with your own. we need to STOP railing on one another over who is more conservative/authentic etc, because you sure as heck aren’t persuading anyone to your way of thinking by doing so.
i personally heard Laura being over the top supportive for Newt the past few weeks. To TODAY refer to her as a shill for Romney based on yesterday’s result is ridiculous.
What kind of call? I’ve never heard of a “curtesy” call? Can you explain that please so we can be sure we give it proper consideration?
The press is telling them it’s all over and they’re buying it. With 46 states left to go.
lol. Troll? Seriously? I’ve been here a long long time. So you want to kick out everyone who isn’t a Newt supporter? Talk about shooting yourself in the foot.
Then those people are too dumb to be FReepers.
Come August Mitt Romney will likely be back in Tampa to rally GOP supporters and skeptics. Even after all this acrimony, by then they will be united in a singular goal: defeating President Obama. And that’s what the tea party wants, right?
Yes, Laura, the Tea Party does want to defeat Obama. But it's not because he's "Obama." It's because he's a gun-grabbing, pro-abortion, pro-homosexualist, statism-loving socialist! That's why!
So to defeat this, are you really suggesting that the Tea Party embrace another gun-grabbing, pro-abortion, pro-homosexualist, statism-loving socialist?
Seriously, is this what the GOP Elite is pushing?
If it is, the GOP Elite can shove it!
Krauthammer said (to Hannity) that Newt’s speech last night was better than either Romney’s, Santorum’s or Paul’s. bttt
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