Skip to comments.Gallup state numbers predict huge Obama loss
Posted on 02/01/2012 10:09:13 AM PST by Para-Ord.45
Gallup released their annual state-by-state presidential approval numbers yesterday, and the results should have 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue very worried. If President Obama carries only those states where he had a net positive approval rating in 2011 (e.g. Michigan where he is up 48 percent to 44 percent), Obama would lose the 2012 election to the Republican nominee 323 electoral votes to 215.
Overall, Obama averaged 44% job approval in his third year in office, down from 47% in his second year. His approval rating declined from 2010 to 2011 in most states, with Wyoming, Connecticut, and Maine showing a marginal increase, and Massachusetts, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Jersey, Arizona, West Virginia, Michigan, and Georgia showing declines of less than a full percentage point. The greatest declines were in Hawaii, South Dakota, Nebraska, and New Mexico.
The race hasn`t even started. Once the dominant media eviscerates Romney we`ll revisit these numbers.
This is merely a periscope of voter opinion - today.
It is simply too early to have any significance.
I think Obama is likely to lose unless his approval numbers rise, and that won’t happen unless there is marked improvement in the economy.
Incumbent elections are usually about the incumbent, provided that the challenger isn’t wholly unfit for office.
That is why it is important that Romney NOT be the nominee.
What would you really expect with a Halfrican Muslim who’s been to a Christian church (while in office - don’t count Reverend Wright’s White Hatred Church) maybe three times?
This man hates our country; he wants to destroy it so he can remake it in his own image. So his beard wife can take luxious foreign vacations with all her gal-pals and garb herself in the latest designer circus tents from Vogue, EnFacion or whatever. So he can rule you and control your lives and show you how you as a white Christian are evil and need to be punished.
Just wait until Obama saturates the airwaves with the “I don’t care about poor people” ads against Romney.
Romney ran ads 65:1 against Newt to win FL. He won’t be able to o that against Obama.
Looks good so far but still close enough for the ‘rats to steal.
I’d give Zero Oregon and PA. Even Colorado.
He still loses big.
Obama wins nothing south of Maryland.
If Myth is the nominee, 0bama will win by a margin that will make ‘08 look like ‘00.
If Romney does win (assuming he is the nominee, I hope he wins by such a slim margin that the establishment KNOWS it can't afford to dismiss conservatives.
Gallup left out the other 7 states...:-)
I’m surprised about Oregon - that would be a shock. I’m not surprised about New Hampshire - anyone who lives here knows that Obama is widely reviled everywhere except for the college towns and in the gummint union capital of Concord.
I question his winning Wisconsin.
Fellow NH wingnut.
Soros has already prepared us with his public announcement that Romney would be the same as purple lipped prince...that except for the crowd around them, they would be the same. He has given up on zero...look for something to happen that takes zero out of the race and Hillary will be on the pedestal.
All 45%+ going to Bambi, plus OR, NM, NV, CO and 1 from NE.
The rest going to GOP, including VA, NC, FL, OH, IN, and NH, all which went Obama in 2008.
I just don't see Oregon going GOP, despite the poll numbers. New Mexico or Nevada could. They would put the GOP over the top.
way too early to tell not to mention optimistic
still would be real nice if it came to pass though wouldnt it :)
Obama starting at a disadvantage is good. Gas prices are predicted to go up this year—more than last year. That won’t help him.
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