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Gallup state numbers predict huge Obama loss
http://campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com ^ | February 1, 2012 | Conn Carroll

Posted on 02/01/2012 10:09:13 AM PST by Para-Ord.45

Gallup released their annual state-by-state presidential approval numbers yesterday, and the results should have 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue very worried. If President Obama carries only those states where he had a net positive approval rating in 2011 (e.g. Michigan where he is up 48 percent to 44 percent), Obama would lose the 2012 election to the Republican nominee 323 electoral votes to 215.

Gallup ads:

Overall, Obama averaged 44% job approval in his third year in office, down from 47% in his second year. His approval rating declined from 2010 to 2011 in most states, with Wyoming, Connecticut, and Maine showing a marginal increase, and Massachusetts, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Jersey, Arizona, West Virginia, Michigan, and Georgia showing declines of less than a full percentage point. The greatest declines were in Hawaii, South Dakota, Nebraska, and New Mexico.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; bho2012; bhojobapproval; elections; sourcetitlenoturl
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Too early to tell.

The race hasn`t even started. Once the dominant media eviscerates Romney we`ll revisit these numbers.

1 posted on 02/01/2012 10:09:14 AM PST by Para-Ord.45
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To: Para-Ord.45

This is merely a periscope of voter opinion - today.

It is simply too early to have any significance.


2 posted on 02/01/2012 10:14:25 AM PST by RexBeach
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To: Para-Ord.45

3 posted on 02/01/2012 10:16:36 AM PST by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else (Maybe Tim Thomas))
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To: Para-Ord.45

I think Obama is likely to lose unless his approval numbers rise, and that won’t happen unless there is marked improvement in the economy.

Incumbent elections are usually about the incumbent, provided that the challenger isn’t wholly unfit for office.

That is why it is important that Romney NOT be the nominee.


4 posted on 02/01/2012 10:18:53 AM PST by Retired Greyhound (.)
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To: Para-Ord.45

What would you really expect with a Halfrican Muslim who’s been to a Christian church (while in office - don’t count Reverend Wright’s White Hatred Church) maybe three times?

This man hates our country; he wants to destroy it so he can remake it in his own image. So his beard wife can take luxious foreign vacations with all her gal-pals and garb herself in the latest designer circus tents from Vogue, EnFacion or whatever. So he can rule you and control your lives and show you how you as a white Christian are evil and need to be punished.


5 posted on 02/01/2012 10:19:12 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: All

b


6 posted on 02/01/2012 10:21:03 AM PST by Maverick68
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To: Para-Ord.45

Just wait until Obama saturates the airwaves with the “I don’t care about poor people” ads against Romney.

Romney ran ads 65:1 against Newt to win FL. He won’t be able to o that against Obama.


7 posted on 02/01/2012 10:21:27 AM PST by KansasGirl
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To: Para-Ord.45

Looks good so far but still close enough for the ‘rats to steal.


8 posted on 02/01/2012 10:22:44 AM PST by Chi-townChief
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To: Para-Ord.45

I’d give Zero Oregon and PA. Even Colorado.

He still loses big.

Obama wins nothing south of Maryland.


9 posted on 02/01/2012 10:23:27 AM PST by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else (Maybe Tim Thomas))
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To: Para-Ord.45

If Myth is the nominee, 0bama will win by a margin that will make ‘08 look like ‘00.


10 posted on 02/01/2012 10:25:20 AM PST by Lou Budvis (Not Romney. Not Now. Not in November.)
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To: nhwingut
That's why I call Barbara Streisand on this. I live in Oregon and this state is bat crap crazy and will NEVER throw their Messiah overboard. You can take that to the bank!
11 posted on 02/01/2012 10:31:29 AM PST by Anti-Hillary (No Jesus, No Peace! Know Jesus, Know Peace!)
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To: Para-Ord.45
I almost cringe at the thought of Romney winning a Reagan/Mondale size victory as much as I do Obama winning one. It would confirm everything the Republican Establishment thinks. I.E. They don't need conservatives. They only need to appeal to "the center" to win. Moderate is the only way to go. And they would be so firmly back in charge of the party that any candidate to the right of Romney would be stamped down for the next decade. Get ready for a party ruled by the likes of Meghan McCain and Charlie Crist...

If Romney does win (assuming he is the nominee, I hope he wins by such a slim margin that the establishment KNOWS it can't afford to dismiss conservatives.

12 posted on 02/01/2012 10:31:38 AM PST by apillar
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To: Gaffer
LOL!...love writing style, keep it up! :-D

13 posted on 02/01/2012 10:32:54 AM PST by skinkinthegrass (Kill the terrorists, Protect all the borders, Laugh @ the (remaining) Liberals :^)
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To: Para-Ord.45

Gallup left out the other 7 states...:-)


14 posted on 02/01/2012 10:37:18 AM PST by stockpirate (Romney, Ann Coulter & our ruling republican SOCIALISTelites, are Big Government socialists,)
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To: nhwingut

I’m surprised about Oregon - that would be a shock. I’m not surprised about New Hampshire - anyone who lives here knows that Obama is widely reviled everywhere except for the college towns and in the gummint union capital of Concord.


15 posted on 02/01/2012 10:38:25 AM PST by andy58-in-nh (America does not need to be organized: it needs to be liberated.)
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To: nhwingut

I question his winning Wisconsin.

Fellow NH wingnut.


16 posted on 02/01/2012 10:42:07 AM PST by AlmaKing
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To: Para-Ord.45

Soros has already prepared us with his public announcement that Romney would be the same as purple lipped prince...that except for the crowd around them, they would be the same. He has given up on zero...look for something to happen that takes zero out of the race and Hillary will be on the pedestal.


17 posted on 02/01/2012 10:42:42 AM PST by IrishPennant (Did Adam and Eve have belly-buttons? I'm jes' askin'...)
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To: Para-Ord.45
I actually came up with a plausible 269-269 tie scenario.

All 45%+ going to Bambi, plus OR, NM, NV, CO and 1 from NE.

The rest going to GOP, including VA, NC, FL, OH, IN, and NH, all which went Obama in 2008.

I just don't see Oregon going GOP, despite the poll numbers. New Mexico or Nevada could. They would put the GOP over the top.

18 posted on 02/01/2012 10:47:29 AM PST by Tatze (I reject your reality and substitute my own!)
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To: Para-Ord.45

way too early to tell not to mention optimistic
still would be real nice if it came to pass though wouldnt it :)


19 posted on 02/01/2012 10:55:06 AM PST by DM1
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To: Para-Ord.45

Obama starting at a disadvantage is good. Gas prices are predicted to go up this year—more than last year. That won’t help him.


20 posted on 02/01/2012 11:03:02 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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