Time to check on the preps.
Seems plausible but I would guess it would take longer than 1-2 years after the first crude device to get something small enough for a missile warhead.
Please, with all the help they are getting from Russia, China and North Korea they don’t HAVE to create a warhead, one is just given to them.
The Iranians are only stock-piling at 20% enrichment, weapons grade is beyond that.
Over and over again, some official, usually Israeli, tries to scare the world with Iranian nuke possibilities. Yes the Iranians could do this and that, yadda yadda.
They have not decided to go beyond 20%, doing so causes emissions that we can detect.
The stock-pile grows, that if further enriched to 90%+, could fuel about 2 bombs a year and they have enough 20% for one right now.
They aren’t building bombs yet, but they will and we will know when they go past 20%. And there will be another “crisis”.
Then Iran will build a bomb, and we won’t know until they light it off, and there will be another “crisis”.
And another “crisis”, hand-ringing, I-told-you-so’s from the Israelis, on and on.
The Iranians are crazy, but they are not stupid. Using a nuke to attack someone gets their mullahs and Republican Guards exterminated. They know this.
Iraq and Afghanistan on Iran’s borders now have new governments courtesy of America. Iran had a ring-side seat, they were paying attention.
Their purpose is to aggravate Israeli and American leaders so that Iran can claim Muslim leadership. Next Iran will sell nukes worldwide to further that leadership.
Containment, containment, containment. Israel is not going to attack them and Israel is not going to goad us into doing so.
If youd like to be on or off, please FR mail me.
They have been actively working on this since the mid-1980s, if not before, IIRC. Funny thing is, the 2000s, it always seems to be just around the corner (6 months, a year, two years). Ironically, I wonder if the Revolution has led to many of the problems in development of a bomb- estrangement from the international community, exodus of learned Iranians etc.