Skip to comments.G.O.P. Race Has Hallmarks of Prolonged Battle (Buh bye, inevitability)
Posted on 02/08/2012 5:12:12 AM PST by RoosterRedux
Whatever your perspective on how likely Mitt Romney was to lose the Republican nomination race prior to Tuesday evening, it should be acknowledged that he had about the worst results conceivable.
In Minnesota, a state which Mr. Romney carried easily in 2008, he has so far failed to win a single county and got just 17 percent of the vote. That put him 27 points behind Rick Santorum, and 10 points behind Ron Paul, who finished in second.
Missouri is a less important result since its beauty contest primary did not count for delegate selection and since turnout was understandably low there. But Mr. Romney lost all 114 counties in Missouri and the state as a whole by 30 points, far more than polls projected.
Then there was Colorado, a state that has reasonably similar demographics to Nevada, which Mr. Romney carried easily on Saturday. Colorado has somewhat fewer Mormon voters than Nevada, which hurts Mr. Romney but it has somewhat more wealthy ones, which favors him. The betting market Intrade gave Mr. Romney about a 97 percent chance of winning Colorado entering the evening. But he lost the state by 5 points to Mr. Santorum.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...
Question:How long until we see a Romney ad calling Santorum “extreme?”
I am more concerned with getting rid of the red guy than either the green or blue guy. And this says loud and clear “Mitt, we don’t want’cha! Go back to Massachusetts!”
Or having a +42 point advantage in Colorado diminished to a -5 loss.
Not to mention all the money Romney spent in each of the three states.
The original idea of the Romney campaign was simply to discourage regular Republicans (that is, Conservatives) by showing overwhelming power in New Hampshire, then Florida and then Nevada.
We did not panic, and now we have Santorum not only pulling up strong but he swept the field yesterday with 50%+ vote totals ~ something almost unheard of even at the county level in this contest.
Gingrich' ploy is to simply pull the South (exclusive of Florida) which will give him some serious working capital in a deadlocked convention!
At the moment he and Santorum have legal residence somewhere near me ~ in Fairfax County VA, so they can't run together.
Somebody will need to move soon!
The more people see of Romney, the less they like him .... when he shows yet again his nasty ‘cornered rat’ demeanor in attacks on Santorum, folks won’t like what they see .... big time.
You are a pessimist.
enough of the Bill Chrystal, Chas. Krauthammer, Ted Baxter, Bret Beahr, Toyko Rove, Ann Colter, Sean Wannabe, Dana Parino et. al. Romney cheerleading squad
It's time for some honesty - the rank and file don't want mittens and don't want to be TOLD he's the chosen one
LOL, so much for intrade.........
I heard Santorum on the radio yesterday (I am embarrassed to say what station) and he said that whenever anyone attacks Mitt, it is usually his record. But when Mitt attacks, it is almost always personal and usually a lie.
I don't want an open convention because the right wing nuts will circulate a Contract with America type of document requiring me to do a lot of things I strongly oppose ... beginning with the repeal of ObamaCare!
Not if he keeps getting his arse handed to him......
I agree ..... but I think going after "Bella's dad Rick" vs a "philanderer with three-marriages Gingrich" is going to be a bad strategy. The public perception of Rick is much different than Newt. I guess we'll find out shortly ....!
The trouble is that the “green guy” hasn’t much of a chance against the Jug-eared Muslim.
The brouhaha may have woken up the social conservatives, and turned the tide for Rick. There was a low turnout, and the anti-Romney vote went to Rick.
Thank-you Sebebellius, Obama, and Axelrod!
They’ve shot themselves in the foot. I’m beginning to think that Santorum is more electable than Newt, and that, because of Obama’s attack on the Church, Santorum stands a good chance of beating Obama.