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Santorum moves ahead in Michigan (Santorum 39, Romney 24, Paul 12, Gingrich 11)
Public Policy Polling ^ | 2/13/12 | staff

Posted on 02/13/2012 8:12:57 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009

Rick Santorum's taken a large lead in Michigan's upcoming Republican primary. He's at 39% to 24% for Mitt Romney, 12% for Ron Paul, and 11% for Newt Gingrich.

Santorum's rise is attributable to two major factors: his own personal popularity (a stellar 67/23 favorability) and GOP voters increasingly souring on Gingrich. Santorum's becoming something closer and closer to a consensus conservative candidate as Gingrich bleeds support.

Santorum's winning an outright majority of the Tea Party vote with 53% to 22% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich. He comes close to one with Evangelicals as well at 48% to 20% for Romney and 12% for Gingrich. And he cracks the 50% line with voters identifying as 'very conservative' at 51% to 20% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich.

Santorum's benefiting from the open nature of Michigan's primary as well. He's only up by 12 points with actual Republican voters, but he has a 40-21 advantage with the Democrats and independents planning to vote that pushes his overall lead up to 15 points. Santorum is winning by a healthy margin in every region of the state except for Oakland County, where Romney has a 40-26 advantage, and the area around Lansing where Paul actually has an advantage at 30% to 27% for both Romney and Santorum.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; backstabberromney; biggestloserhistory; biggovt; bigspender; dcinsider; earmarks; gingrich; lostby30pointsinpa; mi2012; michigan; mitt4romney; openbordersrick; openprimary; poll; ppp; ppppoll; proillegals; protaxes; prounion; romney; romney4bigdig; romney4romney; romneyantiteaparty; santorum; santorum4romney; unionbiasedtaxagenda
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WOW
1 posted on 02/13/2012 8:13:08 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Santorum has this vote from Michigan.


2 posted on 02/13/2012 8:14:56 AM PST by ConservativeTeen (Proud Right Wing Extremist)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

A Romney loss in Michigan would be a very good thing.


3 posted on 02/13/2012 8:17:11 AM PST by Lady Lucky ( Exposure to the Son may prevent burning.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Wow is right! When is the primary election in Michigan?


4 posted on 02/13/2012 8:19:26 AM PST by jackv (The darkness hates the light!)
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To: Lady Lucky

I’m sure the Romney smear machine will be putting itself on overdrive. They won’t tolerate this outrage!


5 posted on 02/13/2012 8:19:46 AM PST by dragonblustar (Allah Ain't So Akbar!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
What's with Newt only at 11? Time for Newt/Sarah 2012!
6 posted on 02/13/2012 8:19:52 AM PST by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Glory be to God. I was hoping that Sanatorum was our candidate. Now I am convinced that he will be. This guy is brilliant. What a great campaign he is running. He has a great strategy that is working. He knew he didn’t need Florida or Maine. In Maine although he did not campaign, he still got 18 percent. Not terrible. I am becoming so much happier everyday that Santorum will be our President. I hope he will have a constitutional amendment abolishing that horrible abortion. We FINALLY will have someone in office how will at least fight for this. We are so lucky! Thank you America!!!!


7 posted on 02/13/2012 8:20:44 AM PST by napscoordinator (A moral principled Christian with character is the frontrunner! Congrats Santorum!)
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To: Art in Idaho
What's with Newt only at 11? Time for Newt/Sarah 2012!

Maybe Newt and Paul need to drop out.

8 posted on 02/13/2012 8:21:46 AM PST by frogjerk (OBAMA NOV 2012 = HORSEMEAT)
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To: jackv

2 weeks


9 posted on 02/13/2012 8:21:54 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
I second your WOW. I wonder how Romney is going to attack him. He doesn't have much to use from the right, and he can't attack from the left openly. The attack from the Left would be on the social issues, so he's going to need an assist from the media that can act as his surrogate. There are some pro-homosexual groups in the Republican party that will probably carry Romney's water here too I suspect.
10 posted on 02/13/2012 8:22:58 AM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Has the negative ad blitz started yet?


11 posted on 02/13/2012 8:22:58 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Ouch!

The only thing worse than Santorum taking Michigan [Romney’s home state] would be Santorum taking Georgia [from where Gingrich served as Representative].

Santorum may have acquired the Big Mo in a Big way.


12 posted on 02/13/2012 8:23:15 AM PST by TomGuy
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Stunning. A loss fort Romney in Michigan would be devastating to his campaign. Consider that the there are more delegates at stake in the two primaries at the end of this month than in all of Super Tuesday in March according to what I saw last night.


13 posted on 02/13/2012 8:25:03 AM PST by Peter from Rutland
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To: napscoordinator

I can vote for Santorum if I have to, but I don’t think he can cut the Mustard as President.

However anything is better than what we have.


14 posted on 02/13/2012 8:25:03 AM PST by Venturer
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Byron York said on Bill Bennett show this morning that he expects Romney to take Michigan, but if Romney loses to Santorum in Michigan that it would be a ‘huge’ and major blow to Romney’s campaign.


15 posted on 02/13/2012 8:25:31 AM PST by LibFreeUSA (Pick Your Poison)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

his own personal popularity (a stellar 67/23 favorability)

Sad that the 23 percent are FREEPERS. I tell you 67 percent popularity is INCREDIBLE. Thank you God. Santorum will be one of the best President in history.


16 posted on 02/13/2012 8:25:48 AM PST by napscoordinator (A moral principled Christian with character is the frontrunner! Congrats Santorum!)
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To: dragonblustar

Waiting for the smears...

Tick Tick Tick


17 posted on 02/13/2012 8:25:51 AM PST by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (REPEAL WASHINGTON! -- Islam Delenda Est! -- I Want Constantinople Back. -- Rumble thee forth.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
But...but...but, Santorum is unelectable!

I was actually gunning hard for Newt, but if Santorum turns out to be the strongest, he's got my vote!

18 posted on 02/13/2012 8:26:00 AM PST by Artcore
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To: TexasFreeper2009

PublicPolicyPolling@ppppollsReply
Retweet

Favorite
· Open

Newt staying in is Mitt’s saving grace right now. Santorum would be up 48-27 in MI if Newt dropped: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/santorum-moves-ahead-in-michigan.html


19 posted on 02/13/2012 8:26:45 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Michigan??????...............(Thailand?)..........


20 posted on 02/13/2012 8:27:44 AM PST by Red Badger (If you are unemployed long enough, you are no longer unemployed.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

The electoral math, so far, still shows Santorum doing way better than Gingrich.

Seven reasons for Rick Santorum


  1. Who has won the most states without the benefit of their own money, last election's organization or a billionaire casino sugar daddy?
  2. Who is everybody's second choice when he isn't their first?
  3. Who can get both the Romney people and the Gingrich people, who hate each other, to vote for him?
  4. Who has the best record on immigration?
  5. Who has the best plan for repealing ObamaCare? And is the only GOP candidate who didn't help write or approve legislation which helped spawn this fiasco?
  6. Who has the best plan for expanding the American economy and strengthening American families?
  7. Who is the closest thing we have to the "generic Republican" which polls show consistently beating Obama and is most likely to make the election about Obama's sorry record rather than about himself?

21 posted on 02/13/2012 8:28:30 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Romney’s claim as a native has worn pretty thin after a few decades of living somewhere else. He takes us for granted and steps over us on his way to the cash register.

Some of us have been saying that major change is coming to Michigan and those who ignore it do so at their own peril. The 2010 GOP wave was bigger here than anywhere else in the nation and the democrats didn’t pick up a single seat above the county level. And now we’ve even got a conservative UAW group testifying on capitol hill against union political funding and they support right to work laws.


22 posted on 02/13/2012 8:28:30 AM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Artcore

Bad choice of a word on my part. By “gunning” I meant strongly supporting Newt. I need more coffee! ;-)


23 posted on 02/13/2012 8:28:33 AM PST by Artcore
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Time for Gingrich to pull out and let Santorum go head to head with Romney.


24 posted on 02/13/2012 8:28:37 AM PST by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: frogjerk

Paul will never drop out, but it is time for Newt to go.


25 posted on 02/13/2012 8:28:47 AM PST by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: Venturer

Santorum is the lesser of evils. Palin would have been ideal, and probably the only conservative in the field at this point if she would have run. But it is what it is, so let’s hope for President Santorum and Secretary of State Palin, shall we?


26 posted on 02/13/2012 8:29:00 AM PST by HMS Surprise (Chris Christie can still go to hell.)
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To: Artcore

Bad choice of a word on my part. By “gunning” I meant strongly supporting Newt. I need more coffee! ;-)


27 posted on 02/13/2012 8:30:16 AM PST by Artcore
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To: TexasFreeper2009

WOW again. There is a lot to like about Rick Santorum. Yes, he’s personally very conservative, but I bet whenever he gets in front of voters they realize he’s no firebreathing, grey bearded, old testament character. The best part is that there is NOTHING WRONG with him. He’s clean. And he speaks his mind. A lot to like.


28 posted on 02/13/2012 8:30:57 AM PST by ichabod1 (Mr. Gingrich)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Santorum will lose if nominated to King Obama. Mitt will lose also. The only hope we have is Newt Gingrich.


29 posted on 02/13/2012 8:31:23 AM PST by Logical me
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To: frogjerk

Paul and Romney are close friends so I’d suspect his delegates would go to Romney.

As to remaining people who would have voted for Paul in future primaries, hard to tell. A lot wouldn’t vote at all; those who do I think would probably vote Romney.


30 posted on 02/13/2012 8:33:06 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: TexasFreeper2009

GO RICK!


31 posted on 02/13/2012 8:34:33 AM PST by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: Logical me

It is my firm belief that none of these guys can beat Obama, only the economy can beat Obama.

If the economy gets worse anyone would win agaisnt Obama.

If the economy gets better anyone would lose.

Might as well stick it to Mitten’s !


32 posted on 02/13/2012 8:34:41 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
See my post #21. The key point is #3.

The libertarian cowboys supporting Gingrich or Ron Paul will be here shortly with their prepared cherry-picked links to focus on the 10% or so that Rick Santorum wasn't a pure conservative during his 14 years in congress.

Easy for them to say since neither of their guys ever won an election outside a safely conservative congressional district, something Santorum managed to do four times.

33 posted on 02/13/2012 8:35:32 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Logical me
Santorum will lose if nominated to King Obama. Mitt will lose also. The only hope we have is Newt Gingrich.

Whose head-to-head general election matchup numbers have always been much worse than Mitt, and have been much worse than Santorum in the last month.

Other than the "debates will magically save everything" and wishful thinking, what are the credible arguments that Newt wouldn't get destroyed much worse vs. Obama?

34 posted on 02/13/2012 8:35:40 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: TexasFreeper2009

He knew that he would play well in Michigan.


35 posted on 02/13/2012 8:36:48 AM PST by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: Logical me

Newt Gingrich has higher national negatives than either Romney or Obama. He would be a real option only if more than half the electorate wasn’t women.


36 posted on 02/13/2012 8:38:00 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: CPT Clay

Santorum will have my support in the Georgia primary


37 posted on 02/13/2012 8:42:07 AM PST by Broker (Battle line set. Lock & load)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I agree. Jon Huntsman was the only candidate that could have and he didn’t hate Obama enough to have a chance.


38 posted on 02/13/2012 8:42:11 AM PST by erlayman
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To: Broker

He’s Clean and Articulate!


39 posted on 02/13/2012 8:43:20 AM PST by ichabod1 (Mr. Gingrich)
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To: grellis

Michigan’s in play ping. Now the question is how many Rats want to be put on Republican mailing lists and vote for RuPaul in this “Closed Primary”.


40 posted on 02/13/2012 8:43:47 AM PST by Springman (Rest In Peace YaYa123 and Bahbah.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
I hate to be a wanker, but this pathetic: “Nobody can beat Obama” crap is...well, crap!

Good grief, I feel like I'm listening (reading) the words of John “Weepy” Boehner, or Mitch McConnell. It's this very attitude by are so-called leaders that has them completely neutered and ineffectual.

Sorry, but either Santorum or Newt could kick Obama’s skinny Kenyan arse all over the Washington Mall.

41 posted on 02/13/2012 8:45:38 AM PST by Artcore
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Time for Newt to get out. I was a big Newt supporter.But because of his tendency to self destruct. I’m on board with Rick.
If Mitt wins I’m with him.
Lets get the true contest of Santorum vs Romney and we’ll have a strong candidate to defeat the Marxist in Nov.


42 posted on 02/13/2012 8:45:43 AM PST by TShaunK
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Note how PPP spins this solely as a Newt losing support, not as Romney melting away, of course.


43 posted on 02/13/2012 8:46:19 AM PST by Kennard
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To: TShaunK

I’m a Santorum supporter but think Newt should stay in to pull votes from Romney in the south.


44 posted on 02/13/2012 8:47:03 AM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: afraidfortherepublic; American Constitutionalist; Antoninus; AuH2ORepublican; BlackElk; ...
Santorum for President Ping List.

FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.

45 posted on 02/13/2012 8:48:33 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Catholics vs. Mormons (descendants of imprisoned polygamists from 1880s) in Michigan. No contest!


46 posted on 02/13/2012 8:49:30 AM PST by montag813
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To: napscoordinator
Does this mean you are going to run out to Wal-Mart and buy yourself a collection of sweater vests to boot?

“President” Santorum will likely fire Congress and all Democrats the moment he takes office too, fer sher. And abolish Secularism. Now that's change the rest of America will gladly accept! /s (rolling eyes.)

47 posted on 02/13/2012 8:49:50 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: Logical me
Are you old enough to remember when Reagan could never beat Carter?

That was actually the 'conventional wisdom' until late October, 1980.

I'd rethink your pessimism, if I were you.

(And don't say Santorum is no Reagan. That's not the point. Most people didn't know that Reagan was Reagan in 1980, so it wasn't a factor).

48 posted on 02/13/2012 8:49:57 AM PST by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

“...but he has a 40-21 advantage with the Democrats and independents planning to vote that pushes his overall lead up to 15 points.”

I think this should end the argument that only Romney can win independents.


49 posted on 02/13/2012 8:50:22 AM PST by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
“President” Santorum will likely fire Congress and all Democrats the moment he takes office too, fer sher. And abolish Secularism.

This comment is truly insane. Unbelieveable that anyone other than a hardcore leftist would ever say such a stupid thing.

50 posted on 02/13/2012 8:51:49 AM PST by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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