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Watch how easy this is:

Based On My Model....it says that Jim Robinson will win an unprecedent term as president of the US when most citizens of each state write-in his name on their ballot.

Piece-of-cake.

Now, someone has to go refute this claim, eh?

(The algorithms that are driving my (model) prediction are copyrighted and cannot be revealed.)

1 posted on 02/16/2012 5:38:13 PM PST by blam
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To: blam

Maybe they can use their modeling skills to come up with the one mutual fund that will reliably beat the market every year.


2 posted on 02/16/2012 5:42:55 PM PST by ari-freedom
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To: blam
ewwww .. Is that thing alive?

San FRan Chinese restaurant visit today. :-]

3 posted on 02/16/2012 5:45:22 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed .. Monthly Donor Onboard .. Obama: Epic Fail or Bust!!!)
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To: blam

I wonder what “The Signal” was forecasting 9 months before the 2010 election.


4 posted on 02/16/2012 5:49:18 PM PST by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: blam
This is the playbook. From here until November unemployment will never be above 8%, High gas prices are a good thing, there is no inflation (when you exclude food and energy and double count home prices), GM is going like gang busters and 0bama is projected to win in a landslide!

I don't know about the rest of you but this seems to have been the MSM's mantra coming off the holiday season (which BTW were the best in 4 years).

5 posted on 02/16/2012 5:49:51 PM PST by YankeeReb
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To: blam

My model tells me that Obama will only win 16:

NY
NJ
Delaware
Maine
Massachusetts
Connecticut
Vermont
Rhode Island
Maryland
DC
Illinois
California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii
Puerto Rico (should we include this?)


6 posted on 02/16/2012 5:50:43 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: blam

Virginia is a red herring but the GOP will probably take Ohio, Iowa, Colorado and possibly Nevada.


9 posted on 02/16/2012 5:55:16 PM PST by tobyhill
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To: blam

Just going off my gut, if we have a decent nominee (doubtful maybe, but we can dream), then Obama won’t win Virginia or Ohio. That alone changes the total here to R-266 D-272.

Then, we’d just need to pick up a state that Bush won in 2004, like Nebraska, Nevada, Colorado, or New Mexico and it would be over.

All of that depends on who our nominee is, and without knowing that, my predictions are about as valuable as this model, which is not very valuable at all.


14 posted on 02/16/2012 5:59:51 PM PST by Boogieman
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To: blam
OBAMA BS SUPPLY, RUNNING ON EMPTY
15 posted on 02/16/2012 6:00:38 PM PST by FrankR (You are only enslaved to the extent of the entitlements you receive.)
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To: blam

He won’t win Wisconsin this year. No way in hell.


16 posted on 02/16/2012 6:01:53 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
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To: blam

And since when does DC count? They aren’t a state, they should have zero electoral votes.


18 posted on 02/16/2012 6:03:09 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
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To: blam

tonight I enjoyed a nice dinner with Elvis and he said that mr obama will lose


20 posted on 02/16/2012 6:05:28 PM PST by italianquaker ( Mr Obama inherited an AAA rating and made it AA, thnx Resident Zero)
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To: blam

January 20th, 1980 - Carter is now ahead of Reagan by a massive 66-30 percent.

It's all over for the rats except for the crying, cheating and recounts.

22 posted on 02/16/2012 6:07:32 PM PST by Caipirabob (I say we take off and Newt the site from orbit. It's the only way to be sure...)
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To: blam

WOW! They’re using MY MODEL. How the He!! am I not getting paid for this?

Basically here’s what these guys are doing (I haven’t read the article so I can’t tell their method but we have the same numbers for IA & FL and I suspect the others as well)

Look at 2004 votes, 2008 votes, determine voter increase/decrease, determine the share of vote the challenger that lost in 2008 needs to realistically claim in 2012. Compares to primary votes also.

I uploaded IA a while back before the IA caucus and predicted the following result:

GOP Nominee 739,990 48.31%
Obama 791,813 51.69%

Here’s the Google doc (the one people complained about the color coding back in December. Numbers were on the 2nd tab)
for Obama and Republican Nominee

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhY4oeNgAv_ldHVzeWN0RVNQbVozbnZ4dEYtTGZPMFE

I also did one of these models for FL. It had

GOP Nominee 4,734,395 /51.44%
Obama 4,469,730 /48.56%

Attachment here: (results on 2nd tab scroll down to the 100% part where it says Obama and Republican)
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhY4oeNgAv_ldEdLR00wUEhTV2xrMjFvRy1ieGhLVmc

How do I get a job doing this stuff?

I have one for SC, I’ll have to add the numbers up and see if I got those percentages too.


26 posted on 02/16/2012 6:15:59 PM PST by parksstp (I pick Rick! (If he's good enough for Mark Levin and Rush Limbaugh, he's good enough for me))
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To: blam

How does odds of Obama winning go from 38 % in Fl to 52 % in Virginia and nothing in between?

that is a 14 point spread.....the model is complete BS....

Plus I don’t think Obama is going to win VA,OH.or PA


27 posted on 02/16/2012 6:16:23 PM PST by Popman (America is squandering its wealth on riotous living, war, and welfare.)
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To: blam
The New Black ACORN Election Fraud Enforcers
33 posted on 02/16/2012 6:21:54 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the fascists.)
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To: blam

Although a lot can go wrong, I think that predicting Virginia, Ohio, and Indiana for Obama is suspect. Plus, this scenario has Pennsylvania going for Obama when we don’t yet know how Rick Santorum will figure into the mix.


36 posted on 02/16/2012 6:27:04 PM PST by Engraved-on-His-hands
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To: blam

The good news. We have 9 months to stop Bacrock.


37 posted on 02/16/2012 6:27:42 PM PST by Darren McCarty (Rick Santorum in the primary)
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To: blam
Note that in, this model, fully seven states conceded to Obama are within the statistical margin-of-error (2.1%).

Only one state conceded to the GOP is within that margin (Florida).

38 posted on 02/16/2012 6:30:10 PM PST by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA: Ignorance On Parade)
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To: blam

I live in the great state of VA...
and the last two elections, we went CONSERVATIVE big time...
so I always look to see how they “predict” VA will go...
and they always give O’bummer the edge...
ain’t gunna happen this time!


39 posted on 02/16/2012 6:38:03 PM PST by matginzac
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To: blam

Since polls have been wrong by up to 25% with two weeks remaining we may as well just give up.

Pray for Anmerica


40 posted on 02/16/2012 6:41:09 PM PST by bray (More Batting Practice for the Bambino)
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