Skip to comments.Romney on the edge
Posted on 02/17/2012 8:48:55 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
The central narrative of the Republican nomination contest is easy to summarize: Any candidate who is perceived as the main opponent to Mitt Romney immediately ties or leads Mitt Romney.
Rick Santorum's surge tracks with recent precedent. His support is about the same as Rick Perry's at his peak. A little higher than Herman Cain's crest. A little lower than Newt Gingrich's pinnacle.
But Santorum is not only Romney's latest challenger, he is the most serious. Perry did not possess presidential-level skills. Cain lacked any apparent qualification for high office. Gingrich managed to systematically confirm every doubt about his style and stability.
Santorum, in contrast, has shown the ability to learn. While his initial debate performances were peevish and unappealing, he has grown more confident and likable over time. He has effectively prosecuted Romney's public record while avoiding anger or overreach. (He pointedly refused, for example, to attack Romney's business achievements and personal wealth.)
The former Pennsylvania senator possesses strengths that neatly fit some of Romney's weaknesses. Santorum combines a deeply held social conservatism with an authentic blue-collar appeal. Romney has trouble competing in either category. While Santorum is very conservative, he avoids being a conservative caricature. He was one of the Senate's main advocates of global health programs and a champion of faith-based anti-poverty efforts.
And Santorum has an additional advantage over Gingrich as the anti-Romney. The GOP establishment -- party types and elected Republicans -- viewed the prospect of Gingrich's nomination with undisguised horror. Having worked with him, they did everything they could to defeat him -- a revealing commentary. Santorum is hardly the party favorite, but establishment objections are many degrees less heated.
(Excerpt) Read more at yorkdispatch.com ...
I know it's Gerson but it's an interesting column.
Here's another OpEd you might "enjoy."
Quit acting stupid, Mitt
.. Mitt Romney is running the wrong campaign. He is running against conservatives. He needs to run with them.
Romney thought he could buy this election and it would be over by now. He is an arrogant fool.
That is bullsh!t.
Newt lost his lead because Romney spent a bloody fortune in negative ads attacking him.
[ Perry did not possess presidential-level skills. Cain lacked any apparent qualification for high office. Gingrich managed to systematically confirm every doubt about his style and stability ]
Complete and utter BS!
“Romney thought he could buy this election and it would be over by now. He is an arrogant fool.”
True, but the GOPe, in their arrogance, thought that as well. Rove doesn’t realize the rank and file conservative is not willing to be played like a violin anymore.
Also, the GOP-e launched attacks against Newt for free through the cooperative media.
“The GOP establishment — party types and elected Republicans — viewed the prospect of Gingrich’s nomination with undisguised horror.”
That actually moved Newt up for me.
It would probably be more accurate to read Gerson's thought bubble as, "He [Romney] needs to pretend to run with them." That dog don't hunt. It hasn't hunted since Romney started.
Then there is this. Not sure how much to put into it but the notion that Mitt voters are no longer firm is something to watch.
Six Months ago I would tell you that Obama doesn't have a chance in Hell. Now I'm not so sure. If the conservative Intelligentsia keep trying to force Romney on us, we will rebel. We will not vote for him ever. We would rather have 4 more years of Congress vs Obama and try to cultivate a real conservative Nominee rather than Obama's liberal white RINO twin.
(Just using your post, which I agree with, as a vehicle to rant, not directed directly at you.)
Like the gang of 10 or 6 or 14 or whatever size, minorities have enormous POWER. The “gang of 25%” (true conservatives) or whatever the size, have the real POWER. That is why the GOPe is so scared. We RULE! Let's not forget it.
Romney can't win without us. If we stick to our guns (yes a violent anti PC metaphor), Romney will fail to get the nomination.
I will not vote for Romney in any election. A vote for Romney is a vote for the establishment. I voted for Dole, I voted for McCain, I WILL NOT VOTE FOR THEIR CANDIDATE AGAIN.
When you do the same thing over & over again expecting a different result, you are crazy. Are you “Romney is ok” voters crazy? Yes. WE WILL LOSE AGAIN! If we are going to lose anyway, better to at least stick it to the GOPers, proving our seriousness about not being lemmings any longer.
It is possible that my admiration for Newt is blind to what everyone else calls, an example of Newt “losing it”, or “unstable”, but I just don’t see it!
I am in an alternate universe I guess, as to why that impression of Newt is out there, but for the crystal clear placement by his enemies to create the false narrative. This is politics! Who would believe anything the ROVE crowd puts up against Newt????
Amazing to me that the rank and file, here and there, even entertain such an idea;a politicized version that falsely charactorizes an indisputed achiever of historic accomplishment and somehow, it works. Shameful. Now we’re stuck with a noisy rookie, dragging around an UN-extraordinary record, who was never a stand out, but for his moderation and RINO performance kit, who irritates people everywhere he goes.
Great. Just great. woo hoo.
I sent that quote about Conservatives to the Santorum campaign. Could be a great ad or debate response.
Rove doesnt realize the rank and file conservative is not willing to be played like a violin anymore.
I got in a heated email debate with Rove about this very point. He ended up saying that he thinks that Freepers are a buncha whiners and moaners.(cuz we disagree with him).
Yes. The meme was Perry is a “gaffe-prone” oops, and now the meme is that Newt is “unstable.” It’s a way to lock Newt down, so that he can’t “fire it up.”
Santorum is a sellout politician w...e, like most of them:
He’s against Romney now? Big freaking deal. He was vociferously supporting the SAME Romney in 2008.
He’s a staunch pro-life conservative? Why did he support then the most pro-abortion ever, I mean Arlen Specter?
When Specter launched a long-shot bid for president in 1995, Santorum his fellow Pennsylvanian was one of his few high-profile endorsements.
For Specter, who later became a Democrat, his pro-abortion-rights position was a centerpiece of his campaign.
There are clearly more Republicans who are pro-choice. Up until now, I am the only person willing to take on the fringe.
Santorum was effectively returning a favor by endorsing Specter despite his aggressive pro-abortion-rights views. Specter had supported Santorums 1994 Senate campaign.
And once again the pro-life Santorum suported the most pro-abortion Specter in 2004, hoping for Arlen’s payback support in his own reelection bid in 2006.
WHY did Santorum break rang with his fellow Republicans in the Senate and voted for Sotomayor nomination at the Court of Appeals?
He may NOW cover himself with a mantle of saint pater familias of so many kids, preaching to the choir, he was and remains a political w...e.
“The GOP and it’s cheerleaders (read Ann Coulter and Co.) need to take note.”
But they won’t Usagi. Rove, Coulter, GOP elitists are all trying to patronize and marginalize us Conservatives as far out Right Wingers. Have they forgotten our effect on the 2010 elections?
As far as I’m concerned, taking a stance against Romney may not get their attention right now..cuz they are arrogant and stupid.
But it’ll make me feel better for sure to know that I am standing up for my core principles and not being led to a RINO trough by an increasingly out of touch party.
“The Rank and File GOP members and conservatives in general DO NOT WANT MITT ROMNEY.”
Strike the first seven words...
Of course, this is all a moot point if Romney and his attack dogs go down in defeat..and I truly believe they will be.
“REMEMBER BLOODY THURSDAY!” should be a sign that shows up at every single Romney campaign appearance.
What he and the establishment did to Newt that day was the beginning of their undoing. They waaaaaay over-played their hand in a massive over-reaction.
Your impression is pretty accurate, not simply the result of having rose colored glasses on. I think that Mr.Newt has been pretty well measured and in control for the last year and more in his pursuit of the nomination.
Are you thinking Glenn Close?
So true. Any nominee who is innovative and/or aggressive is now “unstable”. Keep going after them, Newt.
You just presented the clearest description yet, of Santorum’s convenient use of conservatism while campaigning, as he stubbornly represents its antithesis once in office. The man has no vision and never recognized we were being swallowed up by spending and that Marxism was thriving in unions. Never.
These also were perfect examples that you explained, of what I like to call Rick’s RINO preservation kit. He is blatantly unremarkable, but for the extent of his obedience to the RINO agenda and his own political preservation.
Same pattern. Same vice.
YOU said it! You have something there! The term should be thrown around out there MUCH more than it has been, by Newt supporters.
“BLOODY THURSDAY” is one of the most informative battle cries to be so succinct. It speaks volumes to the RINO’s, to the media, that we are on to them and in the fewest possible words, as well as what it says to ROmnebus, whose blood runs on nothing if not cold hard cash, and lots of it.
The E such as Rove and others have caused an unintended consequence...or so it would seem.
By shoving the unwanted Romney at us, and by scorch-earthing Newt, they are bring us Santorum.
So how do they feel about a Santorum nomination?
What do you think?
I think they are assuming we won’t get fired up about Rick and as they chip away at him, Mitt will win enough delegates to take the nomination. They could be right.
Yes, he is, but he us far from dead in the water,money can make even the tide rise, and don't forget a lot of our current congress critters fortunes depend on Romney being the one. Or maybe they just genuinely patriotic in there support of Mitt, and money or power don't enter into their decision at all. Naahh not likely.
Could be, but I am going to go out on a limb here and predict that neither of them will be elected President this year.
Actually when this whole gaggle of candidates were firmed up, I predicted that none of the current Republican candidates would be elected President. I suspect that is still a good bet.
That is by no means my desire, just my observation.
CW has nailed it. Again.
The greatest unknown is how much Rove and the establishment even want the presidency before 2016, for which they are saving their big gun candidates, thus, they stuck us with the low tier for ‘12;the Romnobus.
I see it is only negative if we do this to Newt, the man who is currently running 4th in a four man race.
Maybe you could send this over to Mitt, he has the money to make it go viral.
Or you could just give up on the vitriolic attacks and see what shakes out over the next few weeks. Advice that I am pretty sure Sarah Palin offered.
“You just presented the clearest description yet, of Santorums convenient use of conservatism while campaigning, as he stubbornly represents its antithesis once in office. The man has no vision and never recognized we were being swallowed up by spending and that Marxism was thriving in unions.”
And this is the sheer, unadultered truth.
Mitt knows who Rick is and recognizes him as a flip-flopper twin. Both are scum IMO.
You and Maggs tag teaming now, cute.
Have you noticed that ever candidate you supported has flamed out? Just suggesting that maybe you should reevaluate your methodology.
Since Palin is safely ensconced high in the trees overlooking the battle field, while collecting gazillions for her quite ordinary, non-news breaking utterances, like “what shakes out over the next few weeks.”
Your write-in Palin ballot would pretty much disqualify your opinion as being a material example of helpful insight for real players in the race, like....um,....actual candidates.
“You and Maggs tag teaming now, cute. “
This IS the primaries, baby, and I tag team, on any day, with the “Mags” out there who can read a record like a laser, value “doers” over the yakkers, and know a phoney when they see one.
You are a quiz, all puffed up and what do you offer, but a write-in vote for a non-candidate.
Now that is “cute”, in spades.
I have believed and stated, all evidence points to their wanting Jeb Bush, above all.
Santorum is skyrocketing in GOP polls at the moment, and it is inexplicable to me.
I get Romney’s extreme weakness.
I get that.
I get how they scorched earth Newt to bring us the unwanted Romney.
But Santorum has roared from almost nowhere to overwhelming numbers.
Will they AGAIN go to the mat for Romney, or have they ruined that scorched earth on Newt approach, because everyone is on to them now, and it sickens the voters.
I’m just wondering if they feel Santorum could actually happen, despite their plans and schemes.
And how that strikes them.
The two of you seem to think that they don’t believe Santorum will happen, or if he did happen, they’re ok with Obama winning again and looking to 2016 for their true “pet”.
What I have trouble grasping is how Newt Gingrich is nothing more than an asterisk or an afterthought, at this time.
That astonishes me.
More than anyone else currently running, he fits the nation’s crying need for leadership out of the abyss we are in, politically and economically.
Talk about people blowing with the wind...
That aside why do you care so much that Palin is making a little money, did she take it from you?
Awh shuck Rita, you know I am an Okie, but now living in Oregon, my vote is irrelevant. My tag serves two purposes one irritates the likes of you, the other is just my way of saying to the E-Pubs, never again.
I suspect I have known Newt's politics a lot longer than you, wished he wold run for years, and there is a lot to like, but a lot to question now. Right now he is running 4th in a three man race, so what does it profit the cause to cut up a candidate that most here would say is better than Mitt, since he could be the only alternative?
Do you remember what Newt or Rick's support was here, before the Primary stated? If Newt had used Palin's line about the people we have sent up there to drain the swamp and they find a jacuzzi, he would jump 10 to 20 points, but I doubt he will use anything like it, hope he does though.
I recall that Rush, when noting the smash hit that Newt became by blasting John King at the debate, remarked that such a thing would be great one time, but that it couldn’t become a staple and continue to work with the same smashing results.
I believe you have a point, and that the E and Romney may have to give a much milder workover to Rick than what they dished out to their nemesis, Newt. If Rush’s theory holds some truth, and I think it probably does.
Romney will let them bang away at each other while he bangs away at them! Still, there is a slim chance for Newt to come back if he can gain the southern states. Very slim.
"Never argue with a man who buys his ink by the barrel."
-- Ben Franklin
Romney is going to shell Newt in Georgia for 2 weeks. Time to send money to Newt.
....”A super PAC supporting former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney on Friday purchased nearly $1 million worth of television advertising time in Georgia for spots to run the final two weeks of the campaign, beginning Tuesday.
The size of the buy, paid for by the Restore Our Future political action committee, is considered moderate, although it’s the largest splurge the state has seen in the presidential primary.”...
“Don’t shoot until you see the whites of their eyes.” comes to mind.
We rabid political watchers know that 80% or so of the voters KNOW who we are going to vote for long before major bucks are spent. It’s the great unwashed that will be swayed in the last two weeks of a campaign. Heck; some don’t even know who to vote for until they step onto the property containing the polling booth!
No need to shoot off your 1500 foot shells when you are 2000 feet away from the fort, unless you like dodging holes in the ground getting to the gate!
He ended up a dog on the porch 4 years ago...
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