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Intrade Republican Nominee Odds
Intrade ^ | 2/19/2012 | Intrade Oddsmakers

Posted on 02/19/2012 12:48:41 PM PST by WPaCon

Mitt Romney--71.4%

Rick Santorum--14.3%

New Gingrich--3.9%

Ron Paul--2.6%

Jeb Bush--3.5%

Mitch Daniels--1.0%

Chris Christie--1.2%

Paul Ryan--0.6%

Sarah Palin--0.5%

Mike Huckabee--0.2%

John Thune--0.4%

Bobby Jindal--0.2%

Marco Rubio--0.3%

Colin Powell--0.1%

Rudy Giuliani--0.1%

Rick Perry--0.1%

John Huntsman--0.1%

Buddy Roemer--0.1%

Michele Bachmann--0.1%

Herman Cain--0.1%

Gary Johnson--0.1%

Tim Pawlenty--0.1%

Tom Coburn--0.1%

John Bolton--0.1%

George Pataki--0.1%

Thad McCotter--0.1%

Jim DeMint--0.1%

Rand Paul--0.1%

Donald Trump--0.1%

Eric Cantor--0.1%

Joe Scarborough--0.1%

Lindsay Graham--0.1%

David Petraeus--0.1%

Roy Moore--0.1%

Mike Pence--0.1%

Haley Barbour--0.1%

Dick Cheney--0.1%

Judd Gregg--0.1%

Scott Brown--0.1%

Michael Bloomberg--0.1%

Charlie Crist--0.1%

Fred Thompson--0.1%

John Kasich--0.1%

Bob Corker--0.1%

Joe Lieberman--0.1%

Lou Dobbs--0.1%

Mark Sanford--0.1%

Carley Fiorina--0.1%

Meg Whitman--0.1%

Stanley McChrystal--0.1%

Clarence Thomas--0.1%

Allen West--0.1%

Other--0.3%


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
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Click on 2012 US Elections on the left and then 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee.

My point of posting this is not to gauge the chances of Romney, Santorum, Gingrich, and Paul of winning the nomination. In fact, these odds are seem to be very inaccurate. Instead, in light of speculation of a brokered convention, this is an exhaustive list of who could potentially come out as the candidate in a brokered convention. Most of these 53 people don't have a snowball's chance in Hell and are laughable, but it's nice to have a list of virtually every possible candidate.

1 posted on 02/19/2012 12:48:47 PM PST by WPaCon
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To: WPaCon
Cut to the chase. Romney is toast.

Go Rickabee!

2 posted on 02/19/2012 12:51:14 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: WPaCon

those numbers are so messed up it’s amazing.

The leader Santorum is trading at 14%
The moderate with almost no chance is trading at 71% even after his recent implosion
And people not even in the race are trading as high or higher than Gingrich and Paul

people on Intrade are doing drugs


3 posted on 02/19/2012 12:51:47 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: WPaCon

RNC spokesman says chances of brokered convention same as ‘space alien attack’

http://www.washingtontimes.com/blog/watercooler/2012/feb/16/picket-rnc-spokesman-says-chance-brokered-conventi/


4 posted on 02/19/2012 12:53:46 PM PST by BarnacleCenturion
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To: TexasFreeper2009
those numbers are so messed up it’s amazing.

Completely agree. They are wrong in so many places that it would be a waste of time to try to point all the flaws out.

I just like the list without the odds.

5 posted on 02/19/2012 12:55:37 PM PST by WPaCon
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Newt is the winner in reality. (intelligent thinker/reformer and a fighter The Goldman Sachs Group want Romney. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nyi5JsYeY6E (If this doesn’t move one, nothing will)


6 posted on 02/19/2012 12:57:07 PM PST by Christie at the beach (I like Newt and would love to see political dead bodies on the floor.)
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To: WPaCon

Whose idea of a joke is this?
One name that is not found is Sarah....amazing!


7 posted on 02/19/2012 1:06:52 PM PST by fantail 1952 (Common sense policy: Help your friends. Whip your enemies. Sort out the rest later.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Romney has not even begun to unleash his attack ads on Santorum.

These numbers simply reflect the opinion that Romney will retake the lead wants those attack ads going to affect.


8 posted on 02/19/2012 1:07:35 PM PST by Arthurio
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To: Christie at the beach

Reality?

Reality is the ACTUAL reality. (See head to head Rasmussen numbers above)

Not youtube cherry picked clips.


9 posted on 02/19/2012 1:08:32 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
With Intrade, a disagreement is a money-making opportunity (for someone). Why not bet against the crowd?
10 posted on 02/19/2012 1:09:41 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: Arthurio

Romney has been attacking Santorum for over a week, and Santorum’s numbers just keep going up


11 posted on 02/19/2012 1:09:51 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: fantail 1952

She’s there at .5%.


12 posted on 02/19/2012 1:10:23 PM PST by Josephat (The old claim your evengelizing people who haven't heard the gospel, but go to a Catholic country tr)
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To: Arthurio

Willard’s evil Super PAC started up a few days ago on Santorum, our future nominee.

Hmmmm... not working so far.

Daily Gallup Tracking...

Todays 19 Feb GOP Ballot Support: Santorum 36% (+1), Romney 28% (-1), Gingrich 13% (-). #Santorum #Romney
Retweeted by TeamSantorumOK


13 posted on 02/19/2012 1:11:59 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: fantail 1952

Sarah Palin is in there, at 0.5%


14 posted on 02/19/2012 1:12:24 PM PST by Cboldt
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To: Cboldt

Not a bad bet at that price.


15 posted on 02/19/2012 1:14:55 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: Christie at the beach

How long until you realize Newt is losing and not going to have a comeback and Santorum is winning?


16 posted on 02/19/2012 1:35:33 PM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: Arthurio

Not sure how you`ve missed them, but Romney`s PACs have have been launching attacks on Santorum for over a week, and not laying a glove on him. Santo`s numbers have still gone up.


17 posted on 02/19/2012 1:46:24 PM PST by ScottinVA (GOP, meet Courage... Courage, meet GOP.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Tru dat, Tex!

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

Rick Santorum 36% (35%) {34%} [32%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (27%) {24%} [22%] (20%) {17%} [16%]

Mitt Romney 28% (29%) {30%} [31%] (33%) {32%} [32%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {37%} [37%]

Newt Gingrich 13% (13%) {14%} [14%] (15%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {17%} [18%] (20%) {21%} [22%]


18 posted on 02/19/2012 1:48:49 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: All

In case, anyone wants to make $$$ at Intrade.com

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

Rick Santorum 36% (35%) {34%} [32%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (27%) {24%} [22%] (20%) {17%} [16%]

Mitt Romney 28% (29%) {30%} [31%] (33%) {32%} [32%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {37%} [37%]

Newt Gingrich 13% (13%) {14%} [14%] (15%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {17%} [18%] (20%) {21%} [22%]


19 posted on 02/19/2012 1:52:12 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Short Romney!

Actually I forgot about John Kasich. His name ought to be talked about a lot more. Certainly over Jindal, Rubio and Daniels. He’s an excellent communicator, has charisma and likability, and, although I haven’t researched his record exhaustively, seems like a consistent conservative to me. He should move way to the top of the list when the next primary rolls around, be it in 4 or 8 years.


20 posted on 02/19/2012 1:58:15 PM PST by JediJones (Just say NO to the MittRick system! Disenfranchise the establishment!)
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