Skip to comments.Romney Lead Small in AZ PPP (Romney 36% Santorum 33% Gingrich 16%)
Posted on 02/20/2012 9:49:55 AM PST by parksstp
The Republican race for President in Arizona looks like a close one, with Mitt Romney leading Rick Santorum only 36-33. Newt Gingrich is third at 16% and Ron Paul fourth at 9%.
Santorum is better liked by Arizona Republicans than Romney, but the gap isn't as wide as we're finding in a lot of other states. Santorum's at +34 (61/27), while Romney's at +24 (58/34).
One thing to keep an eye on over the next week is whether Newt Gingrich can hold his support. 16% is pretty good for him compared to what we're finding other places right now, but only 46% of his voters say they're solidly committed to him. 40% of his supporters say that Santorum is their second choice, compared to only 25% for Romney. If Gingrich's supporters see he's not viable and decide to jump ship the race could get even closer.
Santorum and Romney are both generally winning the same groups we find them winning in Michigan and nationally right now. The reason Romney's leading in Arizona but trailing in those other places is that he's at least staying competitive with the groups he tends to be weaker with. For instance he's only down by 11 points with Tea Party voters, 43-32. He's only down 13 with those describing themselves as 'very conservative,' 44-31. And he's down just 18 with Evangelicals, 45-27. Those are all groups he's losing by more than 25 points in Michigan right now.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
Go So-Cons (that 70% of our party!)
>> “Once Romney has been sunk, Newt can take on Santorum one-on-one. In which case Gingrich has a better chance.” <<
What you’re not getting is that if Romney falls, the establishment money goes over to Santorum, and we still lose.
If we don’t get a president that will turn the ship around, it’ll matter little who is president for the short period of time that it’ll take to completely sink the country.
Do your ‘socons’ all worship those idols on the red table?
No, if Romney fails, the GOP-e starts searching for an alternate to Romney.
Second, any candidate can beat Obama. Gingrich, Santorum, wet dishtowel, Ron Paul.
Third, the Gingrich campaign is dying. It cannot beat Romney’s money machine. Romney HAS to go, even if it means handing Gingrich votes to Santorum in AZ/MI.
Santorum IS the alternate to Romney.
His record is 100% establishment.
That’s absurd. The establishment is all in a panic precisely because Santorum is beating Romney.
I can’t take anyone seriously who believes that Santorum is the alternate to Romney.
Go back to sleep!
You have zero understanding of election politics.
Santorum is clearly the establishment back-up.
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