Skip to comments.Israel: Iran will have U.S.-range missile in 2-3 years
Posted on 02/22/2012 9:37:21 PM PST by U-238
Israel believes that within 2-3 years Iran will have intercontinental missiles able to hit the United States, an Israeli minister said in remarks aimed at raising awareness of the threat it believes a nuclear Iran would pose to the world.
Analysts now estimate the longest range of an Iranian missile to be about 2,400 km (1,500 miles), capable of reaching Tehran's arch-enemy Israel as well as Europe.
But Israel has also been keen to persuade any allies who do not share their view of the risk posed by Iran that an Islamic Republic with atom bombs would also threaten the West.
Finance Minister Yuval Steinitz's assessment, in an interview with CNBC, was in line with an unclassified U.S. Defense Department report in 2010 that estimated Iran may be able to build a U.S.-range missile by 2015.
"They (the Iranians) are working now and investing a lot of billions of dollars in order to develop intercontinental ballistic missiles," said Steinitz, a former chairman of the Israeli parliament's foreign affairs and defense committee.
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
On January 5, 2004, Irans Defense Minister, reportedly announced that Iran would launch a satellite within 18 months. Some experts believe that Iran ould use its space launch vehicle (SLV) program as a technical base for developing intermediate and intercontinental range ballistic missiles
E M P over the USA????
the best route for him will be to reduce the US Nuclear Arsenal by another 95%. That will ensure that the Iranian government will like us again, and never attack us.
And then, on January 21, 0bama will retire to Kenya, where no Iranian missile will ever be targeted...
[Note: 0bama views the US nuclear arsenal as a mathematical calculus equation... you can always halve your distance to any object, even if that object is the US having 0 nukes]
Providing assessments of when a country could and is likely to test an ICBM takes into account uncertainties and cases where a solid evidentiary base is not available for making more definitive assessments. The availability of foreign assistance is frequently a critical driver in both formulations, and is so noted, especially when foreign assistance accelerates the program dramatically.It is extremely subjective.
Maybe in 25 years.
Seems like that’s how long I’ve been hearing this.
Their getting close. They are getting technical assistance from Russia,China,and North Korea
They have also upgraded their ballistic missiles to become satellite launchers. To orbit a satellite is a very complicated project. There are missile stages, and a careful guidance and control system to insert the satellite into a stable, desired trajectory.
In two or three years it won’t need a missile.
Just clip the nuke to the bottom of a drone and launch it from a freighter 200 miles off shore.
These are just estimates.They are based on many factors.Other factorsincluding potential technical problems, motivations and intentions,and political andconomic delaysthen were applied to assess the likely timing of the country testing an ICBM. These judgments provide the Intelligence Community assessments of the most likely course of events based on a variety of factors.
It not a walk in a park but within reach.The solid-propellant technology demonstrated by the Sejil gives the Iranian a key for longer-range missiles that could be deployed in a survivable manner from Western Iran. They took the Shahab, extended it a bit, added a new lightweight second stage, and now they have the Safir space launch vehicle.
If youd like to be on or off, please FR mail me.
As was proven long ago, halving distance between any two points (A to B) results in never reaching point B. The US having 0 nukes is appropriate for the area formerly known as the US with a President named Zero.
The IAEA inspectors just in Iran were there to inspect the solid-fuel rocket facility at Parchin. They were quickly refused access.
Iran is going full speed to develop solid-fuel as that is the key to range-payload of their rockets.
The inspectors could have also noticed any, say, N Korean smiling faces at Parchin also.
Great. And we have that Dummkopf in the White House to protect us.
Actially, Iranian missile engineers has surpassed their North Korean counterparts.But looking North Korean satellite launch attempts, they used a satellite launcher that looks nothing like what we see in Iran. It was completely different, much bigger and heavier, and with three stages.
The Sajjil solid propellant missile is very difficult to guide and control. Iranian engineers are overcoming those problems by using a modified Shahab 3 guidance system with the the help of the N Koreans whom helped design the Shahab based on their No Dong 1.
You’re right about the launchers, that’s not something the N Koreans were ever focused on. Iran correctly saw how elusive Saddam’s SCUD launchers were and those that made it to Syria likely ended up in Iran. They would be hard to find and degrade if we ever have to go after them.