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Obama leads both Santorum and Romney, but Santorum does better (Santorum Stronger in Swing States)
Purple Strategies ^ | 2/2012 | Doug Usher

Posted on 02/25/2012 4:04:30 PM PST by Brices Crossroads

In 2012, a dozen states will decide whether President Obama is elected to a second term. The PurplePoll focuses exclusively on the Purple Electorate - likely voters only in these swing states. Updated regularly throughout the 2012 election cycle, the PurplePoll will follow leading political indicators and track new issues as they emerge.

President Obama currently holds leads against the two top candidates in the GOP field. He leads Mitt Romney by 4 points (47% to 43%) and leads Rick Santorum by 2 points (46% to 44%). President Obama’s performance against Romney has been consistent since December, with leads ranging from 2 to 4 points. These results may bring into question Mitt Romney’s continued claim of electability. Since September, we have tested President Obama against Rick Perry, Jeb Bush, Newt Gingrich, and now Rick Santorum. Of all of these candidates, Rick Santorum is the only one to outperform Romney (albeit by a small margin) against President Obama in Purple America. Additionally, among independents, Romney trails by 3 points, while Santorum leads President Obama by 2 points (44% to 42%).

A majority (53%) of Purple state voters believe that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee, while just 21% believe that the campaign is strengthening the nominee. Republicans are also concerned about the impact that the campaign is having on their candidates, with 44% believing that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee (32% strengthening). The campaign’s impact on Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has been palpable: today, just 27% have a favorable view of him, while 57% have an unfavorable view. In the first PurplePoll in September of last year, 32% had a favorable view (39% unfavorable). In other words, over the course of the campaign, Romney’s favorables in Purple states have declined by 5 points, while his unfavorables have increased by 18 points – a net decline of 23 points.

A majority (53%) of Purple state voters believe that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee, while just 21% believe that the campaign is strengthening the nominee. Republicans are also concerned about the impact that the campaign is having on their candidates, with 44% believing that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee (32% strengthening). The campaign’s impact on Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has been palpable: today, just 27% have a favorable view of him, while 57% have an unfavorable view. In the first PurplePoll in September of last year, 32% had a favorable view (39% unfavorable). In other words, over the course of the campaign, Romney’s favorables in Purple states have declined by 5 points, while his unfavorables have increased by 18 points – a net decline of 23 points.

Among voters overall, Rick Santorum is currently better liked than Romney: 38% hold a favorable view, and 43% have an unfavorable view. Among Republican voters, the results are dramatic: Santorum is much better liked (58%/24%) than is Romney (42%/41%). At the same time, President Obama has net negative job ratings: 44% approve, and 50% disapprove. While the President’s approval ratings have drifted upward this year, a 44% approval rating is dangerously low for a president seeking re-election. He has worse ratings among independents (39%/52%) than the Purple electorate as a whole. Additionally, there is an education gap: among those with a college degree or higher, 48% approve and 48% disapprove. Among those without a college degree, 42% approve and 51% disapprove.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election2012; freeperheadsexplode; gingrich; obama; romney; santorum; swingstates

1 posted on 02/25/2012 4:04:35 PM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: parksstp; Lazlo in PA; Mountain Mary; Antoninus

Ping!

Santorum has a 48-43 lead (outside the MOE) over Obama at this point in the Rust Belt states of Ohio, PA and N.H. If he wins those, Obama is toast.

Mitten’s favorable/unfavorables are in the toilet, 27-57, lower than any frontrunner at this point in the history of presidential politics.

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/02/why-mitt-romney-might-be-even-weaker-than-you-think.php?ref=fpb


2 posted on 02/25/2012 4:05:56 PM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: 21twelve; Absolutely Nobama; AFPhys; afraidfortherepublic; AmericanInTokyo; ...
Santorum for President Ping List.

FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.

3 posted on 02/25/2012 4:09:27 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: Brices Crossroads

How is obama leading anyone? What is wrong with people? Where is Paul Revere? WAKE UP FOR GOD’S SAKE. Before it’s too late!!!


4 posted on 02/25/2012 4:13:26 PM PST by jersey117 (The Stepford Media should be sued for malpractice)
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To: Brices Crossroads

Little Rickie’s supporters are so delusional. They need to dig out any ‘poll’ under the carpet to prove little Rickie won’t be crushed in a blowout fashion by OB.


5 posted on 02/25/2012 4:17:00 PM PST by lilyfreeper
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To: Brices Crossroads
As interesting as the Santorum numbers are, the ones regarding Obama's cramdown on the Catholic Church may be more so. MSM has been painting that as winner for Obama, but this polling seems to indicate otherwise. It did seem like Pelosi was still trying to talk their way out of it the other day, so I suspect they know they have problems.
6 posted on 02/25/2012 4:22:35 PM PST by throwback
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To: jersey117

How could he even be leading the guy walking behind the elephants in the circus shoveling sh##????????


7 posted on 02/25/2012 4:37:44 PM PST by ronnie raygun (V)
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To: Brices Crossroads

It amazes me how Obama can be getting such ratings.

They have to be polling the food stamp rolls.


8 posted on 02/25/2012 4:38:58 PM PST by Venturer
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To: lilyfreeper

Hard to tell but it appears “little” Rickie is either 6’2” or 6’4” and Newt is 5’10”. Just a fun fact. Might want to call him “big” Rickie. Actually if you ever run into him, you might not want to call him anything.


9 posted on 02/25/2012 4:47:30 PM PST by throwback
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To: throwback; lilyfreeper

The noob troll only feigns support for Gingrich. His first two posts were pro-Romney, he got called out and he changed tactics.

He’s a Romneybot who posts exclusively about “little Ricky” now. Pathetic, lying fraud.


10 posted on 02/25/2012 4:54:15 PM PST by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard (Some men just want to watch the world burn.)
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To: lilyfreeper
I know both candidates have their obnoxious supporters, but it does seem like Newt has more than his fair share.

I wish we all could play like grown ups.

11 posted on 02/25/2012 5:07:28 PM PST by skeeter
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To: WhistlingPastTheGraveyard

Thanks, I hadn’t noticed his arrival seems to have coincided with the primary season. Still, seems like I keep seeing this “little” adjective which doesn’t jibe. If you’re going to insult somebody, at least try to base it in reality.


12 posted on 02/25/2012 5:12:38 PM PST by throwback
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To: throwback

The only proper way to address a candidate is by his last name only with no adjectives, an a Mr. or Mrs if you’re feeling strunk or white.

Well, except mittens. And Rom Paul. I can make exceptions for these.


13 posted on 02/25/2012 5:26:28 PM PST by txhurl
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To: throwback

It’s not because of little Rickie’s height. It’s his whining manner that is so ridiculous.


14 posted on 02/25/2012 5:43:41 PM PST by lilyfreeper
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To: lilyfreeper

Not nearly as ridiculous as you pretending to be anything but a Romneybot, you witless fraud.


15 posted on 02/25/2012 5:50:20 PM PST by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard (Some men just want to watch the world burn.)
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To: Brices Crossroads

That’s a pretty weak showing for an incumbent.


16 posted on 02/25/2012 6:00:50 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: lilyfreeper

Little implies whiny. Got it. Knew that would expand my mind.


17 posted on 02/25/2012 7:08:30 PM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: Brices Crossroads
In four years I have never had a comment removed by the mods...guess that over tonight because...

I CALL BULLSHIT!

My kid's Iguana, Bob, could be running for the (R) party right now and would be well ahead of the purple lipped bastard.

18 posted on 02/25/2012 7:14:09 PM PST by IrishPennant (Why isn't Garlic Bread an entree?)
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To: txhurl

So now to do justice to Newt I have to type Gingrich all the time? Oh man. I guess I better not whine, or someone will call me little.


19 posted on 02/25/2012 7:20:13 PM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: IrishPennant
I don't see anything wrong with your post, even with your kids calling the Iguana Bob.

Nothing but the truth I see :^)

20 posted on 02/25/2012 7:28:22 PM PST by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Newt......Nuff said.)
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To: The Cajun
Heeheeheehee...bless you! Nice to get a good chuckle that makes the wife look over at me and say "What?".

Nuttin' honey...

21 posted on 02/25/2012 7:57:33 PM PST by IrishPennant (Why isn't Garlic Bread an entree?)
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To: lilyfreeper

IB4TZ

Looks like I need to update my standard Zot post.

___________________________________________________________________
Sung to the tune of “Oh! Susanna, don’t you cry for me.” “

.... “Oh, no Bama, please don’t lie to me... for I’m off to Free Republic with a laptop on my knee.”

I come from Minnesota with my laptop on my knee; | I’m goin’ to Free Republic my true love for to see. | It rained all night the day you left, | the weather it was dry; | The sun so hot you froze to death, | Obama don’t you lie. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you lie to me; | I come from Minnesota, with my laptop on my knee.

I had a dream the other night, | When everything was still; | I thought I saw Obama dear, | A-coming for The Hill. | The smearing lie was in Duluth, | The croc tear in his eye, | Said I, I’m coming for the truth | Obama don’t you lie. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you lie to me; | I’m off to Free Republic, | with my laptop on my knee.

I fight in my pajamas, | It’s plain for all to see. | I aim to be the next Buckhead; | The media all hate me. | I fell in love with Sarah | When my sister bit a moose. | The Guvnor’s family ate it up | And then they set it loose. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you lie to me; | I’m off to Free Republic, | with my laptop on my knee.

She loves her sons, she likes her guns, | and Triggernometry. | The media will jump the shark | When she makes history. | Well, JimRob knows she’ll pave the trolls | So controversially, | And Berg will knock Obama down | With friends of Hillary. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you lie to me; | I’m off to Free Republic with a laptop on my knee.

I soon will be in Hawaii, | And then I’ll look all ‘round, | And when I find his birth record, | I’ll fall upon the ground. | But if I do not find it, | This Freeper’ll surely die, | And when I’m dead and buried, | Obama don’t you lie. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you cry for me; | I’m off to Free Republic with a laptop on my knee.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2073903/posts?page=30#30


22 posted on 02/25/2012 9:34:07 PM PST by Kevmo (If you can define a man by the depravity of his enemies, Rick Santorum must be a noble soul indeed.)
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To: lilyfreeper

Little Rickie’s supporters are so delusional. They need to dig out any ‘poll’ under the carpet to prove little Rickie won’t be crushed in a blowout fashion by OB.

Why does it sound like you hope this happens? Your enthusiasm for Santorum to go down is not right. Something stinks in lilyfreeper land. I support Santorum, but if Newt ends up having the nomination, I will pray and pray HARD that he wins the election. You are completely the opposite where it would bring you joy to see Santorum lose. Something is not right.


23 posted on 02/26/2012 1:20:43 AM PST by napscoordinator (A moral principled Christian with character is the frontrunner! Congrats Santorum!)
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To: Brices Crossroads

This clearly shows that the canard “Santorum won’t fly with the independents” is just a load of hogwash.

Santorum is the most electable Republican candidate, and clearly should be the nominee. He is not perfect, just better than the rest of the field. I’m sure he’ll listen to the great cry for liberty coming from all thinking Americans right now.

Go Rick!!!


24 posted on 02/26/2012 5:24:08 AM PST by PreciousLiberty (Real Hope - Santorum '12!!!)
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To: lilyfreeper

“It’s not because of little Rickie’s height. It’s his whining manner that is so ridiculous.”

That’s very funny, because you’re the most whiny, ridiculous and obnoxious poster I’ve seen in quite some time... ;-)


25 posted on 02/26/2012 5:26:13 AM PST by PreciousLiberty (Real Hope - Santorum '12!!!)
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To: lilyfreeper

Who do you support newbie?


26 posted on 02/26/2012 10:08:10 AM PST by Rick_Michael ( 'REAL' Conservatives who witch hunt their own, are no better than Obama.)
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