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PPP AZ and MI Tracking Real Time Update: Romney headed for a huge win in Arizona
PPP ^

Posted on 02/26/2012 5:33:18 PM PST by lilyfreeper

No #s yet, just some tidbits:

I'd expect Michigan results between 10 and 11 tonight, and Arizona results between midnight and 1 AM (all eastern)

Early observations on today's polls: Michigan still pretty close, but Romney headed for a huge win in Arizona.

It looks like Romney has banked about a 30 point lead among early voters in Arizona and they're more than half the electorate.

From the findings I didn't expect file: Babeu still seen more favorably than not by Arizona Republicans.

Santorum's favorability numbers not what they were a week ago- the shine is finally wearing off with GOP voters.

Arizona voters on which they're more concerned with: about 80% economy, 15% social issues. Could help explain Santorum's drop.

In Michigan the do you care more about the economy or social issues question coming in about 70/20 for the economy.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2sides4romney; 3sides4romney; 4sides4romney; allsides4romney; carpetbaggerromney; dirtbags4romney; establishment4romney; gope4romney; mitt4romney; panderingromney; poorsportromney; ppppollazmi; romney2lose; romney4dirtbags; romney4nytimes; romney4soros; romneyantigop; romneyantiteaparty; ruinerromney; saynotomitt; tiedoggytotheroofson; verminromney; youtieroveroncartop
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1 posted on 02/26/2012 5:33:26 PM PST by lilyfreeper
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To: lilyfreeper
AZ is Mitt butt buddy McCain RINOland—whaddya spect?
2 posted on 02/26/2012 5:38:24 PM PST by Happy Rain ("Better add another wing to The White House cause the Santorum clan is coming.")
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To: lilyfreeper

No thanks.


3 posted on 02/26/2012 5:39:27 PM PST by skeeter
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To: lilyfreeper

Studboi is viewed favorably? Interesting.


4 posted on 02/26/2012 5:40:15 PM PST by MSF BU
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To: lilyfreeper
What the heck is wrong with people? Romney will not beat Obama and if by some miracle he does, he's no better than Obama. I fear this election is just as rigged as 08.
5 posted on 02/26/2012 5:40:27 PM PST by liberalh8ter (Barack has a memory like a steel trap; it's a gift ~ Michelle Obama)
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To: lilyfreeper

One tweet also says “Michigan still pretty close.” If Romney is humiliated in his home state, a blow-out in Arizona will be a footnote.

http://twitter.com/#!/ppppolls/status/173907357301096448


6 posted on 02/26/2012 5:40:38 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: lilyfreeper

Mythens won’t win AZ because of my or my wife’s vote!


7 posted on 02/26/2012 5:40:46 PM PST by AZ .44 MAG (Repeal Obama)
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To: Happy Rain

Arizona also has a sizable Morman population.

It is truly amazing how tribal some demographic groups are: blacks vote for BHO2 becasue he is one of them, and Mormons vote for Romney because he is one of them.

Now, I’m grossly oversimplifying this trend, but it is sizable enough to win elections.


8 posted on 02/26/2012 5:41:32 PM PST by SatinDoll (No Foreign Naionals as our President!)
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To: liberalh8ter

I can answer that. I first came to AZ in 1995. Since that time it has seen monstrous immigration from California as the libs take it further down the spiral.

People say that this is an excuse. It is not. It’s the truth. Look at the growth of places like Bullhead City, Kingman, Lake Havasu City and the Burbs of the Phoenix/Tucson/Flagstaff areas. Most of those new residents came from either Mexico or California.

The ‘old timers’ (and bear in mind, most of AZ’s population was imported at some point otherwise the Tribes and a few others would be the only residents) that used to be the bedrock conservative base of the state are overwhelmed by straight liberals and Cali RINOs that hate the ‘regulation’ of Cali, but still want the ‘services and bennies’ they got there.


9 posted on 02/26/2012 5:48:01 PM PST by Norm Lenhart (Normie: Wandering Druid, Cult of Palin)
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To: lilyfreeper

Arizonans are certainly a strange breed of conservative. You get folks like Arpaio, etc. at the local or state level, then you get freaks like Napolitano and McCain at the national. Yet, they’re reliably Republican for the Presidential vote. Mormon tribalism and retirees who just think he looks presidential? I’m at a loss.


10 posted on 02/26/2012 5:49:57 PM PST by RegulatorCountry
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To: Norm Lenhart

Clarification... “Straight liberals” meaning Hardcore libs. There are plenty of the ‘bent’ variety here too.


11 posted on 02/26/2012 5:51:00 PM PST by Norm Lenhart (Normie: Wandering Druid, Cult of Palin)
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To: Norm Lenhart
I had family in Show Low. They've passed on and I haven't been there since the early 90’s. I guess things have changed. Thanks for the explanation.
12 posted on 02/26/2012 5:58:02 PM PST by liberalh8ter (Barack has a memory like a steel trap; it's a gift ~ Michelle Obama)
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To: liberalh8ter

AZ has a large Mormon population...


13 posted on 02/26/2012 5:58:23 PM PST by hoosiermama (Stand with God and Sarah, the Gipper and Newt will be standing next to you.)
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To: lilyfreeper

thanks.


14 posted on 02/26/2012 6:01:04 PM PST by freemarketsfreeminds
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To: lilyfreeper
AZ will fall to Romney by 30pts.

By Tuesday Michigan will fall by 12+pts.

This is one sad primary season.

Santorum supporters must continue their crusade and all candidates' must continue to fight.

But none of these guys are going into the convention with 1,144 delegates.

15 posted on 02/26/2012 6:02:22 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: liberalh8ter

It is a totally different place than it was in the 90s. The two (then/now) can’t really be compared. My mother came out ther in the 80s and at that point it was still ‘the wild west’ in a lot of ways. Today it’s just as regulated and screwed up as the other ‘56’ states.

And again history repeats. Liberals and their destructive effect are the root of the problems in AZ.


16 posted on 02/26/2012 6:04:52 PM PST by Norm Lenhart (Normie: Wandering Druid, Cult of Palin)
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To: lilyfreeper
"banked about a 30 point lead among early voters"

When you drop MILLIONS in a campaign, the "WALKIN' AROUND MONEY" and the handing out of ballots to Illegals and Party Operatives tends to keep the Establishment Candidate way out front, such as in other States with Early Voting.

IMHO, there should be ONE Primary Election date, nationwide, and you either show up at the polls on that day, or you don't vote, period.

There's no Photo ID on Early Voters, and Voter ID should be required, nationwide. If you can't show your face in public, or don't have a permanent address that's verifiable; you don't VOTE!

17 posted on 02/26/2012 6:13:17 PM PST by traditional1 (Don't gotsta worry 'bout no mo'gage, don't gotsta worry 'bout no gas; Obama gonna take care o' me!)
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To: lilyfreeper

Warren Jeffs has a lot of kids in Arizona, along with hundreds of thousands of other Mormons - and they vote....every single one.


18 posted on 02/26/2012 6:15:41 PM PST by montag813
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To: RegulatorCountry
Yet, they’re reliably Republican for the Presidential vote. Mormon tribalism and retirees who just think he looks presidential? I’m at a loss.

Axelrod is convinced that the Russell Pearce recall means Obama can take Arizona this year. He is delusional, but they are putting a lot of cash into it.

19 posted on 02/26/2012 6:18:43 PM PST by montag813
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To: lilyfreeper
Arizona voters on which they're more concerned with: about 80% economy, 15% social issues. Could help explain Santorum's drop.

that's what happens when you stupidly take the bait from the Obama campaign, via their media minions, to focus on contraception.

20 posted on 02/26/2012 6:25:56 PM PST by montag813
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To: montag813

If phony screwball Romney wins the nominations, we will have a choice between two Democrats, a socialist and a Communist. It’s time that Rick dumped some real negatives on him, such as the fact that his judicial nominations would make any Democrat proud, and that his support of Tsongas in ‘92, whom he originally forgot that he voted for, and ultimately claimed in a debate that there were no Republicans to support.
(Answer: George H.W. Bush, Qustion: Who was the ‘92 GOP nominee whom Romney COULD have voted for over Paul Tsongas?)
It’s time for Rick to strip the bark off this liar! Bob


21 posted on 02/26/2012 6:25:56 PM PST by alstewartfan (27 of 36 of Romney's judicial appointments were DEMOCRATS!!!!!)
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To: lilyfreeper

C'mon, AZ...stop giving us FAIL!!


22 posted on 02/26/2012 6:32:28 PM PST by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: lilyfreeper

AZ may be a goner, but there’s still Michigan. New tweet:

http://twitter.com/#!/ppppolls/status/173959129650569217

“Mitt Romney’s taken a very small lead on our new Michigan poll...full results between 10 and 10:30”

If Romney’s latest defamation campaign hasn’t killed Santorum in MI yet, I don’t think it’s going to. Plus, Santorum typically gets a couple points above his polling in the actual vote.


23 posted on 02/26/2012 6:43:59 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

Santorum’s net favorability in Michigan has declined 29 points in the last week.

Wow, just wow... Poor Little Ricky .


24 posted on 02/26/2012 6:49:52 PM PST by lilyfreeper
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To: lilyfreeper

Newt’s already conceded Michigan. So to slow down Romney’s momentum, both Gingrich & Santorum supporters should hope that Santorum prevails in Michigan. Beating Romney in his home state might not kill his candidacy, but it will severely wound it.


25 posted on 02/26/2012 7:00:06 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: lilyfreeper

Story of the GOP race: 2 weeks ago Santorum’s net fav was 34 pts better than Romney’s in MI. Now Romney’s is 5 pts better than Santorum.

With voters more concerned about economic than social issues (69% in MI) Romney leads Santorum 45-30.


26 posted on 02/26/2012 7:05:33 PM PST by lilyfreeper
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To: lilyfreeper

Saint Rick is a gaffomatic Mittens is as well.

Ron Paul and newt are the two left I like.


27 posted on 02/26/2012 7:08:37 PM PST by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Happy Rain

Also it has a large Mormon minority that will be exceptionally well organized.


28 posted on 02/26/2012 7:10:58 PM PST by Theodore R. (Forget the others: It's Santorum's turn, less baggage, articulate, passionate)
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To: liberalh8ter
What the heck is wrong with people?

Easy, they lack discernment. No one should put too much faith in the American people; the record shows it would be misplaced.

29 posted on 02/26/2012 7:16:07 PM PST by Theodore R. (Forget the others: It's Santorum's turn, less baggage, articulate, passionate)
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To: SatinDoll
Arizona also has a sizable Morman population.

It is truly amazing how tribal some demographic groups are: blacks vote for BHO2 becasue he is one of them, and Mormons vote for Romney because he is one of them.

Now, I’m grossly oversimplifying this trend, but it is sizable enough to win elections.


I'm not sure how large the mormon populations is...

LDS figures from 2000 say 6%

Wiki references a large 2008 survey that says 4%

With Arizona's growth I suspect the present figure may be nearer 3% - measurable, but is that really sizable?

30 posted on 02/26/2012 7:16:56 PM PST by az_gila
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To: liberalh8ter
I fear this election is just as rigged as 08.

You can take that to the bank!

31 posted on 02/26/2012 7:26:03 PM PST by TribalPrincess2U (NOT VOTING gets 0bamao re-elected. 0bamao's ANTI-TRUTH & SPIN TEAM is again on the move.)
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To: lilyfreeper

Mormon win in a Mormon state. Even Jan Brewer knows that trying to go against that tide is futile.


32 posted on 02/26/2012 7:27:22 PM PST by Steamburg (The contents of your wallet is the only language Politicians understand.)
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To: lilyfreeper

**Breaking** PPP has Romney up by 2 points in latest Michigan primary poll...

Romney 39%
Santorum 37%
13% Paul
9% Gingrich

I think things are still looking pretty good for Santorum given that he has a recent history of outperforming PPP’s numbers.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/romney-takes-small-michigan-lead.html


33 posted on 02/26/2012 7:40:18 PM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: lilyfreeper

Thanks McCain and Brewer for endorsing a damn rino


34 posted on 02/26/2012 7:46:22 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: DestroyLiberalism

Santorum could use that 9% from Gingrich right now.


35 posted on 02/26/2012 7:47:48 PM PST by Kenny
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To: az_gila

When searching for a scapegoat, any boogeyman will do!


36 posted on 02/26/2012 7:48:57 PM PST by JDW11235 (http://www.thirty-thousand.org/)
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To: Kenny

Santorum could help himself by talking about gas prices, jobs and debt instead of birth control, the separation of church and state etc.


37 posted on 02/26/2012 7:53:27 PM PST by freemarketsfreeminds
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To: freemarketsfreeminds

freemarketsfreeminds wrote:
<<
Santorum could help himself by talking about gas prices, jobs and debt instead of birth control, the separation of church and state etc.
>>

**************************************************************

Possibly. But it’s difficult when the media continues to harp on the birth control issue and keeps peppering Santorum with questions about it.


38 posted on 02/26/2012 7:58:15 PM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: RegulatorCountry

1996 - Arizona went for Clinton.


39 posted on 02/26/2012 7:59:13 PM PST by donna (The United States Constitution and the Koran are mutually exclusive.)
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To: DestroyLiberalism

It’s very difficult, but they won’t stop. Rick needs to take those questions reframe them, and use them to segway into things he wants to talk about.


40 posted on 02/26/2012 8:01:25 PM PST by freemarketsfreeminds
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To: DestroyLiberalism; All

PPP Michigan GOP Poll

Among Very Conservative Voters:

Santorum 44%
Romney 34%
Paul 10%
Gingrich 9%

Woo hoo!!


41 posted on 02/26/2012 8:03:13 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: Happy Rain
Is that the same AZ that gave us “Conservative” McCain for another FOUR years?
42 posted on 02/26/2012 8:06:07 PM PST by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: DestroyLiberalism; All

Newt should plead with his 9% to support Rick IN MICHIGAN!

That would doom Willard in his own home state plus dry up the Massachusetts Liberal’s funds — sending the Establishment into full panic mode.

Do it, Newt!


43 posted on 02/26/2012 8:10:01 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: CainConservative

CainConservative wrote:

PPP Michigan GOP Poll

Among Very Conservative Voters:

Santorum 44%
Romney 34%
Paul 10%
Gingrich 9%

Woo hoo!!

************************************************************

Now if those very conservative Michigan voters will show up at the polls in great enough numbers to defeat Romney on Tuesday night, all the better!


44 posted on 02/26/2012 8:11:13 PM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: az_gila

“With Arizona’s growth I suspect the present figure may be nearer 3% - measurable, but is that really sizable?”

Depends on whether the population is concentrated in geographical areas leading to pockets of political control. From what I’ve read, Mesa, AZ, has a large percentage of Mormons.

Indian reservations are usually Democratic Party strongholds, so expect them to vote for Obama.

Do all retirees vote conservative Republican? No.


45 posted on 02/26/2012 8:11:54 PM PST by SatinDoll (No Foreign Naionals as our President!)
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To: lilyfreeper

Michigan votes this coming tuesday......


46 posted on 02/26/2012 8:12:51 PM PST by goat granny
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To: lilyfreeper

Dole, McCain, Romney, I can’t stand this!!!

I was a Bachmann and Cain supporter. Why do we let the media destroy our candidates?

This should be a run away year against 0babma and his anti-American policies, not to mention the gas prices. Am I so out of touch?


47 posted on 02/26/2012 8:14:38 PM PST by mplsconservative (Impeach Obama Now!)
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To: lilyfreeper

Mormon population has been watered down the past few years..AZ has seen a large influx of escapees from the left coast. The Indian reservation are lefties...it will be interesting non the less...Hmmmm wondering what the polls are? Should I stick with Newt or go with Rick..Romo can KMA!


48 posted on 02/26/2012 8:16:35 PM PST by hope
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To: mplsconservative

mplsconservative wrote:
<<
Dole, McCain, Romney, I can’t stand this!!!

I was a Bachmann and Cain supporter. Why do we let the media destroy our candidates?

This should be a run away year against 0babma and his anti-American policies, not to mention the gas prices. Am I so out of touch?
>>

************************************************************

No, you’re not at all.... The powers-that-be who comprise the GOP inside-the-beltway establishment on the other hand are so grossly out of touch that they’re practically sabotaging what otherwise should be a year we defeat Obama in a landslide.


49 posted on 02/26/2012 8:30:19 PM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: Mariner

But none of these guys are going into the convention with 1,144 delegates.

I hope you are right Mariner.


50 posted on 02/26/2012 9:18:03 PM PST by Mountain Mary ("This is OUR country and WE will decide"... Mark Levin)
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