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PPP AZ and MI Tracking Real Time Update: Romney headed for a huge win in Arizona
PPP ^

Posted on 02/26/2012 5:33:18 PM PST by lilyfreeper

No #s yet, just some tidbits:

I'd expect Michigan results between 10 and 11 tonight, and Arizona results between midnight and 1 AM (all eastern)

Early observations on today's polls: Michigan still pretty close, but Romney headed for a huge win in Arizona.

It looks like Romney has banked about a 30 point lead among early voters in Arizona and they're more than half the electorate.

From the findings I didn't expect file: Babeu still seen more favorably than not by Arizona Republicans.

Santorum's favorability numbers not what they were a week ago- the shine is finally wearing off with GOP voters.

Arizona voters on which they're more concerned with: about 80% economy, 15% social issues. Could help explain Santorum's drop.

In Michigan the do you care more about the economy or social issues question coming in about 70/20 for the economy.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
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To: montag813

If phony screwball Romney wins the nominations, we will have a choice between two Democrats, a socialist and a Communist. It’s time that Rick dumped some real negatives on him, such as the fact that his judicial nominations would make any Democrat proud, and that his support of Tsongas in ‘92, whom he originally forgot that he voted for, and ultimately claimed in a debate that there were no Republicans to support.
(Answer: George H.W. Bush, Qustion: Who was the ‘92 GOP nominee whom Romney COULD have voted for over Paul Tsongas?)
It’s time for Rick to strip the bark off this liar! Bob


21 posted on 02/26/2012 6:25:56 PM PST by alstewartfan (27 of 36 of Romney's judicial appointments were DEMOCRATS!!!!!)
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To: lilyfreeper

C'mon, AZ...stop giving us FAIL!!


22 posted on 02/26/2012 6:32:28 PM PST by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: lilyfreeper

AZ may be a goner, but there’s still Michigan. New tweet:

http://twitter.com/#!/ppppolls/status/173959129650569217

“Mitt Romney’s taken a very small lead on our new Michigan poll...full results between 10 and 10:30”

If Romney’s latest defamation campaign hasn’t killed Santorum in MI yet, I don’t think it’s going to. Plus, Santorum typically gets a couple points above his polling in the actual vote.


23 posted on 02/26/2012 6:43:59 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

Santorum’s net favorability in Michigan has declined 29 points in the last week.

Wow, just wow... Poor Little Ricky .


24 posted on 02/26/2012 6:49:52 PM PST by lilyfreeper
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To: lilyfreeper

Newt’s already conceded Michigan. So to slow down Romney’s momentum, both Gingrich & Santorum supporters should hope that Santorum prevails in Michigan. Beating Romney in his home state might not kill his candidacy, but it will severely wound it.


25 posted on 02/26/2012 7:00:06 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: lilyfreeper

Story of the GOP race: 2 weeks ago Santorum’s net fav was 34 pts better than Romney’s in MI. Now Romney’s is 5 pts better than Santorum.

With voters more concerned about economic than social issues (69% in MI) Romney leads Santorum 45-30.


26 posted on 02/26/2012 7:05:33 PM PST by lilyfreeper
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To: lilyfreeper

Saint Rick is a gaffomatic Mittens is as well.

Ron Paul and newt are the two left I like.


27 posted on 02/26/2012 7:08:37 PM PST by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Happy Rain

Also it has a large Mormon minority that will be exceptionally well organized.


28 posted on 02/26/2012 7:10:58 PM PST by Theodore R. (Forget the others: It's Santorum's turn, less baggage, articulate, passionate)
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To: liberalh8ter
What the heck is wrong with people?

Easy, they lack discernment. No one should put too much faith in the American people; the record shows it would be misplaced.

29 posted on 02/26/2012 7:16:07 PM PST by Theodore R. (Forget the others: It's Santorum's turn, less baggage, articulate, passionate)
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To: SatinDoll
Arizona also has a sizable Morman population.

It is truly amazing how tribal some demographic groups are: blacks vote for BHO2 becasue he is one of them, and Mormons vote for Romney because he is one of them.

Now, I’m grossly oversimplifying this trend, but it is sizable enough to win elections.


I'm not sure how large the mormon populations is...

LDS figures from 2000 say 6%

Wiki references a large 2008 survey that says 4%

With Arizona's growth I suspect the present figure may be nearer 3% - measurable, but is that really sizable?

30 posted on 02/26/2012 7:16:56 PM PST by az_gila
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To: liberalh8ter
I fear this election is just as rigged as 08.

You can take that to the bank!

31 posted on 02/26/2012 7:26:03 PM PST by TribalPrincess2U (NOT VOTING gets 0bamao re-elected. 0bamao's ANTI-TRUTH & SPIN TEAM is again on the move.)
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To: lilyfreeper

Mormon win in a Mormon state. Even Jan Brewer knows that trying to go against that tide is futile.


32 posted on 02/26/2012 7:27:22 PM PST by Steamburg (The contents of your wallet is the only language Politicians understand.)
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To: lilyfreeper

**Breaking** PPP has Romney up by 2 points in latest Michigan primary poll...

Romney 39%
Santorum 37%
13% Paul
9% Gingrich

I think things are still looking pretty good for Santorum given that he has a recent history of outperforming PPP’s numbers.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/romney-takes-small-michigan-lead.html


33 posted on 02/26/2012 7:40:18 PM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: lilyfreeper

Thanks McCain and Brewer for endorsing a damn rino


34 posted on 02/26/2012 7:46:22 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: DestroyLiberalism

Santorum could use that 9% from Gingrich right now.


35 posted on 02/26/2012 7:47:48 PM PST by Kenny
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To: az_gila

When searching for a scapegoat, any boogeyman will do!


36 posted on 02/26/2012 7:48:57 PM PST by JDW11235 (http://www.thirty-thousand.org/)
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To: Kenny

Santorum could help himself by talking about gas prices, jobs and debt instead of birth control, the separation of church and state etc.


37 posted on 02/26/2012 7:53:27 PM PST by freemarketsfreeminds
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To: freemarketsfreeminds

freemarketsfreeminds wrote:
<<
Santorum could help himself by talking about gas prices, jobs and debt instead of birth control, the separation of church and state etc.
>>

**************************************************************

Possibly. But it’s difficult when the media continues to harp on the birth control issue and keeps peppering Santorum with questions about it.


38 posted on 02/26/2012 7:58:15 PM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: RegulatorCountry

1996 - Arizona went for Clinton.


39 posted on 02/26/2012 7:59:13 PM PST by donna (The United States Constitution and the Koran are mutually exclusive.)
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To: DestroyLiberalism

It’s very difficult, but they won’t stop. Rick needs to take those questions reframe them, and use them to segway into things he wants to talk about.


40 posted on 02/26/2012 8:01:25 PM PST by freemarketsfreeminds
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