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ARG Poll - Michigan (Santorum 36%, Romney 35%)
American Research Group ^ | 2/27/12 | staff

Posted on 02/27/2012 8:40:10 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009

Rick Santorum holds a slight lead heading into the Michigan Republican presidential primary. Santorum leads with 36% and is followed by Mitt Romney with 35%, Ron Paul with 15%, and Newt Gingrich with 8%.

Santorum has lost 2 percentage points since a similar survey conducted February 21-22, 2012, while Romney has gained 1 percentage point.

Romney now leads Santorum 38% to 37% among self-identified Republicans, followed by Gingrich with 11% and Paul with 9%. Among self-identified independents and Democrats, Santorum leads with 34%, followed by Romney with 30%, Paul with 25%, and Gingrich with 3%.

Santorum leads Romney 36% to 35% among likely Republican primary voters saying they will definitely vote in the February 28 primary, followed by Paul with 16% and Gingrich with 7%. Romney and Santorum are tied at 35% each among those saying they will probably vote, followed by Gingrich with 14% and Paul with 9%.

Santorum leads with 42% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 27%, Gingrich with 13%, and Paul with 11%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 40%, followed by Santorum with 32%, Paul with 17%, and Gingrich with 5%.

Santorum leads Romney 38% to 31% among men, followed by Paul with 18% and Gingrich with 9%. Romney leads Santorum 40% to 33% among women, followed by Paul with 11% and Gingrich with 7%.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanresearchgroup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: arg; michigan; poll
BOOM!
1 posted on 02/27/2012 8:40:13 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009
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To: TexasFreeper2009

2 posted on 02/27/2012 8:41:42 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: 21twelve; Absolutely Nobama; AFPhys; afraidfortherepublic; AmericanInTokyo; ...
Santorum for President Ping List.

FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.

3 posted on 02/27/2012 8:48:30 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Three polls posted on Breaking News:

ARG: Santorum 36 / Romney 35
MIRS: Santorum 37 / Romney 35
Rasmussen: Romney 38 / Santorum 36

The take-away here: No matter who does the poll, the results are within the margin of error. It’s REALLY close
and we all know what happens when “mistakes” are made in close elections. The “errors” ALWAYS favor the left most candidate.

To borrow a metaphor, any votes found in the back seat of someones car will be for Romney. Count on it.


4 posted on 02/27/2012 8:53:54 AM PST by Personal Responsibility (Obama 2012: Dozens of MSNBC viewers can't be wrong!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

These numbers are amazing. If you listen to Rick bashers, he should be a 2% with women, yet he is not that far behind Milt. Rick also is doing something that is necessary for the GOP to pick up swing states. He is connecting with disaffected Rats and old Reagan Rats. He is also blowing the doors off of Milt with Tea Party voters, but is not doing bad with people who do not affiliate themselves with the movement. There are a lot of positive things in here to give one hope that Rick could actually pull off a huge upset in MI.


5 posted on 02/27/2012 8:54:41 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Sadly, all of this seems like trying to choose between heart disease and cancer.


6 posted on 02/27/2012 8:59:13 AM PST by Gamecock (Celebrating 17,125 replies!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I’m assuming this does not include the KosKids planning on crossing over and voting for Santorum. Excellent news indeed.


7 posted on 02/27/2012 9:02:34 AM PST by Buckeye Battle Cry (Not Romney - Not ever!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Among self-identified independents and Democrats, Santorum leads with 34%, followed by Romney with 30%, Paul with 25%, and Gingrich with 3%.

Gingrich only 3%??? Something isn't right here.

8 posted on 02/27/2012 9:02:43 AM PST by Mangia E Statti Zitto
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Romney: AARRRGGGGGGGG!!


9 posted on 02/27/2012 9:07:39 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: Gamecock
Sadly, all of this seems like trying to choose between heart disease and cancer.

LOL...sucks to be you eh? Having to choose between 2 Catholics and a Mormon and then between one of them and a muslim! I wonder who it is that you hate more.

10 posted on 02/27/2012 9:09:18 AM PST by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: Mangia E Statti Zitto

We Gingrich supporters realize that in MI he has no chance and beating Mitt is the most important issue.

Pray for America


11 posted on 02/27/2012 9:09:59 AM PST by bray (More Batting Practice for the Bambino)
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To: Mangia E Statti Zitto
Gingrich only 3%??? Something isn't right here.

>try to keep up...Newt has announced he's not going to compete in MI.

12 posted on 02/27/2012 9:10:28 AM PST by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

“Santorum leads with 42% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 27%, Gingrich with 13%”


The ball is in the Newtonians’ court.

What will it be?

Willard Flopney, the Massachusetts liberal

or

Rick Santorum, the Tea Party favorite in Michigan.


13 posted on 02/27/2012 9:11:37 AM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: pgkdan

I’m keeping up just fine. If I were in MI I would vote for my candidate, since delegates are apportioned. If Newt can pick up a few delegates, what’s the problem with that? I still say that any poll which has Santorum leading Newt among Democrats and independents 34% to 3% is a bogus poll.


14 posted on 02/27/2012 9:20:04 AM PST by Mangia E Statti Zitto
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Republicans should at least make this race interesting. What’s another state under Santorum’s belt?


15 posted on 02/27/2012 9:21:31 AM PST by Crucial
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To: bray
I am checking out for a while. It is obvious that this stupidity is viewed by some as a brilliant strategy. In the short term, it sounds logical to them. But short term is all they care about or know.

For those of us who are realistic and think ahead of most everything, experience and history prove, that this is bound to be a disaster.

Time will tell, and I refuse to play a part in it. There is far more to life than santorum mania 24/7.

16 posted on 02/27/2012 9:25:30 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

The number one priority at this point is to stop Romney.

The only way to do that is to vote Santorum in Michigan.


17 posted on 02/27/2012 9:31:36 AM PST by reasonisfaith (Or, more accurately---reason serves faith. See W.L. Craig, R. Zacharias, Erwin Lutzer, and others.)
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To: Mangia E Statti Zitto
If Newt can pick up a few delegates, what’s the problem with that? I still say that any poll which has Santorum leading Newt among Democrats and independents 34% to 3% is a bogus poll.

Sorry...that 'try to keep up' crack was uncalled for. But, much to his credit, Newt realizes that if he doesn't compete his suport will likely go to Santorum and hurt Romney. I think Newt wants to win, but wants to see Romney lose even more.

18 posted on 02/27/2012 9:52:57 AM PST by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: pgkdan

Catholic or Mormon doesn’t matter at all, contrary to popular belief I don’t hate any of them. It’s about who is the best candidate.


19 posted on 02/27/2012 10:39:54 AM PST by Gamecock (Celebrating 17,126 replies!)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

If Mitt loses his home state of MI, then he should end his campaign since he will not win in NE Santorum states or Southern Newt states. He will be done.

Pray for America


20 posted on 02/27/2012 10:49:49 AM PST by bray (More Batting Practice for the Bambino)
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To: Gamecock

What an excellent analogy. For me, I just chose the guy who I thought was most likely to govern closest to Reagan.


21 posted on 02/27/2012 10:53:35 AM PST by MSF BU
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Santorum losing ground, a net 3 points, is a BOOM.

It's just not the sort you meant.

22 posted on 02/27/2012 10:59:48 AM PST by newzjunkey (Santorum wanted half-billion extra for Amtrak, endorsed Specter for President, voted for Sotomayor)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

They will hand it to Romney by 20 votes.


23 posted on 02/27/2012 12:05:43 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper (Cometh the hour, cometh the man. NEWT GINGRICH 2012)
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To: Personal Responsibility; onyx; conservativejoy; b9
Just talked with sis in Michigan. She said there was a blurb in their local news that said the polls were only questioning registered R voters. She named many neighbors and friends that were either registered I or D and planning on crossing over and voting AGAINST Romney.
24 posted on 02/27/2012 12:29:57 PM PST by hoosiermama (Stand with God and Sarah, the Gipper and Newt will be standing next to you.)
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To: hoosiermama; All

SWEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEET!! : )


25 posted on 02/27/2012 5:15:10 PM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

“I am checking out for a while”

Do you promise, Psycho-Freep?


26 posted on 02/27/2012 5:29:54 PM PST by Mountain Mary ("This is OUR country and WE will decide"... Mark Levin)
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To: hoosiermama

That’s a great tidbit from the front lines, hoosiermama.
Thanks....Give us some more updates later if you get them?


27 posted on 02/27/2012 5:32:23 PM PST by Mountain Mary ("This is OUR country and WE will decide"... Mark Levin)
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To: Mountain Mary

She’s calling after she votes tomorrow,


28 posted on 02/27/2012 5:42:34 PM PST by hoosiermama (Stand with God and Sarah, the Gipper and Newt will be standing next to you.)
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