Posted on 02/29/2012 6:35:47 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
Whether Newt Gingrich’s political team realized it or not, they escaped sudden death with Mitt Romney’s wins in Arizona and Michigan. While the Gingrich team spoke of the need to see Mitt Romney lose his “home state” the reality of Rick Santorum going down after his campaign and the PAC supporting him spent a fortune in Michigan is stark. The bloom is now officially off the Santorum rose.
Enter Gingrich, who has (to use a Newt phrase) “frankly” been out of money and unable to compete or even defend himself in states where he could have been or is competitive. The pro-Gingrich PAC has suddenly received a major cash infusion from its greatest proponent just in time to save the former Speaker of the House from endless negative Romney associated ads in Gingrich’s “home state” of Georgia. In addition, the Gingrich forces now have ads up in numerous states where they believe their man can accumulate delegates
The Gingrich PAC’s Georgia ad is of mediocre quality, but drives the central issue of questioning Romney’s true conservative bona fides. It will likely be enough to give Newt Gingrich a win in the Peach State, allowing him some (if not scant) time to aim at a few other states. With Santorum’s drop Gingrich could become a last minute substitute for the “anyone but Mitt” vote in Tennessee and Oklahoma. With so little time left, Ohio becomes problematic for Gingrich. But Alaska and several other states could yield delegates to Newt.
On the other hand, Mitt Romney’s camp will now be able to argue that a protracted nomination process is “hurting the GOP” and chances of defeating President Obama. Hillary Clinton heard the same from Obama supporters on 2008—a fact often forgotten four years later.
What Gingrich, Santorum, and Ron Paul must now hope for is a shredding apart of proportional delegates until the big prize of Texas comes up for grabs. Ironically, under GOP national rules, Romney’s wins in Florida and Arizona (both “winner take all” states) can be challenged at the convention in Tampa. But Texas, which was to be a “proportional” state, may become a “winner take all” contest given uncertainty over redistricting and the possibility that the state might have to move the date of its primary back—far enough to allow it to become a truly sanctioned winner take all state.
Gingrich is likely hoping to collect just enough delegates to stay alive until Texas when he (and his supporter Governor Rick Perry) can deliver a huge number of delegates. Like Gingrich, Rick Santorum will likely continue on collecting delegates as he can. And of course, Ron Paul will be in the contest until the end.
Next Tuesday’s “Super” vote is right around the corner. Mitt Romney has the momentum, if not the heart of his party, on his side. For Gingrich this is an opportunity to become relevant and perhaps even significant in the battle for the nomination. If that should occur, the convention will likely have no individual with the necessary votes needed to win the nomination. But if Gingrich fails to become relevant in the next week, then Santorum will melt and Romney will have punched his ticket to the final dance (a little “March Madness” language for our NCAA basketball fans!).
Simple reality as I see it; Newt or Romney either one could win, but I don’t see how Santorum could. The choice has to be between Gingrich and Romney. I’d be perfectly happy to have any of them in the whitehouse, but the nation would not survive another four years of Obama/Saetoro.
LOL. From nobody to nearly winning Mitt's home state, in spite of being outspent 5 to 1, and taking home nearly as many delegates.
Because there's no danger of Willard running away with the nomination it won't hurt if both Santorum & Gingrich stay in the race for the near future, but at some point the third place guy is gonna have to decide whether he wants to be the guy that enabled Willard.
Did Newt Gingrich Just Win In Michigan? (His plan to win is patient, simple and clever)
Thanks for the link, while there I found another gem:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOpwCQsMbCE
“The Con Artist” (Obama)
Agreed. We can’t afford 4 more years of the Kenyan Muslim. I would be happy with President Romney, Gingrich, Santorum or Paul. Some might make me happier than others, but any one of those four would be better than Obama. The circular firing squad has to stop and we need to unite behind a nominee, defeat Obama, take the Senate, and retain the House. We can’t do it as a house divided. That would be exactly what the statists want.
I agree. I'd rather see a Romney/Gingrich ticket than another four of obama. You are right - we will not survive another four of obama in a nothing-to-lose second term. He will run rougohshod over the constitution. For the sake of our children and grandchildren, we cannot allow that.
Not all statists are Democrats.
Romneycare-Obamacare.
For example.
There’s some sifting and winnowing that needs doing.
When you say unite, many use that to tell Newt Gingrich to leave the race.
Back when he was leading, and won a smashing victory in SC, only Rick Perry heeded that sentiment in terms of his own campaign.
Now that Newt isn’t the candidate he once was, people expect him to leave, leaving only Romney and Santorum. I don’t count Paul, although he is collecting delegates.
That would be wrong. We need Newt Gingrich. Listen to him, watch him, read his stuff. The other two don’t come close.
“Wins Gives” - who writes tihs stuff?
Check it out - the headline is about two Romney wins...both AZ and MI.
More campaign news — (where the other 9K+ votes went):
http://trailblazersblog.dallasnews.com/archives/2012/02/rick-perry-wins-among-others-i.html
“It’s well known now that Mitt Romney won Michigan with 41 percent, followed by Rick Santorum with 38, Ron Paul with 12 and Newt Gingrich with 6.5.
But what of the other 3 percent? Well, it was quite a horse race............
Rick Perry 1,906
Buddy Roemer 1,874
Michele Bachmann 1,766
Jon Huntsman 1,712
Herman Cain 1,237
Gary Johnson 519
Whose doesn't?
Cancel that...I see where your complaint is against the word “gives” following “wins”, not the other way around...
Of that latter group, I believe only Buddy Roemer is an actual candidate now, the others having ceased.
Nice to see Perry winning a “race” of sorts...
:)
Given a choice of voting for any of those three for POTUS, I will have to go 3rdParty or write-in.
VOTE FOR JOHN GALT
A question about your tagline, do you still listen to Glenn? He long ago jumped the shark and is about as anti-Newt as they come.
And, right now, it is pretty clear who the third place guy is. And pretty clear where he is pegging his hopes: a convincing win in his home state of Georgia, where he has never won a statewide race, and a come from behind win in his neighboring state of Tennessee.
At some point, Newt is going to have to win a state outside of the south to convince us he is still viable. That may not be the way we want it, but that's the fact.
Newt cant win either. He came in forth in mich; he can win one state, but he cant win most of them. Romney wins in head-to-head vs Newt in most states, and Newt polls 3rd nationally.
Also, conservative vote is still split; so long as Newt and Santorum both stay in, Romney wins. But Santorum ran ahead of Newt so no reason for him to drop out before Newt.
IMHO, it all adds up to Romney winning.
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