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"...Tennessee looking...more competitive. Santorum still up but Mitt and Newt within about 5-7 pts"
Public Policy Polling (via Twitter) ^ | 3/3/12 | Public Policy Polling

Posted on 03/03/2012 1:49:16 PM PST by BCrago66

Public Policy Polling is polling 3 Republican Primary states with weekend: Tennessee, Georgia, and Ohio. (I know, it's a Democratic firm, but I doubt that bias expresses itself when it's a Republican v. Republican race.) According to the tweets, Newt is not doing great in Ohio, polling at around 15%. However:

1) Newt's moving up to challenge Santorum in Tennessee:

"Surprise of the day- Tennessee looking much more competitive. Santorum still up but Mitt and Newt within about 5-7 pts"

2) PPP confirms Newt's big lead in Georgia, and also finds that Santorum is fading to 3rd place in that State:

"Newt up big in Georgia. Kinda wish we'd polled Oklahoma instead. Romney with a healthy lead for 2nd over Santorum so far"

So this news - plus the latest Gallup national poll which places Newt within 5 of Santorum - appears to confirm the trend of Newt rising, and Santorum fading. Let's do all we can to accelerate this trend, so that Newt, and not Romney, is the ultimate beneficiary.

(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gingrich; lawyers4president; newt; newt2012; newtgingrich
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1 posted on 03/03/2012 1:49:22 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

I wonder where Newt’s votes will go when he drops out...to Santorum or Romney? My bet is they will all go Santorum...this means that Romney is really losing by 10 points in every state if you add those two together.


2 posted on 03/03/2012 1:54:31 PM PST by willyd (your credibility deficit is screwing up my bs meter...)
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To: willyd

If Newt drops out, I will not be bothering with the primary in my state.

I will vote against Obama in the election.


3 posted on 03/03/2012 1:57:08 PM PST by Irenic (The pencil sharpener and Elmer's glue is put away-- we've lost the red wheel barrow)
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To: BCrago66
Newt is the best of those 3.

Come on Tennessee, be brave and support a strong person to take on the Obama radical regime. This is a time to get our country back, not manage the decay as Newt says.

4 posted on 03/03/2012 1:57:48 PM PST by Christie at the beach (I like Newt and would love to see political dead bodies on the floor.)
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To: true believer forever; georgiagirl_pam; kalee; TitansAFC; LuvFreeRepublic; Sea Parrot; ...
LOOKING GOOD! GO NEWT! CALL TO ACTION!

5 posted on 03/03/2012 2:00:12 PM PST by onyx (SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC, DONATE MONTHLY. If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know.)
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To: deoetdoctrinae; Tennessee Nana; jaycee; MHGinTN; wardaddy; ebshumidors; radu
GO Tennessee!
FOR NEWT!

The Place for Conservatives
WooHoo!!



6 posted on 03/03/2012 2:13:06 PM PST by onyx (SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC, DONATE MONTHLY. If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know.)
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To: willyd

DELEGATE RACE AS IT STANDS NOW:
Romney- 154, of those 36 are non-binding= 118 solid
Santorum- 69, of those 52 are non-binding= 17 solid
Gingrich- 33, of those 3 are non-binding= 30 solid
Paul- 26, of those 18 are non-binding= 8 solid

POPULAR VOTE TOTALS:
Romney- 1,749,677
Gingrich- 978,229
Santorum- 932,508
Paul- 463,176

All information found at Real Clear Politics

So willyd, why don’t we compare solid delegate counts on Wednesday morning. Or better yet, why don’t we compare solid delegate counts on March the 14th. Then we will see who needs to be talking about dropping out.


7 posted on 03/03/2012 2:17:43 PM PST by georgiagirl_pam (STEP ONE: SECURE YOUR DOOR (gives you time to get your gun!) mysafedoor.com)
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To: willyd
Newt's voters will sit out the rest of the primary and let the backstabbing weasel take on Romney all by himself. This Newt supporter on balance doesn't see a measurable difference between Romney and Santorum.
8 posted on 03/03/2012 2:19:36 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Santorum says he isn't a visionary. Sorry Rick, without a vision the people perish.)
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To: lonevoice

Encouraging. Newt is the only one running who will make the changes necessary to save our country, period. His record of change when he was Speaker speaks for itself. A visionary. An historian. A President.


9 posted on 03/03/2012 2:36:08 PM PST by Pride in the USA
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To: gov_bean_ counter
This Newt supporter on balance doesn't see a measurable difference between Romney and Santorum.

Dumbest statement on Free Republic all year. You must be a complete and utter buffoon if you believe that. Romney and Santorum have a ton of difference but you prove that even on Free Republic we have below intelligent people.

10 posted on 03/03/2012 2:37:48 PM PST by napscoordinator (A moral principled Christian with character is the frontrunner! Congrats Santorum!)
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To: georgiagirl_pam

I like it how you manage to throw out 85 percent of Santorum’s delegates. Slick.

I’m happy to compare actual delegate counts, and that shows Santorum 2:1 over Newt.


11 posted on 03/03/2012 2:44:52 PM PST by LeopoldvonRanke
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To: Pride in the USA; Stillwaters

It is encouraging. Santorum’s co-frontrunner status has taken some hits in the last few weeks since he caught the gaze of Romnney’s Eye of Sauron. It looks like Santorum’s star is fading, hopefully with enough time for a Newt resurgence. If so, the timing will favor Newt.


12 posted on 03/03/2012 2:48:30 PM PST by lonevoice (Klepto Baracka Marxo, impeach we much.)
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To: BCrago66

This is good news. Rick has been dropping in a number of places and Newt has been on the rise. Even in Ohio Newts numbers have been climbing. So he should get a piece of the pie in that state. GO NEWT GO!


13 posted on 03/03/2012 2:49:15 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: napscoordinator

I think that Mitt introduced a toxicity to the Republican primaries, that is spreading and now causing fights among Newt v. Santorum supporters. Not unlike the evil supernatural spirits which caused such acrimony among fellow New Yorkers in the first Ghostbuster movie.

I’ll admit that I’m like a lot of Newt supporters in that I am disappointed in Santorum for piling on in some of Romney’s attacks on Newt (in contrast to Newt, who showed class and did not do the same when Romney attacked Santorum.) That said, I think both Newt & Santorum supporters should pledge to support the other guy against Romney, because Romney is a nowhere man, with no convictions and little character. Both Newt & Santorum are lifelong conservatives and individuals of solid character.


14 posted on 03/03/2012 2:52:46 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: Christie at the beach

I will be voting for Newt. :)


15 posted on 03/03/2012 2:53:11 PM PST by HoneysuckleTN (Where the woodbine twineth...)
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To: napscoordinator; PSYCHO-FREEP
Get over yourself you single issue clod. Santorum is not a man of integrity, character or conviction. His Senate votes show that his “principles” are negotiable and his personal history shows he hasn't always come down on the side of life.
16 posted on 03/03/2012 2:56:30 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Santorum says he isn't a visionary. Sorry Rick, without a vision the people perish.)
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To: onyx

Newt is surging. ;-)

I expect he will over take the hemorrhaging Santo by Super Tuesday in Tennessee.


17 posted on 03/03/2012 2:59:57 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: napscoordinator; gov_bean_ counter

Santorum has a similar journey as Romney when it comes to conservatism.

Santorum changed from pro-abortion to mostly pro-life when he entered politics, his Catholic religion evidently had never affected him.

Santorum changed from running as a “Progressive Conservative” in his campaign literature, and one who wanted the hard core pro-abortion radical Arlen Specter for President, into the Romneylite guy that we see today.


18 posted on 03/03/2012 3:19:31 PM PST by ansel12 (Newt Gingrich knows how to deconstruct Obama in a head to head race, and that is what it will take.)
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To: LeopoldvonRanke

I didn’t throw out Santorum’s delegates. Nothing slick about it. JUST THE FACTS, as they relate to the Delegate Count right now. Do you need me to explain what a non-binding delegate is and what it means to the candidate?
Now he may end up getting them in the end, but as of right now they are not SOLID in his camp.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html

From the Missouri Secretary of State- -The February 7th “beauty contest” primary will not count for delegates toward the 2012 GOP convention. The Missouri Republican Party will hold a caucus on March 17th which will determine the delegates sent to the 2012 GOP convention
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MO-R#0421
The delegates in attendance at each caucus alone determine if presidential preference is to be a factor and, if so, how it is to be applied.

Iowa-http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/IA-R#0616
The delegates in attendance at each County Convention alone determine if presidential preference is to be a factor and, if so, how it is to be applied.

Colorado- http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/CO-R#0414
Delegates selected at the Precinct Caucuses may (but are not required to) declare their Presidential Preference.

Wyoming- http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/WY-R#0412
The participants at each County Convention alone determine if presidential preference is to be a factor in such choices and, if so, how it is to be applied. All delegates are officially unbound.


19 posted on 03/03/2012 3:29:46 PM PST by georgiagirl_pam (STEP ONE: SECURE YOUR DOOR (gives you time to get your gun!) mysafedoor.com)
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To: georgiagirl_pam

Yes, the VAST MAJORITY of so-called “Santorum delegates” are simply unbound delegates that can vote for whomever they choose on the convention floor.


20 posted on 03/03/2012 3:31:06 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: LeopoldvonRanke
"Slick."

Those are UNBOUND delegates. The state party can instruct them to vote for another candidate...and they can choose to vote for any7 candidate they wish on the convention floor.

21 posted on 03/03/2012 3:34:36 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: georgiagirl_pam

You stated we should only consider solid delegates, so yes, you are throwing out 85 percent of his delegates.

It’s a bit self-serving, don’t you think? The Actual delegate count is much more telling.


22 posted on 03/03/2012 3:35:56 PM PST by LeopoldvonRanke
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To: LeopoldvonRanke

LeopoldvonRanke
Since Feb 8, 2012

It seems from the responses you got, you have yourself stepped in some “slick”.

** President Newt Gingrich-”Our beloved republic deserves nothing less.”


23 posted on 03/03/2012 3:43:11 PM PST by Gator113 (** President Newt Gingrich-"Our beloved republic deserves nothing less." ~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: BCrago66
Is it me or their isn't a debate thread for tonight, yes Hucabee's at 8:00pm with Newt, Mitt and Rick. It could be good for Newt if he makes some fireworks...
24 posted on 03/03/2012 3:43:45 PM PST by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: Red Steel
I expect he will over take the hemorrhaging Santo by Super Tuesday in Tennessee.

Do we then have "Sarah" do what she did to Bachmann and declare the obvious and ask him to exit? One can hope.....

25 posted on 03/03/2012 3:46:44 PM PST by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: LeopoldvonRanke

Wow, you still don’t get it.

The solid delegates ARE THE ACTUAL DELEGATE COUNT right now.

Soft delegates are UNBOUND. They can decide who they want to vote for when they get to the County, District and State Conventions. THEY can decide whether or not to let the presidential preference vote determine who they cast THEIR delegate vote for. They can vote for any of the candidates!

As I said before, Santorum may end up getting all of the soft delegates converted to solid, pledged delegates. But it hasn’t happened yet...........


26 posted on 03/03/2012 3:48:44 PM PST by georgiagirl_pam (STEP ONE: SECURE YOUR DOOR (gives you time to get your gun!) mysafedoor.com)
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To: BCrago66
"Not unlike the evil supernatural spirits which caused such acrimony among fellow New Yorkers..."

You're not talking about Dede Scozzafava, are you? ;-)

27 posted on 03/03/2012 3:51:07 PM PST by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum)
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To: georgiagirl_pam

The actual delegate count is the bound + unbound delegates. Those are the delegates that have been earned through the primaries.

I”m aware that WY et al haven’t actually awarded them yet, but they are all we have to go on at this point in time to gage the level of support between all the candidates.

The reason they are unbound is to prevent what happened in MI, FL etc - the halving of their state delegates.


28 posted on 03/03/2012 3:51:55 PM PST by LeopoldvonRanke
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To: taildragger
Completely forgot, thanks for reminding us!

Fireworks might be difficult, because its harder for Newt for go on the offensive without a liberal media foil, and because of Huckleberry's sanctimonious "be nice" conditions to all candidates. However, whenever Newt can display his superior command of the issues, it boosts him with the voters. T-67 minutes until the showtime. If no one else posts a thread, I will.

29 posted on 03/03/2012 3:54:09 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

Am I supposed to be happy that Romney is rising?


30 posted on 03/03/2012 3:56:19 PM PST by dforest
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To: BCrago66
BC go for it rather than I since ya beat me to it :-)..

See ya their.

The good news is only Politico Junkies will follow it with it's odd time.

The even better news is it gets talked about Sunday and more so Monday on Conservative Talk Shows which might benefit the Newtster.

31 posted on 03/03/2012 3:59:31 PM PST by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: BCrago66
BC go for it rather than I since ya beat me to it :-)..

See ya their.

The good news is only Politico Junkies will follow it with it's odd time.

The even better news is it gets talked about Sunday and more so Monday on Conservative Talk Shows which might benefit the Newtster.

32 posted on 03/03/2012 3:59:56 PM PST by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: taildragger

More information on the Huckleberry forum: According to this Politico article, it’s already been taped, and Paul didn’t participate:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0312/73573.html

And my guess is that, like the other forums, there’s no candidate interaction, so it’s really 3 back-to-back interviews. Otherwise, we’d already be hearing leaks of the exchanges between the candidates.


33 posted on 03/03/2012 4:01:35 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: gov_bean_ counter
I am with you. Santorum is a little weasel and not much difference between him and Romney in my book.

for me it is Newt or noone. I have voted for rinos in the past and refuse to ever do it again..no more caving to the establishment or some watered down republican that takes it for the team

34 posted on 03/03/2012 4:05:39 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: gov_bean_ counter
I am with you. Santorum is a little weasel and not much difference between him and Romney in my book.

for me it is Newt or noone. I have voted for rinos in the past and refuse to ever do it again..no more caving to the establishment or some watered down republican that takes it for the team

35 posted on 03/03/2012 4:06:05 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: gov_bean_ counter
I am with you. Santorum is a little weasel and not much difference between him and Romney in my book.

for me it is Newt or noone. I have voted for rinos in the past and refuse to ever do it again..no more caving to the establishment or some watered down republican that takes it for the team

36 posted on 03/03/2012 4:07:24 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: katiedidit1

A post so nice, you said it thrice! :-)


37 posted on 03/03/2012 4:13:05 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: dforest

That seems to be the case, isn’t it?


38 posted on 03/03/2012 4:14:27 PM PST by LeopoldvonRanke
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To: georgiagirl_pam
OH they all got "it" when Little Ricky was doing so poorly in the polls and refused to drop out. They were influeneced by the msm after Santorums 3 state win of non binding delegates and you are right...they don't understand that Santorum didnt get any delegates in those states and there was a very low voter turnout to boot.

I won't vote for either RS or MR...for me it is Newt or else.

39 posted on 03/03/2012 4:17:30 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: BCrago66

LOL and sorry:) maybe I can vote for Newt thrice?


40 posted on 03/03/2012 4:19:55 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: katiedidit1

Wish we all could do that...

Maybe with the new fundraising FR can get some new servers, because I that’s what’s casing the problem.


41 posted on 03/03/2012 4:23:39 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

“because I that’s what’s casing the problem.”

Maybe I have to say sorry now for my spelling malfunction :-)


42 posted on 03/03/2012 4:26:47 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: willyd

You’d do better wondering where Santorum’s votes would go if he dropped out. His numbers look better until you take a real look at them Despite the drop from grace (smears worked) Newt is far more popular (and capable) than Rick. Pushing Rick over Newt now is like hopping up a race horse - he might win this bout, but will likely drop dead.


43 posted on 03/03/2012 4:31:02 PM PST by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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To: Pride in the USA

“A visionary. An historian. A President.”.....A communicator. Remember Reagan! Communication is most important.


44 posted on 03/03/2012 4:32:49 PM PST by plenipotentiary (Obama was a BRITISH SUBJECT at birth, passed to him via Pops, can't be NBC)
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To: onyx
You're not going to believe it! After I added "Hugo" to our Netflix list, I told Hubby that I did. He
said, "I bought it." He said that everybody liked it so much that he decided just to get it for us. LOL!
45 posted on 03/03/2012 6:01:11 PM PST by TheOldLady (FReepmail me to get ON or OFF the ZOT LIGHTNING ping list)
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To: onyx

Hey lady. #8 and #16 onver over the top? BE honest, we will still be TRiends.

Have a great evening...
#]


46 posted on 03/03/2012 7:38:12 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Santorum says he isn't a visionary. Sorry Rick, without a vision the people perish.)
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To: TheOldLady
You will be happy he bought it! It's a wonderful movie. I'm so sorry it didn't win best picture over that silent French film, but that's Hollywierd. Of course we also liked Midnight in Paris, which is the only Woody Allen I've ever liked!
47 posted on 03/03/2012 8:32:44 PM PST by onyx (SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC, DONATE MONTHLY. If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know.)
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To: BCrago66

Rick had a double digit lead in Michigan and lost it within a few days. He had a double digit lead in the polls in Oklahoma, now that lead is fading. His lead in Ohio has all but evaporated and his lead in Tennessee will do the same. Rick’s had too many “oops” statements as the Wall Street Journal said. Who cares if a married couple uses the pill or a condom? Who cares that a “Separation of Church and State” speech by JFK 50 years ago makes you want to vomit? Now we know why he lost his Senate seat by the biggest margin ever lost by an incumbent. Hasta la vista Ricky.


48 posted on 03/03/2012 8:33:33 PM PST by no dems (No RINO-Rom, no Kook-Daddy and no "out of touch" Rev. Rick........Gingrich.... YES!!!)
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To: katiedidit1

I won’t vote for either RS or MR...for me it is Newt or else.
______________________________________________________________
Or else what?


49 posted on 03/03/2012 8:34:52 PM PST by no dems (No RINO-Rom, no Kook-Daddy and no "out of touch" Rev. Rick........Gingrich.... YES!!!)
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To: no dems

or else ..I wont vote for president..only on state issues.
Been there and done that...McCain was the last straw and yes, I voted for the jerk


50 posted on 03/03/2012 8:38:03 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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