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New poll shows Rick Santorum leading in Alabama GOP primary
al.com ^ | 03/07/12 | George Talbot

Posted on 03/08/2012 7:54:01 AM PST by pgkdan

A new poll released on the eve of Rick Santorum’s first campaign visit to Alabama shows the former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania leading in the state Republican Party presidential primary.

The statewide poll conducted by Alabama State University’s Center for Leadership and Public Policy showed 22.7 percent of likely Republican voters supported Santorum, who is scheduled to make campaign appearances Thursday in Huntsville and Mobile.

Former Massachussetts Gov. Mitt Romney trailed Santorum with 18.7 percent, followed by Newt Gingrich, the former Speaker of the House from neighboring Georgia, with 13.8 percent.

The telephone poll of 470 likely GOP voters showed 29.8 remained undecided and 15 percent saying they intended to support other candidates. The poll did not ask voters whether they supported Ron Paul, the Texas congressman seeking the GOP nomination.

The poll was conducted March 1, prior to the Super Tuesday vote that helped establish Romney and Santorum as leaders in the race for the nomination, with Romney holding a total of 415 delegates and Santorum with 176.

Gingrich, with 105 delegates, canceled campaign plans in Kansas this week to focus on voters in Alabama and Mississippi, which share a primary election day Tuesday.

But the poll results indicate that support for Gingrich is waning in Alabama, according to ASU political science professor Thomas Vocino.

“The numbers are just not in his favor, and the trend is working against him,” Vocino said. “I can’t foresee a situation where he can rebound and win in Alabama.”

Vocino said Gingrich’s support has fallen steeply since ASU began tracking the race five weeks ago. Gingrich led the field in Alabama with 26.9 percent in the initial round of polling on Feb. 2. His support slipped to 18.9 percent by Feb. 23, when results showed him with a slim lead over Santorum at 18.3 percent.

Santorum’s steady increase over the same time period came almost completely at Gingrich’s expense, Vocino said. Romney, by comparison, has held flat at around 16-18 percent, according to Vocino.

The results indicate that Gingrich is unlikely to reach the 20 percent threshold that would allow him to win delegates in any of the state’s seven congressional districts.

“I think it is very problematic for Gingrich to get any” delegates, Vocino said


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Alabama
KEYWORDS: adiosnewt; al2012; biggovernmentrick; blowhardnewt; bspoll; bspushpoll; byebyenoot; conservatives; crybabynewt; getoutnewt; getoutrick; getthehelloutnewt; newt4obama; newt4romney; newtgetout; newtsfinaldays; newtsplittingthevote; nonewt; pushpoll; rickgetout; rickspoiler; santorum; santorum2012; santorum4romney; santorumspoiler; slimynoot; sorelosernoot; toast4newt; valuesvoters
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With Santorum's stronger than expected and Romney's weaker than expected Super Tuesday showings things should look even better for Rick now.
1 posted on 03/08/2012 7:54:06 AM PST by pgkdan
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To: pgkdan

If Newt can’t win in Alabama, then he has no “southern strategy.”


2 posted on 03/08/2012 7:59:40 AM PST by Carry_Okie (The RNC would prefer Obama to a conservative nominee.)
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To: pgkdan

What I have noticed is the media’s unwillingness to acknowledge Santorum’s appeal outside the midwest.


3 posted on 03/08/2012 8:00:09 AM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: pgkdan

Single issue moralists continuing to vote against their better economic interests.


4 posted on 03/08/2012 8:00:26 AM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Romney - Santorum: Twin Sons of Different Mothers...)
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To: pgkdan

Go Rick!

Need to get behind his momentum before the msm and gope get their minions out with their propaganda again.


5 posted on 03/08/2012 8:00:26 AM PST by Kenny
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To: pgkdan

I remain quite skeptical that 470 people can be that accurate in the overall scheme of things in Alabama. I know, I know, I still remain skeptical.

Newt may or may not be in this bad of shape down there. If he is, it doesn’t bode well for him.


6 posted on 03/08/2012 8:01:12 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: Kenny

Newt’s and Romney’s PACs have been running it already in Mississippi.


7 posted on 03/08/2012 8:02:23 AM PST by Ingtar
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To: DoughtyOne

Wow, and this poll was taken March 1st, and only accounts for 55% of the vote. Essentially worthless...


8 posted on 03/08/2012 8:03:55 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: pgkdan
Great news!---Press on Santorum!
9 posted on 03/08/2012 8:04:19 AM PST by Guenevere (....Whom God calls,... He equips......Press On Santorum!)
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To: 21twelve; Absolutely Nobama; AFPhys; afraidfortherepublic; AmericanInTokyo; ...
Santorum for President Ping List.

FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.

10 posted on 03/08/2012 8:04:30 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: DoughtyOne

Tracks Newts national number of around 14%, it is a safe bet Rick will win the southern states.


11 posted on 03/08/2012 8:05:08 AM PST by org.whodat
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To: pgkdan

I don’t believe it. I live in bama and I see a lot of support for Newt.


12 posted on 03/08/2012 8:06:23 AM PST by BO Stinkss
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To: pgkdan

How can Romney be close in Alabama? Help me out, Alabamans.


13 posted on 03/08/2012 8:06:36 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas (Viva Christo Rey!)
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To: DoughtyOne

The other headline I have seen on this is: “Undecided would win the Alabama Primary if held today.”


14 posted on 03/08/2012 8:06:36 AM PST by Ingtar
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To: pgkdan

This is why I am concerned about Newt. He can’t even win southern or semi-southern states like Tennessee and now looks like Alabama.

He can’t possibly win without the south.


15 posted on 03/08/2012 8:07:42 AM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: gov_bean_ counter
Single issue moralists continuing to vote against their better economic interests.

Santorum has a better grip on foreign policy than Newt. He communicates more clearly about it as well. I'm not so thrilled about a lot of his other positions, but he is more trustworthy than Newt's propensity to chase the fashion of the moment, be it biodiversity, global warming, carbon trading, or healthcare mandates.

Get a grip.

16 posted on 03/08/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Carry_Okie (The RNC would prefer Obama to a conservative nominee.)
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To: pgkdan

Don’t worry. By Tuesday morning Team Romney will have outspent him in Alabama 6 to 1 and will have successfully carpet-bombed him into second place.


17 posted on 03/08/2012 8:09:52 AM PST by Buckeye Battle Cry (Not Romney - Not ever!)
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To: org.whodat

I appreciate the mention. I’d like to see him do it. I have thought he would, but we’ll see. Newt’s folks are convinced he’s on a one state roll...


18 posted on 03/08/2012 8:09:59 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: pgkdan; Clintonfatigued; BillyBoy

A patry lead to be sure but it don’t look good for Newt in Alabama one of the few states you’d think he’d be competitive in.

If “other candidates” is all Ron Paul (who’s name wasn’t in the poll) then Newt is in 4th like he was in most Super Tuesday states. Vote Santorum.


19 posted on 03/08/2012 8:10:13 AM PST by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: gov_bean_ counter

“Single issue moralists continuing to vote against their better economic interests.”

Santorum is just their version of Mitt Romney.


20 posted on 03/08/2012 8:12:12 AM PST by VanDeKoik (If case you are wondering, I'm supporting Newt.)
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To: pgkdan; Clintonfatigued; BillyBoy

By “Patry” I mean “Paltry”.


21 posted on 03/08/2012 8:12:18 AM PST by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: Carry_Okie
“Mr. Trustworthy” has taken more for the team than a high school cheerleader.
22 posted on 03/08/2012 8:12:34 AM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Romney - Santorum: Twin Sons of Different Mothers...)
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To: DoughtyOne

remember how some threads popped up on here saying Santorum is leading GA, or Newt is neck and neck with Santorum.

Look at those past threads and then this one and they all have one thing ion common for sure and that is.
These polls are useless based on a few hundred and why these kind of polls are put on here and other places seem to be pointless or maybe osme put them on here for an agenda, though why I don’t know it’s not exactly going to stop those 50 freepers from AL to change their vote.


23 posted on 03/08/2012 8:14:31 AM PST by manc (Marriage is between one man and one woman,It's not a conservative view but a true American view)
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To: Buckeye Battle Cry

I’m not convinced the citizens of those states are going to buy what the carpet bagger is selling, but you’re certainly right about Romney’s attempt to purchase the election as if at a discount yard sale.

That Santorum can win any state, is amazing in light of the spending ratios, between him and Romney.


24 posted on 03/08/2012 8:14:43 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: gov_bean_ counter
Single issue moralists continuing to vote against their better economic interests.

Single issue economy wonks are often voting against their overall interests.
25 posted on 03/08/2012 8:15:46 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (May Mitt Romney be the Paul Tsongas of 2012.)
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To: Carry_Okie

You’ve got to be kidding?

Santorum’s foreign policy? What is THAT exactly?

Amazing how a back bench Senator tossed out of office by 18% less than a decade ago, is now a genius foreign policy wonk.

I simply wont play this make-believe game people are engaging in in order to make this guy into something other than a total put on.


26 posted on 03/08/2012 8:16:03 AM PST by VanDeKoik (If case you are wondering, I'm supporting Newt.)
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To: rwfromkansas

you actually trust this poll or does anyone actually think this is true?

We’ve had many polls in the past saying Newt was way behind in GA and look at that result.

Hopefully Newt wins AL, MS and maybe Santorum wins KS.

More numbers Romney cannot get IMHO


27 posted on 03/08/2012 8:16:56 AM PST by manc (Marriage is between one man and one woman,It's not a conservative view but a true American view)
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To: Carry_Okie

No,no, no. He just decided to let Alabama and Mississippi go—like Kansas—and focus his surging efforts on the 51st-57th states.


28 posted on 03/08/2012 8:17:07 AM PST by Houghton M.
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To: pgkdan
Townhall PollTracker Alabama Republican Primary (National)

Good attempt to twist the facts (again) But we are way ahead of you! (Week old data won't help you anymore)

Latest PollsState PollsNational Polls
Alabama Republican Primary (National)
National Average as of 3-1 to 3-6

Mitt
Romney31%

Rick
Santorum22%

Newt
Gingrich21%

Ron
Paul 7%

29 posted on 03/08/2012 8:17:13 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: gov_bean_ counter
I certainly prefer Newt to Santorum and if Newt's still in the race when my primary comes round he will get my vote.

But Santorum is still far, far better preferable to Romney and I would have no qualms about voting for him if ti comes down to those two.

30 posted on 03/08/2012 8:18:14 AM PST by Notary Sojac (A liberal, a conservative, and a moderate walk into a bar. The bartender says, "Hi. Mitt!!".)
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To: Carry_Okie

Over the last several months, it has seemed as if Newt had a new promise almost every other day. While some of it was things I wanted to hear, it still had the distinct sound of being a hollow promise to me. I know his followers are buying every bit of it, but a guy stupid enough to sit there with Pelosi waxing rhapsodic on the issue of global warming et al, is not going to do half the things he’s promising. At least that’s my take on it.

Frankly I do trust Santorum more.


31 posted on 03/08/2012 8:18:18 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: Houghton M.

Or maybe Canada. Newt’s got a lot of support in Canada. Just you wait. He’ll show ‘em.


32 posted on 03/08/2012 8:19:32 AM PST by Houghton M.
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To: VanDeKoik

Fed up of certain threads which put B/S polls up just like saying Newt was losing GA, it’s pathetic, it really is.

Now watch FOX go into full attack on Newt again like every time he looks to win because the establishment are petrified of Newt and FOX does what the establishment wants


33 posted on 03/08/2012 8:19:35 AM PST by manc (Marriage is between one man and one woman,It's not a conservative view but a true American view)
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To: VanDeKoik
You’ve got to be kidding?

No, I'm not. He was on the Foreign Relations Committee and is quite knowledgeable. I suggest a little cruising of C-Span's site (no, I'm not going to do it for you).

Santorum’s foreign policy? What is THAT exactly?

I take it you've been listening carefully. Try something other than Fox for a change.

34 posted on 03/08/2012 8:19:35 AM PST by Carry_Okie (The RNC would prefer Obama to a conservative nominee.)
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To: DoughtyOne
Newt may or may not be in this bad of shape down there. If he is, it doesn’t bode well for him.

Newt expected to win TN on Tuesday and was talking about it just a couple of weeks ago. I think Rick's a lot stronger in the South than people give him credit for. The media's dying for a brokered convention...so are a bunch of Freepers...to that end the template is that Santorum is 'only ' strong in the midwest and Newt controls the South. And therefore neither is strong enough to win outright, hence a brokered convention. I think that's b.s.

35 posted on 03/08/2012 8:19:35 AM PST by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: gov_bean_ counter
"Single issue moralists continuing to vote against their better economic interests."

Is that you Rudy Giuliani? The flaw in your thinking is that without a foundational belief in the sanctity and value of each and every individual life, one has no consistent basis for the principles of a free market.

If one can arbitrarily snuff out segments of the population, one artificially screws with the generational balance of producers and consumers.

"Fixing the economy" with meat axe tax cuts, deregulation of private industry, deconstructing useless redundant bureaucracies and a dynamic energy policy, while critical first steps, will ultimately amount to little more than a band-aid on a bullet hole without a restoration of more traditional morality.

While that can not, and should not, be legislated, it will never occur without an emphasis on personal morality and responsibility at the top.

36 posted on 03/08/2012 8:19:57 AM PST by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum)
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To: Kenny

Yes, by all means, let’s wait until the general election to let him face the MSM. /sarc


37 posted on 03/08/2012 8:20:53 AM PST by C. Edmund Wright
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Having a political base in Georgia is not necessarily a guarantee someone is going to have a following in the surrounding states. If that is what people are basing hope for Newt on, that has virtually no effect on this at all.

On top of that, it isn’t like Newt sounds like a Southerner or something.

I personally am not happy with any of these guys. Kind of depressing actually.


38 posted on 03/08/2012 8:20:56 AM PST by Crimson Elephant
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To: Ingtar

After looking at the numbers reported out, I think that’s a rather good headline. Thanks for the mention.

The people in some states don’t take a real hankerin to folks from outside the area. I suspect many of that 29% undecided had a pretty good idea who they were going to vote for.


39 posted on 03/08/2012 8:21:28 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: VanDeKoik

I think Ricky is working for Mitt anyway. He is pure establishment GOP. His mission is to split the conservative vote, eliminate Newt, and block for Romney. Then we will be treated to a big reunion with a Mitt/Ricky ticket. Ricky supported Mitt last time, and even told us he’s a ‘team player’ for the gop.
Ricky is the 2012 version of Huckabee. This is probably why Sara lined up against Ricky.


40 posted on 03/08/2012 8:21:43 AM PST by DesertRhino (I was standing with a rifle, waiting for soviet paratroopers, but communists just ran for office)
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To: BO Stinkss
I don’t believe it. I live in bama and I see a lot of support for Newt.

We'll see soon enough. There's other polling ion the state that shows Romney in the lead and Rick insecond and Newt trailing closely enough to call it a tie in second.

41 posted on 03/08/2012 8:21:50 AM PST by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: VanDeKoik

I think Ricky is working for Mitt anyway. He is pure establishment GOP. His mission is to split the conservative vote, eliminate Newt, and block for Romney. Then we will be treated to a big reunion with a Mitt/Ricky ticket. Ricky supported Mitt last time, and even told us he’s a ‘team player’ for the gop.
Ricky is the 2012 version of Huckabee. This is probably why Sara lined up against Ricky.


42 posted on 03/08/2012 8:21:50 AM PST by DesertRhino (I was standing with a rifle, waiting for soviet paratroopers, but communists just ran for office)
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To: Houghton M.

If not Canada, then Guam. Newt’s really, really big in Guam. Just you wait. Newt’ll show ‘em.


43 posted on 03/08/2012 8:22:14 AM PST by Houghton M.
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To: pgkdan

Pulling hard for Santorum here in Louisiana!


44 posted on 03/08/2012 8:22:33 AM PST by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum)
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To: pgkdan

And Romney would be in last place if the anti-Romney vote weren’t split.


45 posted on 03/08/2012 8:23:05 AM PST by Houghton M.
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To: Joe 6-pack

Yeah, let’s forget the issues of liberty and freedom and economics, and all subvert it to gay marriage and contraception and the right to life.

Because as we know, those unborn babies will do a great job of fighting for themselves after all of us adults have all our money, time and freedom stripped from us because of some esoteric idea that there is a philosophical tie between morality and freedom. Yes, the tie is there, but if we are retarded in how we apply that tie, we lose, lose, lose.

But you’ll feel good about our moral superiority while in servitude I guess. As for me, i’ll help with the unborn as soon as the government gets out of my way and lets me take care of my ALREADY BORN children!!!!!1


46 posted on 03/08/2012 8:24:10 AM PST by C. Edmund Wright
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To: pgkdan

Your opinion, is obviously tainted, since you decided to post this BS in the first place. Any half hearted search, would have revealed what I just posted above. And you know it.


47 posted on 03/08/2012 8:24:49 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: pgkdan

RS may be winning Alabama, I don’t know. But a poll of only 470 is bogus.


48 posted on 03/08/2012 8:25:11 AM PST by C. Edmund Wright
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To: DesertRhino
Ricky is the 2012 version of Huckabee.

Exactly what I was thinking. Santorum = Huckabee 2

49 posted on 03/08/2012 8:25:17 AM PST by FightforFreedomCA (Santorum? Sheesh...)
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To: VanDeKoik

Santorum was a good Senator, and not a back-bencher. So tired of all the attacks this year. He’s not my choice, but that doesn’t mean we have to diminish his contributions. Santorum lost big in 2006 in large part because he held strong on the issues we believed in....supporting the administration on Iraq policy over the Code Pink attacks, among others. He also got beat in a year where the party got destroyed, and we lost a lot of great congress members and Senators.


50 posted on 03/08/2012 8:25:47 AM PST by ilgipper (Everything you get from the government was taken from someone else)
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