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Rasmaussen- Alabama GOP Primary- Gingrich 30%, Santorum 29%, Romney 28%
Rasmaussen | 3-9-12 | Rasumaussen

Posted on 03/09/2012 7:53:55 AM PST by VinL

Alabama Republicans are up to bat next, and right now it’s a near three-way tie going into next Tuesday’s primary.

The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in Alabama finds Newt Gingrich barely ahead with 30% support to 29% for Rick Santorum and 28% for Mitt Romney. Texas Congressman Ron Paul trails with seven percent (7%) of the vote. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and six percent (6%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Alabama survey of 750 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted on March 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: assumenothing; getoutnewt; gingrich; newt; newtgetout; newtsplittingthevote; polls; romney; santorum
If Ras has Newt up by 1, Newt's up by 5.

Newt will rise again

1 posted on 03/09/2012 7:54:00 AM PST by VinL
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To: VinL
One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and six percent (6%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Seems fishy.

2 posted on 03/09/2012 7:57:47 AM PST by frogjerk (OBAMA NOV 2012 = HORSEMEAT)
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To: VinL

yep... bushie III has just about peaked... newt’s strategy is to campaign where the voters are..... and with the delegate count so close between the two, it would be foolish for him to drop out, or accept a vp slot... let bushie III be the vp ( hey, i’m a poet and don’t know it )


3 posted on 03/09/2012 7:58:27 AM PST by joe fonebone (Project Gunwalker, this will make watergate look like the warm up band......)
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To: VinL

Boy oh boy, I’ll bet Rick right now is wishing there was a way he could differentiate himself from the other two. Imagine if he could run a few commercials with himself in uniform leading his platoon and company. Oh well, too late now...maybe his sons will take note...probably not though.


4 posted on 03/09/2012 8:03:32 AM PST by MSF BU
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To: VinL

Boy oh boy, I’ll bet Rick right now is wishing there was a way he could differentiate himself from the other two. Imagine if he could run a few commercials with himself in uniform leading his platoon and company. Oh well, too late now...maybe his sons will take note...probably not though.


5 posted on 03/09/2012 8:03:48 AM PST by MSF BU
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To: VinL
THANKS FOR THIS DEAD HEAT POLL that shows the important of pulling out all of the stops now between now and election day, to work incessantly and assume NOTHING!!!

I am inspired to get 10 friends I know stateside with either calling cards or Skype, to sign up with the Santorum campaign to remote phones to either committed Santorum voters in Alabama, etc. to get them to turn out, or into conservative Democrat voter districts with high unemployment, to get them to turn out that day as "one day Republicans" and vote in our primary for Santorum. The tactic Ron Reagan also did in Mississippi, Alabama, Texas, Ohio and elsewhere in 1980.

6 posted on 03/09/2012 8:05:11 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo ("If your front porch collapses...and more than 4 dogs die.... you MIGHT be a REDNECK!" ;-))
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To: joe fonebone

“it would be foolish for him to drop out,”

I agree. If he doesn’t gain momentum and delegates over the next month, then he might consider it.


7 posted on 03/09/2012 8:05:59 AM PST by Rennes Templar
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To: AmericanInTokyo

YOU’RE WELCOME.


8 posted on 03/09/2012 8:07:19 AM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: VinL

This is a good thing.

Needs to get even better.

But it has been said that it couldn’t happen at all.


9 posted on 03/09/2012 8:07:51 AM PST by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR" - Glenn Beck)
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To: VinL

Well, I don’t know where Romney has 28% of Alabama folks going to vote for him. I know of NO ONE who is going to vote for him. I have heard NO ONE say they liked him. I have heard NO ONE even mention his name. There are NO signs anywhere around here for him. The ONLY signs I have seen are for crazy Paul!!! I cannot tell you where those 28% are hiding. They certainly are not hiding around here. I will be very interested to see the vote break down next week. I can only figure his votes are coming from the bigger cities like Huntsville, Birmingham, Montgomery, Mobile, Tuscaloosa, etc. Not out here in the real world he ain’t getting any votes that I am aware of.


10 posted on 03/09/2012 8:08:01 AM PST by RetiredArmy (God is watching America. He is judging America. He does not like what He is seeing.)
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To: MSF BU
Newt has been advertising on WVNN radio (carries Rush, Hannity and Levin) in Huntsville for weeks now.
It's very effective talking about how serious this election is and it goes after 0bama.
Just within the last few days, the Santorum and Romney ads have started. Theirs are more of the same old attack ads against each other.
11 posted on 03/09/2012 8:11:41 AM PST by sillsfan (Reagan and Sarah are right- WE win, they lose!)
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To: RetiredArmy

If you look at Romney’s wins his base support come from the cities.


12 posted on 03/09/2012 8:12:03 AM PST by C19fan
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To: VinL

In the deep south I’m not believing Romney is going to do that well. Hopefully the big GA win means Newt is surging and Santorum fading. If Newt is surging then by Tues he should be several points ahead. Let us pray.


13 posted on 03/09/2012 8:13:07 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: VinL; All

OK FRiends of NEWT! All hands on deck!
It is EASY-PEASY to make phone calls from home. Use this link, sign up and then start dialing.

http://newtsnetwork.com/default.aspx

They give you a great script, no worries. Call now in Alabama, Mississippi and Kansas. Let’s get out the vote for NEWT!


14 posted on 03/09/2012 8:14:01 AM PST by georgiagirl_pam (STEP ONE: SECURE YOUR DOOR (gives you time to get your gun!) mysafedoor.com)
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To: VinL

Again, the RINO only 3 points from ‘stealing’ a primary from the majority of conservatives.

Newt - Rick, one of you guys get the heck out NOW! This election is NOT ABOUT YOU - it’s about ALL OF US!


15 posted on 03/09/2012 8:14:40 AM PST by LibFreeUSA (Pick Your Poison)
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To: VinL
If Ras has Newt up by 1, Newt's up by 5.

Yup, I agree. :-)

16 posted on 03/09/2012 8:16:05 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: BCrago66

The Alabama surge continues.


17 posted on 03/09/2012 8:20:45 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: RetiredArmy

“Well, I don’t know where Romney has 28% of Alabama folks going to vote for him.”

Stikes me as odd as well. Must be a whole bunch of “closet Mormons” in Alabama. That is scary.


18 posted on 03/09/2012 8:23:23 AM PST by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
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To: VinL

C’MON NEWT!!!!!!!!!!! LET THE SOUTH RISE AGAIN!!!!!!!!!


19 posted on 03/09/2012 8:23:57 AM PST by mmanager (NEWT - The Chruchill of our time!)
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To: georgiagirl_pam

I can’t even get my pro-Newt family members to go vote in the caucus on Sat. They all have better things to do and say Romney is a done deal. They are all FNC viewers so their tactic of declaring Romney inevitable is working.


20 posted on 03/09/2012 8:25:31 AM PST by KansasGirl
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To: MSF BU

What is wrong with you people? Why can’t you just be happy for your guy without all the Saul Alinsky ‘destroy your opponent’ crap. Getting really really old.


21 posted on 03/09/2012 8:28:34 AM PST by Kenny
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To: Red Steel

Hey Red-just posted another- ahead of you by 2— Let’s go, my friend. Usually away in the afternoons, so you can catch up. -:)


22 posted on 03/09/2012 8:30:01 AM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: Kenny

Speaking for my self, I like my candidates to ‘walk the walk’.


23 posted on 03/09/2012 8:31:19 AM PST by MSF BU
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To: KansasGirl

Tell them Dick Morris said on FOX that there’s a 40% chance no candidate gets the majority of delegates and they have to make a deal at the convention. This needs to happen to at the very least stop Romney from selecting another RINO as V.P. and ensure Santorum or Newt gets the slot, or give Newt and Rick enough to join forces and beat Romney. If Romney wins enough delegates it will be VERY CLOSE. Every vote in every state counts in deciding if Romney wins it or this goes to the convention. FOX is saying it’s inevitable he gets the most delegates and they may be right, but it’s not inevitable that he gets over 50% and enough to keep it from a floor fight at the convention.


24 posted on 03/09/2012 8:33:39 AM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: VinL

Sure thing :-)

Here’s the clickable link to the article.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/alabama/election_2012_alabama_gop_primary


25 posted on 03/09/2012 8:39:40 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: KansasGirl

Would serving cookies at the caucus help? If so, I’ll start baking!


26 posted on 03/09/2012 8:44:07 AM PST by Mangia E Statti Zitto
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To: Kenny

What’s up with you, Kenny?

Santorum people come on Newt threads and claim he’s been sent by God, and how dare you attack his FAMILY (hint, we’re holding HIM accountable for it), if you don’t like seeing them all in lockstep behind him, and there’s one who accused me, and several others, of working for the devil because we’re not for Santorum.

That’s just the tip of the iceberg.


27 posted on 03/09/2012 8:45:22 AM PST by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR" - Glenn Beck)
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To: KansasGirl; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; GOPsterinMA; campaignPete R-CT; BillyBoy; ...

Imp, i think my decision to avoid KS was wise. Not even the locals give 2 hoots. I think RS is the guy in KS to beat mR.

I still need political therapy. I will not campaign anymore with the GOP vermin.


28 posted on 03/09/2012 8:46:59 AM PST by campaignPete R-CT (and I will not go to Kansas to campaign against MITT.)
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To: Kenny

This race is a dead heat at the moment. Any one of them could be in the lead at voting time.


29 posted on 03/09/2012 8:47:59 AM PST by dforest
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To: lonevoice

Newt is the one with the bold plan for the future of America. He is a change agent, a visionary, an historian, a great communicator and the one willing to take on the GOP establishment and democrats to save America.


30 posted on 03/09/2012 8:52:50 AM PST by Pride in the USA
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To: VinL

Makes me wonder how the tally would be like in Alabama had it merely been :

Gingrich, Romney, Paul

or

Santorum, Romney , Paul

One thing is certain — ROMNEY ISN’T SELLING WELL IN THE SOUTH.


31 posted on 03/09/2012 9:01:25 AM PST by SeekAndFind (question)
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To: campaignPete R-CT

I think Rick S. will win KS caucus. Huckabee did in 2008 with 60%., McCain was a distant 2nd, and Romney came in 3rd with 3%. Everyone I talk to is for Newt, but think he has no path to the nomination. My husband and I are going to vote for Newt.


32 posted on 03/09/2012 9:06:45 AM PST by KansasGirl
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To: txrangerette
and there’s one who accused me, and several others, of working for the devil because we’re not for Santorum.

Not me, I don't trash any conservative candidate (excludes Romney & Paul). Whoever we get whether it's Newt or Rick I will rally behind 100%. I just don't like the negatives toward either, we're only hurting ourselves there.

33 posted on 03/09/2012 9:15:42 AM PST by Kenny
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To: KansasGirl

Try this.

“Have you heard the good news?”

Call a local Mormon church. Give them the names and addresses of your family members. Don’t identify yourself, just tell them that you know that these folks would like to “hear the good news”, soon. Tell them that these folks are bashful, so it may take several visits. LOL

After about a week, call the church back and tell them that your friends are sorry for their rudeness, have changed their minds and would like to see them again. Keep doing this until they beg you to take them to the caucus.

Well darn, I just noticed that your caucus is tomorrow... so it may be too late. Well, it might have worked. LOL

Good luck.

GO NEWT GO.....


34 posted on 03/09/2012 9:16:59 AM PST by Gator113 (** President Newt Gingrich-"Our beloved republic deserves nothing less." ~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: Kenny
Yoohooo Kenny, don't look now but we see that the Newter is on top in Mississippi. It's going to be a 2 state sweep for Newt. Smile. :-)

Poll: Gingrich on top in Mississippi (Newt 35% Myth 31% Santo 20% and RuPaul 7%)

35 posted on 03/09/2012 9:19:58 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

If Newt takes the nomination, I become a Newtonian :-)


36 posted on 03/09/2012 9:23:16 AM PST by Kenny
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To: KansasGirl
Sadly I agree. Newt would have won the Alaska caucus with just 2500 votes. Keep trying.

Its like the frog in a pot of boiling water. Newt is our last chance of jumping out.

Cept lots of GA conservatives think their in a hot tube and every thing is Peachy.

37 posted on 03/09/2012 10:14:42 AM PST by Bailee (Santorum vs Santorum http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELbCuLEe7Sw)
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To: Red Steel

GREAT News!

I hope this continues. He needs this really bad.


38 posted on 03/09/2012 11:16:32 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: VinL

I’ll tell you what... Santorum and/or Gingrich absolutely MUST win Alabama, Mississippi, and Kansas next Tuesday if we are to have any remaining hope of keeping the nomination away from Romney. I’m very uncomfortable right now with the fact that Rasmussen now has Romney leading by eight points in Mississippi. If Romney ends up taking one or more of these states in the Deep South as the result of Rick and Newt splitting the conservative vote, then we might as well resign ourselves to start referring to Mitt as “Republican Presidential Candidate Romney”.

Please... Let’s pray and do everything we can to make sure this DOESN’T happen.


39 posted on 03/09/2012 11:35:06 AM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: DestroyLiberalism; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun

Perhaps Romney and Gingrich could reach an agreement, Santorum writes off Alabama and Gingrich writes off Mississippi, and thus Romney is denied the bragging rights of a victory in either.

I know it’s probably too much to ask for.


40 posted on 03/09/2012 4:00:50 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (A chameleon belongs in a pet store, not the White House)
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To: Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican

Thanks to so and so keeping the viable conservative from 50% Romney will get a share of delegates from each state. Depressing.

There can be only one or Romney will secure the nomination.


41 posted on 03/09/2012 5:21:22 PM PST by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: campaignPete R-CT

3 polls in MS, 3 different winners.

Romney would lose 2-1 if someone wasn’t insisting on staying in the race.


42 posted on 03/09/2012 5:23:14 PM PST by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: DestroyLiberalism
I’m very uncomfortable right now with the fact that Rasmussen now has Romney leading by eight points in Mississippi.

I share your concern. I made the case that we should back Santorum after his wins in Feb., but then I went and voted for Newt in GA. I did so knowing that Newt does not have a feasible pathway to the nomination short of a brokered convention and quite a bit of luck. But at the end of the day I ignored my advice and cast a vote for the candidate I think is the best. I suspect folks in Alabama and Mississippi will do the same.

Neither Santorum nor Gingrich will drop anytime soon. That being the case, Romney does have a good shot at winning both Alabama and Mississippi. If that happens then he will have serious momentum and wrap things up by end of April.

43 posted on 03/09/2012 5:50:21 PM PST by EagleInGA (Mittens & the NJ Fat Man? Really?!?!)
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To: Impy

newt got nowhere to go after MS. He needs to stay out of ILL. MO and LA he could compete but nowhere else until MAY.


44 posted on 03/09/2012 6:03:36 PM PST by campaignPete R-CT (and I will not go to Kansas to campaign against MITT.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

“Perhaps Romney and Gingrich could reach an agreement, ..”

Romney and Ron Paul reached an areement, and I sure wish Gingrich and Santorum would.

The Romney/Paul Team are beating up Gingrich and Santorum with dirty politicis.


45 posted on 03/10/2012 5:57:55 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Sun

I made an error from typing in a hurry. I meant to say that if Santorum and Gingrich could reach an agreement, with Gingrich contentracting on Alabama and Santorum concentrating on Mississippi. My mistake.


46 posted on 03/11/2012 12:29:41 AM PST by Clintonfatigued (A chameleon belongs in a pet store, not the White House)
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To: KansasGirl

Since Rick Santorum won in Kansas, I hope you lord it over your family next time they declare Romney or anyone else a “done deal”. It is important to get out and vote every time.


47 posted on 03/11/2012 8:01:20 PM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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