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Contested GOP convention getting more likely?
CBS News ^ | March 10, 2012 | Nancy Cordes

Posted on 03/10/2012 8:48:30 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

(CBS News) BILOXI, Miss. - The four main candidates for the Republican nomination for president say they're committed to staying in the race right up to the convention this August in Tampa, Fla.

There's just one problem: If they do, it might turn out that no one gets the number of delegates needed to win the nomination outright.

Stumping in Birmingham, Alabama, Mitt Romney continued his Southern charm offensive, celebrating an endorsement from the country band Alabama. "Wouldn't you love to hear them sing 'Sweet Home Alabama'? Wouldn't that be wonderful?" he asked a crowd at one campaign stop.

In the race to rack up delegates, Romney has a commanding lead: 396, to Rick Santorum's 146. Newt Gingrich trails with 97, and Ron Paul has 38.

But with four candidates splitting the vote, Romney may not get the 1,144 delegates he needs to clinch the nomination before the convention.

It's exactly the scenario his opponents are hoping for.

"Everybody knows these delegates who are up for grabs, very few are hard-committed," Rick Santorum contended.

Santorum said Friday he's preparing for the possibility of a "contested convention" in which he would try to persuade some of Romney's delegates to change their votes.

Gingrich said he intends to do the same. "We want to make case," Gingrich says, "to all the delegates who are not legally bound that, in fact, the other two candidates cannot beat (Presicent) Obama. And if they come to that conclusion, I think the convention may end up being one of the most surprising in modern times."

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biggovernmentrick; delegates; emptyvest; getoutnewt; gopprimary; kenyanbornmuzzie; mittromney; newt4establishment; newt4romney; newt4teaparty; newtgetout; newtgingrich; newthaters; newtsplittingthevote; ricksantorum; santorum4gope; santorum4romney; stalkinghorse; tampa; teaparty; teaparty4newt
"Everybody knows these delegates who are up for grabs, very few are hard-committed," Rick Santorum contended,

Rick is right.

Hard Delegate Count:

Romney-------- 340
Gingrich--------107
Santorum--------95
Paul--------------22

Soft Delegate Count:

Romney--------421
Santorum------164
Gingrich-------128
Paul--------------73

Delegate Totals

Hard Totals/ Soft Totals Explained.

1 posted on 03/10/2012 8:48:38 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

“Stumping in Birmingham, Alabama, Mitt Romney continued his Southern charm offensive, celebrating an endorsement from the country band Alabama. “Wouldn’t you love to hear them sing ‘Sweet Home Alabama’? Wouldn’t that be wonderful?” he asked a crowd at one campaign stop.”

I wonde if the audience laughed at him. I wonder if anyone pointed out to the panderer that Sweet Home Alabama is a Lynyrd Skynyrd song.

Typical of Romney. http://youtu.be/_L5xXtGRs_c


2 posted on 03/10/2012 8:53:16 AM PST by publius321
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Thanks for the info and link
( http://www.thegreenpapers.com/Definitions.html#Coun ) on the hard and soft delegate count which you gave above!


3 posted on 03/10/2012 8:55:45 AM PST by TEXOKIE
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

that will be fun.....a big bowl on popcorn and a bottle of bourbon. Glued to the TV for the evening...


4 posted on 03/10/2012 8:56:11 AM PST by goat granny
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

There’s just one problem: If they do, it might turn out that no one gets the number of delegates needed to win the nomination outright.-————

I wouldn’t call that a problem.

I say it’s just the ticket we need..


5 posted on 03/10/2012 8:56:35 AM PST by Freddd (NoPA ngineers.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

There has not been 5 seconds in the last year that I didn’t believe there would be “bloodshed” at the convention. The primaries are only mildly interesting.


6 posted on 03/10/2012 8:58:20 AM PST by TalBlack ( Evil doesn't have a day job.)
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To: TalBlack

We’re going to have this out.


7 posted on 03/10/2012 8:59:28 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: TEXOKIE
[1:11] Obama Sec of Defense Panetta: 'UN Trumps Congress'—Newt Gingrich: 'Panetta Should Resign Now!'


8 posted on 03/10/2012 9:03:16 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

It’s a pipe dream. The convention will not be brokered. Santorum and Gingrich have to say that because the proportional allocation has made it so they both are essentially mathematically eliminated already.

Regardless, I promise to do everything I can to defeat Barack Obama this November.


9 posted on 03/10/2012 9:05:12 AM PST by MovementConservative (Go Mariners! 2012!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Even if Romney gets the totals he needs, the primary totals should be declared null and void because of Virginia. Oh, and I’ve had my tagline for quite a while now . . .


10 posted on 03/10/2012 9:05:15 AM PST by RushingWater (Let's have a brokered convention and page Sarah Palin)
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To: RushingWater

I like your tagline.......


11 posted on 03/10/2012 9:10:36 AM PST by basil (It's time to rid the country of "gun free zones" aka "Killing Fields")
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To: RushingWater

I’m down with your tagline.


12 posted on 03/10/2012 9:34:05 AM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: RushingWater

When 3 nationally known candidates are “unable” to get on the Virgina State Ballot, THERE IS A PROBLEM.

THE PROBLEM IS DC..... AND MANY OF THOSE RESPONSIBLE LIVE IN VIRGINIA.

No accident.

It is TIME to DownSize DC!


13 posted on 03/10/2012 9:34:33 AM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Mitt Romney continued his Southern charm offensive, celebrating an endorsement from the country band Alabama. "Wouldn't you love to hear them sing 'Sweet Home Alabama'? Wouldn't that be wonderful?"

That is so funny on so many different levels.

Maybe they they can follow it up with "What's Your Name" .

14 posted on 03/10/2012 9:40:48 AM PST by Tribune7 (GAS WAS $1.85 per gallon on the day Obama was Inaugurated! - - freeper Gaffer)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Yeah, right. Thanks Cincinatus’ Wife.


15 posted on 03/10/2012 9:41:14 AM PST by SunkenCiv (I come to bury Caesar, not to praise him)
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To: MovementConservative
'It’s a pipe dream. The convention will not be brokered. Santorum and Gingrich have to say that because the proportional allocation has made it so they both are essentially mathematically eliminated already.'

True if they continue to chase delegates 3:1 to Mittens. If that holds, all soft delegates will blindside the two conservatives on the second ballot, if it came to that. Look for the delegates with their arms twisted behind their backs.

However, if one of the conservatives were to pledge their delegates to the other, that would get interesting real quick. But that's not going to happen, either.

16 posted on 03/10/2012 10:08:16 AM PST by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
"Everybody knows these delegates who are up for grabs, very few are hard-committed," Rick Santorum contended

He doesn't even realize he's making the case why Newt should stay in too.

17 posted on 03/10/2012 10:26:03 AM PST by newzjunkey (Santorum: 18-point loss, voted for Sotomayor, proposed $550M on top of $900M Amtrak budget...)
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To: publius321

Poor Romney, that’s almost a Bachmann-type gaffe.


18 posted on 03/10/2012 10:27:44 AM PST by newzjunkey (Santorum: 18-point loss, voted for Sotomayor, proposed $550M on top of $900M Amtrak budget...)
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To: publius321

Kinda like Hillary putting on her black act in 2008.

“I ain’t noway tard.”


19 posted on 03/10/2012 10:40:11 AM PST by altura
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Am I crazy?
I keep thinking that if we get a dead locked convention and Sarah steps up to the plate, she could get the nod.
I think she could whup Obama.


20 posted on 03/10/2012 10:43:53 AM PST by MistrX
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To: MistrX

You are crazy, but in a good way.


21 posted on 03/10/2012 10:53:08 AM PST by altura
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

The cowards at that link won’t allow comments.


22 posted on 03/10/2012 1:02:32 PM PST by W. W. SMITH (Obama is Romney lite)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Gingrich Senior Advisor Randy Evans Explains Delegate Math
23 posted on 03/10/2012 1:20:30 PM PST by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: publius321
Typical Northeastern, Establishment RINO.

What is it with Mass. governors running for president? Is he getting pointers from Dukakis on how to loose an election?

24 posted on 03/10/2012 1:46:03 PM PST by kosciusko51 (Enough of "Who is John Galt?" Who is Patrick Henry?)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; All

it might turn out that no one gets the number of delegates needed to win the nomination outright.


Please, Dear God, let it be so. Wouldn’t it be wonderful if the Convention was deadlocked and a fresh, new, Conservative face, like Paul Ryan, left Tampa as the GOP nominee?


25 posted on 03/10/2012 6:16:47 PM PST by no dems (No RINO-Rom, no Kook-Daddy and no "out of touch" Rev. Rick........Gingrich.... YES!!!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

It is not getting more likely according to Intrade.

Will the Republican Presidential nominee be selected at a brokered convention?
Contract REP.NOM.2012.BROKERED
The 2012 Republican Pres. nominee to be selected at a brokered party convention. M Trade

Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
12.0 15.5 11.6 3335 -2.2


26 posted on 03/10/2012 9:37:17 PM PST by Kevmo (If you can define a man by the depravity of his enemies, Rick Santorum must be a noble soul indeed.)
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