Skip to comments.Rasmussen tracking poll puts Romney up 5, Santorum up 1 over Obama
Posted on 03/10/2012 10:22:28 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Rasmussen's daily tracking poll has good news for Republicans, and two of the Republican candidates. The ongoing daily survey of 500 likely voters shows Barack Obama's job approval at 44/54, the lowest since the end of December in this series, and both Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum have leads in head-to-head matchups:
Looking at Tuesday’s upcoming primaries, the GOP race in Alabama is essentially a three-way tie, while Mitt Romney leads by eight in Mississippi. Nationally, Romney now leads Rick Santorum by 12 points. Regardless of who they want to win, 80% of Republican Primary Voters nationwide believe Romney will be the party’s nominee.
With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. Today’s numbers show Romney at 48%, Obama at 43%. Thats Romneys largest lead since December. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
If Santorum is the Republican nominee, he is up by one point over the president, 46% to 45%. This is the second time since polling began in 2011 that Santorum has had a slight lead over Obama. Romney is the only other candidate to lead the president more than one time in the polls. See tracking history for Obama vs. all four Republican candidates.
Obama still beats Newt Gingrich by eight points (48/40) and Ron Paul by two (43/41), but Obama’s position has eroded against three of the four Republicans over the last few weeks. A month ago, Obama led Romney by 10, 50/40, and Romney’s 48% today is his strongest in the series. Against Santorum, Obama led by eight at the same time (49/41), and Santorum’s 46% is also his best in the series. Three weeks ago against Gingrich, Obama led 51/37, but Gingrich hasn’t come close to his peak in the series of 48% at the beginning of January. Two weeks ago Paul hit 43% for his best showing and eclipsed Obama by two, but that has been the only lead he has had in head-to-head matchups.
As I’ve noted on several occasions, these kind of matchups are apples-to-oranges comparisons, as Democrats are already united behind Obama as a nominee. The internal divisions of a primary will handicap each Republican in the matchup, and yet Obama can’t stay above either Romney or Santorum, and now has dropped behind Romney farther than the MOE. When Republicans finally unite behind a candidate, this suggests that Obama will find himself even more at a disadvantage, and that the election still continues to be a referendum on his performance.
Praying for a positive November result.
Well, we know who Rasmussen’s first two choices are, don’t we....
Are you saying that Rasmussen rigs his polls to favor Romney and Santorum to the detriment of Newt?
Looks like Fluke damaged BHO; he thinks contriving stuff is the same as “thinking out of the box.”
If Gingrich doesn’t pull out, Romney will be the next candidate Obama will beat. Too bad, grandchildren. I did all I could to no avail.
Look folks, Forget any word you hear from Obama, Obamabots and his media, dirt bag ilk!!! Obama is in real trouble!!! You could run the Village Idiot, Court Jester against him and the “Idiot” would win handily. Whoever the Pubbie candidate does nto really matter. Why? Because the American People and voters are getting it. And....their mantra...ABO (Anybody but Obama)!!!
Kindly get these facts into your dense skulls, Obama is not an American, even if he was born here. He abhors this great country and is doing everything he can to destroy it. End of story!!! The acorn, no pun intended, does not fall far from the tree!!! Judge a man by the company he keeps, Wright, Farrakhan, Alinsky, Ayres, Bell, Jarrett, Jones, his wife Michelle, etc. (all America haters), and.....99% of the time, you will be right on the money!!!
Yeah, maybe true now. But, the Obama/Media political death & dismemberment machine hasn't been unleashed yet.
Uh, oh, might be time for a little “Wag The Dog” in the mideast.
How can this be? The liberals have told us that Obama is going to cruise to re-election. They tell us that the GOP candidates are too extreme on social issues and want to cut government programs. And that their stands on the issues are deal breakers for the moderate/independent voters.
Even a conservative commentator like George F. Will thinks this election campaign is going Obama’s way. He thinks conservatives should concentrate on congressional and Senate elections this year, rather than the presidential election. He says that there are other elections which matter besides just the presidential election.
I’d rather be greedy.
Even a conservative commentator like George F. Will thinks this election campaign is going Obamas way.”
99% of free republic thinks that way, too.
This is going to be a close election. Obama is vulnerable. He may be re-elected, but if so, it will be a narrow margin.
Ditto if the GOP nominee wins election, it will be close.
Everyone should visit the electoral vote map sites. There are number of them on-line. All of them show Obama solid in states with between 175 to 200 electoral votes. They also show the unknown GOP nominee with about 180 solid electoral votes. There are about 15 battleground states.
270 electoral votes are needed for election.
If you see the battleground states on these maps, such as Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, etc. you will see that Obama won all of these states last time. And yet now he is vulnerable in many states he carried last time.
Remember too that a re-election campaign is a referendum on the incumbent in a way the previous election couldn’t be. Obama had no record to run on in 2008. Now he does have a record.
>> Too bad, grandchildren. I did all I could to no avail.
If you believe moral vanity is going to take 2012, you’re mistaken. Have you asked Santorum to step down?
So, these polls show that Gingrich is the only candidate who can’t win against obama. I said I wouldn’t vote for Rommey if he is the candidate, but, come November, I might change my mind. I want bozo gone from our house.
Anybody but Obama! Obama is very vulnerable, don’t be fooled. Who cares what George Wimp of ABC thinks. You have to ask yourself what kind of “conservative” voice would any network obviously a part of the liberal-progressive-democrat-media complex keep on their programs for year after year. The answer is one that doesn’t help the conservative cause for one reason or another. PMS-NBC kept Buchannan around as long has he contradicted Bush or the center of mass of conservatives often enough and didn’t do damage to the dem-media complex. Now he is no longer useful to them, buh-bye Pat. Joe Scarborough has to be a complete sell out for them to keep him as the “conservative”, though perhaps he was a fraud before and shows his true colors now.
No but I worked very hard to get Hunter ans then Cain eleted. And I failed in in both. the American people don’t have a clue.
I said what I said, you can read anything into it you like.
Hunter and Cain were great candidates.
This is wonderful news, and after the Republicans pick their nominee (hopefully Rick), Obama will be even more down in the tank.
Right now Republican candidates are criticizing each other, because it’s the primaries, which helps Obama, but that’s only TEMPORARY.
btw, in the past there was a poll showing that Santorum was the only one who could beat Obama, and I’m confident that will happen again.
I think that’s right. It will be close...basically a coin toss right now.
This ain't 2008 because the SCOTUS changed everything—now the real big money has a role.
The Left has some pretty big donors but the Right—the natural home of free market wealth, has many times more potential big donors—these are the people Obama is currently trying to destroy so this is a fight or die proposition to them.
Once we have our nominee the many wealthy conservatives will donate so much money to anti-Obama Superpacs the MSM will get rich showing ads that will defeat their own Obama.