Skip to comments.Gingrich banks on wins in Alabama and Mississippi
Posted on 03/13/2012 12:05:34 PM PDT by Red Steel
BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (AP) Republican Newt Gingrich says he'll campaign for president until the party's nominating convention in August, but his candidacy largely rests on the results of primaries Tuesday in Alabama and Mississippi.
Asked by reporters how he felt about his chances, Gingrich said: "Pretty good."
"The reason I stay in this race is it's about more than right versus left. It's about being smart, it's about understanding the modern world," he said.
Gingrich planned to be in Illinois on Wednesday to campaign for the March 20 primary there.
In an address Monday to a Republican presidential forum in Birmingham, Gingrich implored voters to support him.
"I've stayed in this race for two reasons," he said. "I do not believe the two other candidates can beat President Obama. We have to win in a principled way with a big enough agenda and enough momentum to change Washington decisively."
(Excerpt) Read more at google.com ...
What do you expect him to say? "The outlook is bleak"? Come on.
We have so many Rick/Mitt “I’m votin for em because it feels good” drones in the GOP these days, that it takes someone with a extra special grit to push through to people and get them to vote with their heads instead of their emotions.
As you should know, it is pretty good that Newt takes MS & AL.
Has he taken those states yet? As far as I know, the polls are tight in those two states and anything can happen depending on turnout. They are also proportional states, so if the results come down the way the polling is, Newt, Rick and Milt can walk away with delegates. I was under the impression from the Newt people this was going to be a shut out in MS and AL and Milt wouldn’t have a chance there. Some sort of “Southern Strategy” talk.
Well see in about 9 hours. Lord I hope he GOTV. He should be winning AL & MS by huge margins. It is left up to the voters now.
Polls are still open here in Alabama. Newt hasn’t taken this state yet and he didn’t get my vote. Santorum received my vote and also my daughter’s vote.
Sorry, Newt. I just don’t trust you.
We will see in a few. Illinois, a proportional state coming up. Newt is going to actively campaign there after he wins here in the South. He’s going to get his share of delegates in the land of Lincoln. He’s the best face-to-face campaigner in this race. Heehee. :-)
I hope so too...
An Historical Nomination Process Underway
by Randy Evans, Senior Advisor and Martin Baker, National Political Dir.
Notwithstanding the conventional wisdom that dominates the news media, Newt Gingrich is well positioned to win the GOP nomination and here's why.
Today's contests in Alabama, American Samoa, Hawaii, and Mississippi are big, but it's still early. Louisiana, on March 24th, will actually be "halftime" in the race for the GOP nomination.
Heading into Louisiana, states with delegates totaling 1,141 will have decided - just short of the 1,144 needed for the nomination. It will be Louisiana that moves the process past the halfway mark with 34 states accounting for 1,187 delegates having been voted.
Yet by halftime, the process will be far from over. Just look at the math.
One half of the 1,144 delegates needed for the nomination is 572. To date, according to the RNC and factoring in results from Kansas and Wyoming on Saturday, Mitt Romney has only 350 bound delegates. Between, now and Louisiana, there are only 170 total bound delegates available - and that count includes Missouri whose delegates, while bound, will actually be elected at conventions later this spring.
Even if Romney could get 100% of the available bound delegates before Louisiana (which he cannot), he would still be well short of 572. Instead, with the proportional allocations that apply, Mitt Romney's more likely 57 additional delegates would only put him at 407 total delegates (35.6%) - well short of the 572 needed to be halfway to the magic number.
With a steady 35% of delegates and no change in sight, the fact that Romney advisers have undoubtedly told him is that he can no longer force his nomination. Mathematically, the numbers are just not there. Instead, with 4 candidates remaining, the GOP nomination now moves into unchartered waters with history in the making.
The sequencing and pace of the second half favors Newt. When this process started, Newt's team had two goals: block an early Romney nomination; and plan for a sequenced and paced second half.
Newt stopped Romney in South Carolina and subsequentlyweathered a multi-million dollar barrage of attacks in Florida, surviving to win in Georgia on Super Tuesday.
Starting with Louisiana, there is the second half and the sequence is important.
After Louisiana on March 24th, there are primaries on April 3rd in the District of Columbia (winner take all without Santorum on the ballot); Maryland (a favorable state); and Wisconsin (Callista Gingrich's home state).
Then, the process slows - permitting all of the candidates to work the states, not just the one with money.
On April 24th, more than four weeks after Louisiana, Senator Santorum faces a 'must win' in Pennsylvania (whose delegates remain unbound regardless of outcome) with other big contests that day in Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island and delegate rich New York (95).
Two weeks later, on May 8th, there are more southern primaries in North Carolina and West Virginia along with Indiana. On May 15, there are primaries in Nebraska and Oregon.
Then, the delegate rich 3-week dash that could decide the nomination begins with more southern primaries in Arkansas and Kentucky on May 22nd. They lead into Texas (155 delegates) on May 29th.
After 2 weeks of southern primaries, the process then turns on June 5th to California (172 delegates), New Jersey (50), New Mexico and South Dakota. California and New Jersey alone represent almost 20% of the delegates needed for the nomination.
In total, the states in this final 3 week stretch have 509 total delegates - or almost half of what is needed for the nomination. The final primary (Utah) is not for three weeks afterwards on June 26.
So here is the bottom-line reality: this nomination will not be decided until the fourth quarter - and that is not until June. It also means that the candidate who closes strongest in this race is going to win.
It is a long way until June 26th. Republicans indeed get to be a part of history, not more of the same.
So buckle up. This race is not going to be won or lost over backroom deals or endless and mind-numbing discussions in the media over delegate counts. This race is going to be decided by a big debate - a big choice - among GOP primary voters about the future of the Republican Party; what it stands for, and which candidate has the most compelling vision and most credibility to carry forward a conservative governing agenda.
That is the debate Newt is going to win, and with it, the nomination and the election.
I appreciate Santorum’s stand on moral issues, but Obama will eat him alive in a debate...
[ What do you expect him to say? “The outlook is bleak”? Come on. ]
If Newt does not win the primarys...
America will die under Romney or the Obamaoid..
Santo cannot win the election but he may win the primary..
Romney is just a brisket to BBQ for the Obamaoid Team..
Maybe they will “smoke” him first..
American women are generally way too dumb to understand whats at stake..
And a small amount of men are any smarter than a 5th grader..
No Newt..... No win... Newt holding until Aug. is mandatory..
Romney is indeed the New Juan McLaim... sans Sarah Palin..
[ Sorry, Newt. I just dont trust you. ]
You don’t trust him to do what?..
Romneys been fooling democrats for years into voting for him..
Currently he’s fooling republicans..
Do you trust Willard?..
You do know the Unions OWN Romney AND Santo don’t you?..
They also OWN the Obamaoid..
Willard and Rick say nothing about the Unions ON PURPOSE..
They both will not even mention the Unions..
The Unions OWN Mass. and Penn..
Again..... who do you trust?..
Newt is done in IL. There is no sign that he is viable outside that small cluster of Southern states. RCP has him at 12% in IL while Rick is at 31% and Milt at 35%. The election is in just 7 days there. There is no way he is making up that huge amount of ground. Just look at this county by county Primary results map. Newt is in Purple, Rick in Green, Milt in Orange and Paul in Yellow.
Some face-to-face job he is doing. Newt is not doing well outside of the small portion of South he staked out.
Asked by reporters how he felt about his chances, Gingrich said: “Pretty good.” >>>>
At least he was not seen whining against FAUX for being in the tank for Romney which is whining against windmills of the obvious, or whining against the other candidates, or blaming any stupid moves on some promise he had made in exchange for something that fell flat.
1. Rinos made me do it, and Specter promised me........
2. Forced Union procedure vote against FedEX, cuz Kennedy promised me....., before he voted against it. (Where have we heard that before?)
Newt’s supporters know what he is up against without his having to whine about it, and to see the facts;beginning with Bloody Thursday; Florida; the haphazard financial injection of his backer, Adleson; forcing a cleared field for Rick Santorum as the only ABR, in state after state; and the loss of time caused from the money gap; the indirect injection and benefit of all this going to Rick Santorum, free of charge.
Newt is not done anywhere. Ricky has great propensity to lose ground everywhere he gets challenged.
Santorum has yet to prove that he can win the "Reagan Democrats" of the North, although he has done well in an Upper South state (Tennessee) and in two Midwestern states heavily settled by Southerners (Missouri and Oklahoma). Barring a new economic downturn, Santorun has little chance of pulling many of the socially liberal but economically conservative suburban voters in the Northern and Western metro areas that voted for Obama in 2008 but moved to the GOP column in the 2010 congressional elections.
Whining? I guess you have missed Newts bellyaching that Romney was slamming him in IA and then in FL and NV. Newt has been the whining candidate this election while Rick has been taking it to Milt and winning delegates.
“Fine Whine: Gingrich Campaign Accuses Romney Camp Of Packing Debate Audience”
Let’s also not forget about all the whining he did about not having anymore debates. As for your comments about Rick,here used to be a saying about people in glass houses.
Was Rick whining about FOX News being biased for Romney?
Was Rick whining about being outspent by Romney?
Was Rick whining about being double-teamed by Mitt and Ron in the debate?