Are you sure Jedi? There are still big states to come that are not winner take all. For instance, how can Rick or Newt singlehandedly prevent Romney from getting any delegates in California? That’s kind of naive IMO.
No, the opposite is naive. The Illinois polls show Romney winning with 35% and Newt and Rick split lower. But combined, Newt and Rick are 43%. With a 35-25-15 split in any given California district, Romney wins all its delegates. Combine our vote and we beat him 40-35, and we win all the delegates. Look no further than Ross Perot to see how a conservative split awards a win to a single liberal.