Skip to comments.Favorite Son Santorum Thumps Romney In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds.. Ties Obama
Posted on 03/14/2012 10:47:11 AM PDT by smoothsailing
Pennsylvania Republicans are going for favorite son Rick Santorum big time, giving the former U.S. Senator a 36 - 22 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in the Keystone State's presidential primary, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul has 12 percent, with 8 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.
In a head-to-head matchup, Santorum tops Romney 52 - 32 percent among Republican voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.
If Santorum gets to November, he gets 44 percent of Pennsylvania voters, to 45 percent for President Barack Obama - too close to call. In other possible November matchups: President Obama tops Romney 46 - 40 percent; Obama beats Gingrich 50 - 37 percent; The president leads Paul 45 - 40 percent. In the four-person Republican contest, Santorum leads Romney 41 - 18 percent among women and 30 - 27 percent among men, 50 - 21 percent among Tea Party members, 44 - 20 percent among self-described conservatives and 46 - 17 percent among white evangelical Christians. Romney leads 29 - 20 percent among self-described moderates.
"Pennsylvania Republicans are turning to their native son, former Sen. Rick Santorum. The last time we surveyed the Keystone State, during the Gingrich boomlet in December, the former House Speaker led the GOP pack with 31 percent, followed by Gov. Mitt Romney with 17 percent and Santorum with 9 percent," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"Pennsylvania Republican women like Santorum over Romney more than men."
"Santorum's lead among conservatives, Tea Party members and white evangelical Christians is what we have found in other states," Malloy added.
"What we've also seen in other states is that Romney comes from behind, riding a tidal wave of negative advertising. Whether attack ads work against a native son remains to be seen."
From March 7 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,256 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 508 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.
More info and poll internals
So much for Santorum not being competitive in his own state...
Isn’t this one of the states that the Romney people are counting on when they do their “inevitability math”?
Since Obama is not going to get any new states, if Santorum gets Florida and Pennsylvania, it’s all over for Obama.
Even if Obama keeps Florida (unlikely), if Santorum gets Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and an industrial state like Wisconsin or Michigan, it’s still all over for Obama.
Santorum’s stronger than Romney electorally.
Must not care for their native son Newt.
Whatever/whomever it takes to get Obummer&Co out of there in November!
PA would be a critical win.
I don't know, but if it is, they need to stop counting and start panicking! LOL!
I think so too, in the long run, but around here, most of what I get is, "no, it's Newt! Newt, Newt, Newt!!!!"
I think many 'cooler heads' are realizing that there is only one way to deny the nomination to Romney, regardless of which of the other candidate they personally prefer.
The momentum can change in mere hours in the midst of this chaotic primary.
See if that momentum continues after all the other states are counted between now and the 24th. Add several million in attack ads, exposing Santorum’s checkered past, and then we will see where all this party hoopla is headed.
Well, I’m a Newt supporter too. I still think he’d be the best nominee. Romney’s a joke, his support is paper thin and he’s great at winning areas of the country that will go democrat anyway in November (surpise, surprise).
I want Newt but will easily support Santorum if he’s the nominee. Will not vote for Romney.
They are starting to see the light of day around here. Santorum definitely has the best chance against Obama. People are on fire all around real America for Santorum.
Nope, the Newtster comes in last. Quite a fall from December when he led the pack.
Newt would be my first choice among this very weak field, too... just that he’s fading further and further behind. Santorum is my fallback guy.
But, unfortunately, it all seems to point Romney’s way right now. ):-/
I am here to tell every one now. We thought 2000 was bad, with Al Goron trying to steal the election. Watch for Obama Mohamed to cheat,lie, and even cause civil unrest to keep power. We are in for a long long November. And if Obama wins I hope the Mayans were right and the Meteor hits square on the white hut.
The problem is that I don’t see Santorum winning either. Then what does he do at the brokered convention. If he has more delegates than Romney, than all bets are off. No telling what will happen. But if Romney is the front-runner, but with fewer than he needs to clinch the nomination, I worry that Rick will barter his own delegates for the VP slot on the Romney ticket.
Even more recently than that, too, IIRC... After taking SC, he was at one time cruising along in the low 40s for support and leading everyone by double-digits... then came toxic Mitt's ads in FL, and, aside from GA, he was never the same again.
Just to add a little trivia, Pennsylvania can also lay claim on Ron Paul as a native son. He grew up not far from me in Pittsburg’s Green Tree area.
NO Newt....... NO win...
What in particular leads you to worry about this? I'm curious.
Can your pointless rhetoric and personal attacks. I know it is hard for you, but stick to your own limited agenda. Mine is very well documented.
You forgot one...
“who’s riding on the wave from the attacks on Newt because he can’t ride on his own wave.”
The democrates are salivating over Santorum and pushing all the buttons to see him in.....note there’s been no ambush agains Santorum to date....but it’s coming...and he’ll go down.
I don't think I've ever seen anyone with a nastier disposition yet thinner skin.
You make legitimate points. One factor you left out is Gingrich delegates. If the Newtster barters his delegate for the VP slot on a Santorum ticket, then we got something!
Romney’s weaker after last night. He’s gaining delegates but so are the othere. If he loses Puerto Rico or Illinois, he’ll be weaker still. He may limp into the convention with the most delegates, but with soft support, he may not win on the first ballot. And then the fun beginss.
Newt was right about Leonard Wood in 1920. He was the favorite and Harding ended up with the nomination and won in a landslide. Harding and Coolidge went on to slash taxes and the national debt and the economy roared.
And I'm thrilled but I have to say, I don't get it unless God is intervening. I've seen some of the anti-Santorum ads and they are brutal. He's outspent 10 to 1 at a minimum and yet is surviving and thriving in these primaries.
Not doubting God has a part, personally praying around the clock, but Rick's success defies all the campaigns in recent history.
>>Can your pointless rhetoric and personal attacks.<<
Wow, talk about the pot calling the kettle.....sheesh!
Where are those repeating the liberal media nonsense that Rick defeat Obama now?
That would be a good outcome, a Santorum/Gingrich ticket.
I could get behind that.
I would prefer Gingrich/Santorum but it doesn’t look like that one is in the cards.
You speak the absolute truth, on all counts, c!
The momentum just shifted to Santorum...
After what we've all learned about how the media can twist facts & manipulate the public I can only say its about time.
The problem is that while one portion of the voting population becomes more sophisticated it seems the other - the left end and probably a plurality of the 'independent' demographic, is becoming even more easily led.
The Media/RATS/Obama are praying for a Romney win in order to suppress the conservative vote.
>>...Rick’s success defies all the campaigns in recent history.<<
Possibly because he’s an exceptionally good candidate? He’s worked harder than anyone else with less money than anyone else as well. Maybe the voters who meet him face to face actually like him and like his positions?
Or, I suppose we could go with the prevailing view on the Left that GOP voters are toothless idiots, etc.
Obviously anything can happen, but right now this has become a Santorum-Romney race. The Newtster is trailing badly and Paul is proving to be the joke we always knew he was.
bbb...bbbbbu....bb...bbbbu...bbbbbb but I thought Santorum was less popular in this state than gun grabbers and Baltimore Ravens fans combined
See? each of your posts contains two diametrically opposed thoughts. Its a mystery.
I could get behind any ticket, just to get Obummer out of there,
I’ll “vote for an orange juice can”, over Barry Obummer and another 4yrs of Hell, anyday!
We can deal with the “orange juice can”, afterward.
Oh boy - I hope your not using your real last name...