Skip to comments.Why did Santorum's totals in MS and AL differ from the last polls which showed him in 3rd place?
Posted on 03/14/2012 4:30:33 PM PDT by mitchell001
Did open voting which allows Democrats and Independents to vote in the GOP primary account for difference in Santorum's victory totals in MS and AL over the last polls which showed him in 3rd place? In other words, the MS and AL polls only polled likely GOP voters and the real voter population included Democrats and Independents. Also, did the Democrats sway the GOP primary results? Did Santorum robo call Democrats to vote for him?
Perhaps. There is the phenomenon of actual people voting in what was a tight race anyway, and there being no requirement that people conform to the behavior predicted by polls.
People often tell pollster one thing and then vote differently.
LATE DECIDERS went his way.
If you cannot read the exit polls, there is no way to explain it to you.
I think it was Romney dissing the AL forum. You could tell they felt insulted that he didn’t have the time for them. It wasn’t supposed to be televised without Romney but the people raised hell and c-span put it on. A lot of people saw Romney’s arrogance for the first time.
I think it is a combination of crossovers, and people not making their decision until the very last moment.
Maybe the great one said go vote.
Polls are not infallible. Reagan was down double digits to Carter a few days before the Election.
More likely the polls and even exit polls were simply incorrect and under representing Rick’s support. Santorum is made fun of in the media as a wacky, Catholic fundamentalist nut - some people may be responding to polls the way they think the caller wants rather than how they really intend to vote. And that can effect exit polls as well, just enough Santorum voters may have simply avoided the pollsters outside the polling places to skew the sample and yield distorted results. The difference between a win a loss in these states wasn’t that much and while polling is increasingly accurate, it is far from perfect. Look at the exit polling in 2004 as an example. Media thought Kerry was going to win all day because of the exit polls, and well, it didn’t quite work out that way.
Heh, I do that all the time. That's why Al Gore won in Florida, before the actual votes were counted and Gore lost.
It sounds, from his vanity post here, like Mitchell001 might be an upset Romney supporter.
I believe the smart folks in Alabama took it in and voted accordingly.
CNN said there was a lot of misbehaving by the dems voting for
Rick in these 2 open primaries. Again. This has to be discussed ( Changes made for these open primaries to be closed) and you see the GOP lets it go.
When in reality he is just another megalomaniac lawyer nut case, same as FLIP, another megalomaniac lawyer nut case.
Don't vote for lawyers.
I could be wrong, but I do believe I heard something about Santorum robo calling Democrats, that was just last week on the news.
Who did Newt win then? Santorum beat him among GOP and independents by pretty close to the final margin. I think the polls underpoll fly-over country, where Santorum’s strength was to be found.
When I voted yesterday, around 2:00, there were the same number of democrats voting as republicans. I saw the sign in lists, even steven.