Skip to comments.‘Brokered’ GOP convention? Get ready, say political strategists
Posted on 03/15/2012 8:42:44 AM PDT by BO Stinkss
With a breakaway front-runner still yet to emerge in the GOP race, political observers and senior Republican strategists are beginning to seriously contemplate what a brokered convention in Tampa Bay might look like.
A candidate must win the support of 1,144 delegates to become the Republican nominee for president. While most commentators agree that Mitt Romney is the only candidate with a realistic shot of reaching that number before the convention in August, that outcome is by no means assured, especially after his losses in Alabama and Mississippi.
Brokered conventions in the modern era have been exceedingly rare. The last time Republican delegates arrived at the GOP convention uncertain who their nominee would be was 1976, the year Ronald Reagan nearly snagged the nomination away from President Gerald Ford.
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Better a brokered convention
than mitt being foisted on us.
Look at it this way, at least people will tune in and watch it....if Mitt is the nominee going in, test patterns will get higher ratings.
It should be interesting if it happens, it would be the first one in my adult life and I don’t believe Dick Morris’s assertion that it would kill Republicans chances this fall. It might actually make the convention watchable and put some major suspense into it, and it will certainly dominate the news cycle.
There is absolutely nothing wrong with us deciding who our standard bearer will be at the end of the summer. Obama will be flailing his arms saying “look at me, look at me” but all the news will be about the republican nominee.
Let the people’s representatives (because that’s what delegates are) come together and, in convention, decide who they want to run against Barack Obama, in the open and by vote. Let’s get back to the American way of electing leaders and tell the manipulating oligarchs to go screw!
Maybe Sarah will be our nominee.
Wonder what became of all those brilliant media minds who told us there was a better chance of alien visitation than a brokered convention?
I would love to be a committed Gingrich delegate at a brokered convention.
Sure beats a MITTENS love fest...
I LOVE THE IDEA OF A BROKERED CONVENTION
Don’t get discouraged by the media guys!!!
At this point in the LAST campaign they had foisted McLame on us and there was no turning back
Another upside is more time to attack zero, and wedge out rat vote for our side.
At this point, it will be Romney or Santorum. Even if Romney is too wounded, they will not trot out a replacement RINO as they will decide that “the process has gone on too long and inflicted too much damage to win,” though this is not the case.
I don’t mind the prospect of a brokered convention.
I know the pundits say the conventional wisdom that a long drawn-out primary undermines whoever the Republican nominee will be but I think all four candidates are making some really good points, and it’s setting the stage well for what is so wrong with Obama.
I understand the Republican candidates are taking some jabs at each other but in articulating their own positions they’re also doing a really good job at pointing out the pitfalls in Obama’s policies from mandates on religious institutions, gasoline prices and energy policies, the burdens to the economy from higher taxes and more regulation.
I don’t think the current competition among the Republican candidates is bloodying them up as much as the media says, and in the end they are making a fundamental contrast to the Obama Administration.
Mitt Romney will be the nominee. The GOP decided that long ago and they will be sure that is exactly what happens. If it is a Brokered Convention, they will state Romney has the most delegates and he will get the nod.
There is no reason to believe that the GOPe will be able to impose their will on a brokered convention, and if somebody like, say, a Sarah Palin showed up just to say "Hi," you never know what might happen.
Someone (other than the Marxist clique currently in power) thinks anti-gun, waffling-on-abortion, socialized medicine Mitt Romney is a conservative?
RE: Romney is not the conservative we think he is
Huh? He’s never been thought of as a conservative here in FR.
So there is no real harm in a brokered convention, is there?
The worst that can happen is they shove the same RINO down our throats that they were going to shove down our throats all along.
And there is always the possibility that they might not get their way, since the very fact that there is a brokered convention means they have lost control of the situation.
I am starting to like the idea of an astroid slamming into the Earth...
“I think I’m starting to like the idea of a brokered convention”
Starting? ANYONE they come up with HAS to be better than the losers we have now.
[Yeah, now watch the Elites come up with a “great” candidate, like Nanny Bloomberg, just to prove me wrong]
Here is the reality that the MSM has avoided recognizing until now: “ - - - Theyre going to want the guy they think is the right one, and they probably wont be as malleable as people might suggest.
Welcome to REALITY, MSM, - - - welcome to reality.
This Primary is for ALL the marbles - - - .
RE: I dont believe Dick Morriss assertion that it would kill Republicans chances this fall
I think you are exactly right. It would create interest and allow conservatives the ability to talk right to the voters who actually be watching and not seeing the message filtered and manipulated as much by the dinosaur media as it typically is.
And if the nominee was someone other than the three current candidates they would have to start from scratch trying to create dirt, with very little time between the convention and election day.
RE: At this point, it will be Romney or Santorum
A majority of the delegates to the convention will be conservatives (read that will be Rick’s or Newt’s delegates). Romney would never end up being the nominee coming out of a brokered convention.
I’d predict whichever of the two had the most delegates he would end up the nominee with the other being the VP nominee.
I wouldn’t count out Sarah though. I could see Newt throwing his support to her with Rick as the VP nominee.
It would be more accurate to call it an "open" convention.
I just think the whole thing stinks. I would probably be drawn to watch it if it does happen. I wish the GOP could just have a do-over and choose different people to run. I dont know if any of them have a chance against Obama except for Newt. Only because he can debate. I don’t agree with many of his moves over the years and really would not be satisfied if he were the next president. To be honest I don’t think I could put my support behind anyone who has been mentioned for a GOP nominee, The vast majority of all politicians have become so disconnected with the American people it is sickening.
I thinks Newt’s real goal is “Anybody but Romney”
The thought of an open convention is like a cross to a vampire to the GOPe. Imagine, absolutely nothing between the delegates and the candidates. After the first ballot a lot of delegates are up for grabs, right? So the GOPe has seen what Newt can accomplish in ONE debate. Imagine the three of them giving speeches. Two thirds of them already dislike Mitt, who has carpet bombed the other candidates for months. Rick, bless his heart, is boring and humorless. Then Newt gets up to talk...
No? I've heard that fundraising is important to these contests.
tell the manipulating oligarchs to go screw!
Yeah, I can't believe for a second that there would be political horsetrading at a brokered convention.
A brokered convention is a real convention. Instead of the pantomime conventions we’ve become accustomed to.
Either this party coalesces around its constitutional core, or it shatters. This is my prediction: if Romney is the nominee and loses to Obama, this party shatters. A Romney win does its own kind of damage, but a loss in November will cause an uprising among the rank and file that leaves this party holed and sinking. And good riddance.
The party grandees that are trying to foist Romney on us have a death wish; they don’t realize what they are playing with. In their world they think they are the party. In my world, if they are the party then I’m clearly not one of them. If the “Discount Democrats” steal this nomination I’m out. I’m sure the Romniacs are convinced they can juice the game enough to force me to vote for them against Obama, but they can’t stop the split in the party thats coming in the aftermath.
You, me and a lot of other Republicans. Romney is not much better than Obama. They gave us Bob Dole and John McCain. Let us object to them giving us Romney.
get a clue folks....we need to get to ONE candidate and one candidate soon...
I'm not happy with Romney but it is what it is... if he picks a decent running mate...Rubio comes to mind...then he'll be supportable...
lets win the war, not just a battle...
the long road back to America the Great has to start somewhere before its too late....barryster is way past too late...
I figure the floor of the GOP convention in Tampa will end up like a Texas Cage match in the WWE.
If “ - - - Mitt Romney will be the nominee. - - - , “ then we will have just another Big Spender RINO running for POTUS.
Yep, Big Spender Romney has outspent his Primary rivals, and will outspend what Congress allows him in the Federal Budget if he becomes POTUS.
Lemme see now, on the Right is Tweedle Dumb, and on the Left is Tweedle Dumber - - - - . Hmmmmm - - - - ?
Maybe a Brokered Convention just might, could work!
The harm, obviously, is that the GOP is running against itself for several months instead of running against Obama. Beyond that, there's the money issue, which I've mentioned before.
The political wonk in me would like to see a brokered convention because it hasn't happened in decades and it would be interesting. The rational person inside me knows that a brokered convention is idiotic and harms the GOP's chances to win.
And then there are those who think all Gingrich delegates should be committed. :) But if Newt can just get to the podium and speak before the choice is made, he'll win.
It’s preferable to Mitt or Santorum in my book, although I really don’t know what to expect.
The rational person inside me says there is no such thing as bad publicity and the more free publicity the GOP candidate and process get, the better.
The man has won two states. He has not won a state that is not his home state or contiguous to his home state. He will not be the nominee. Best realize that now. A person who hasn't yet declared has a better chance to be the nominee.
I love the idea of a brokered convention because I seriously think that Obama has a plan to pull the federal mandate from the Obamacare legislation and to try to persuade the Supreme Court to let the legislation stand without the Federal Mandate, but with a State mandate, instead.
Before Obama can make this offer, he needs to have Romney confirmed as the Republican nominee. Santorum would stop the idea dead.
Right. It’s great free publicity. Too bad that the nominee will have spent his war chest fighting a primary and then only have two months to fund raise for the real election.
But it’s not like money is important for the presidential election or anything. It’s cool. Those guys will get some time on TV at the convention! No sweat. It’s free pub.
Bob Dull got the kid glove treatment, and look how well that turned out.
Fact is, the swing voters are not to voting for the GOP candidate, they are going to be voting against Ubama.
And the hard-core Ubama supporters will support him even if he gets caught eating babies.
I’ve been hoping for one ever since I saw the final field of nominees. While I like Newt and out of the bunch he’s my choice—I know we can do better.
LOL. Sounds like something my grandma would "cotton to". I can hear her now: "the planet's gone...let's play cards"!
I’m praying that a good handful of delegates are experiencing “Buyer’s Remorse” concerning Romney and Santorum. It’s possible that after the first ballot, especially if he is successful in garnering proportional votes from Florida and Arizona, Newt could swing these delegates in his direction.
Theres a scenario where if Romney has eight, nine hundred delegate votes and Santorum has four, five hundred, Romney goes to Rick and says, Look, you go on the ticket with me. Youre younger Ive been running for five years. Help me with the first ballot nomination; Ill make you vice president. Thats possible. Its been done before.The most likely scenario in a brokered convention, in my opinion.
Dick Morris, is that you?