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In Illinois, Santorum’s Chance at Nomination Is Slipping Away (Rick's last stand)
New York Times ^ | 03/20/2012 | Nate Silver

Posted on 03/20/2012 7:00:01 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

A quick glance at the map might tempt you into thinking that the Republican nomination is roughly an even battle between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, with Mr. Romney tending to prevail in the Northeast and the West, and Mr. Santorum in the Midwest and the South.

Do the math, however, and you’ll find that the nomination isn’t all that close. Mr. Romney hasn’t done that well in the South — but he also hasn’t been shut out there, winning Florida and its 50 winner-take-all delegates, and Virginia, where only Ron Paul was on the ballot alongside him. The Southern states that were poorer for Mr. Romney still tended to split their delegates in a relatively proportional way, and some of the anti-Romney vote there has gone to Newt Gingrich rather than Mr. Santorum.

In the Northeast and the West, on the other hand, Mr. Romney has often carried his states by clearer margins — like in Arizona, Washington or New Hampshire. Mr. Santorum narrowly beat Mr. Romney in Colorado, and Mr. Paul nearly did in Maine, but that has been about the extent of their incursion onto his turf.

Then, there are the delegates that few people pay attention to. From the five U.S. territories given a primary or caucus, including Puerto Rico on Sunday, Mr. Romney won 54 delegates, and Mr. Santorum won none. Mr. Romney has been endorsed by roughly 30 super delegates so far, and Mr. Santorum 2.

Mr. Santorum has been harmed by failures to qualify for the ballot or to post full-delegate slates in several states. And the Republican Party establishment, which would prefer that Mr. Romney be its nominee, has made decisions that work against Mr. Santorum in the event of delegate or vote-counting disputes.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Illinois
KEYWORDS: 1on1; bishopvspope; emptyvest; illinois; richestvsholiest; rickisusedbygope; rickisusedbymitt; santorum; santorumvsteaparty; toast
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
About exactly as many keys as on an English language PC keyboard, However, each small key has a small Japanese character (along with the ABC alphabet letter, slight below and to the right of it to be exact), which is a phonetic sound. Your word processing must be in the Japanese language mode rather than English (and easy setting by one of the keys). Combining the phonetics, for example "bei" 米, with "koku" 国, you get "beikoku" 米国, which is Japanese for "America"--then with a drop down dialogue box with tens if not hundreds of Chinese character combinations to choose from (you have to be able to read these approximate 2000 "kanji" to begin with), you make you selection and enter the appropriate word. It actually can be fast when you get good at it.
21 posted on 03/20/2012 8:30:26 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (If Free Republic morphs into a supportive site for Romney, I'll conclude my 13 year participation.)
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To: sarge83

There is historic precedent for this. John McCain most recently comes to mind. BUT, the “STUPID PARTY” apparently wants to throw another election and lose this one as well, so what can you say. Oh well....see you in the camps.


22 posted on 03/20/2012 8:32:17 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (If Free Republic morphs into a supportive site for Romney, I'll conclude my 13 year participation.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Thanks!


23 posted on 03/20/2012 8:43:41 AM PDT by St_Thomas_Aquinas (Viva Christo Rey!)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

A liberal is a liberal is a liberal. The GOP liberals would rather another liberal obama win than any conservative seeing the light of day. As with all liberals its about the power, control and their time at the feeding trough of public $$$.

As for the Vichy/liberal/moderates and it’s all about the Party boys, Sam Adams best summed it up when he said,” If you love wealth more than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands that which feed you. May your chain be set lightly upon you and posterity forget ye were our countrymen.”


24 posted on 03/20/2012 8:55:13 AM PDT by sarge83
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To: SeekAndFind
Vet the Media:

Photobucket

25 posted on 03/20/2012 9:04:28 AM PDT by Col Freeper (FR is a smorgasbord of Conservative thoughts and ideas - dig in and enjoy it to its fullest!)
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To: SeekAndFind

If indeed "Santorum’s Chance at Nomination Is Slipping Away", then by corollary Gingrich's and Paul's chances have already slipped away. Are we truly ready to concede defeat to our republican overlords? I won't vote for Romney. And if even 10% of the republicans feel as I do (perhaps an under-estimation) Romney will lose this election by a slim margin as Kerry did to Bush and McCain did to Obama. It is time to prepare your contingency plans to survive a second Obama term ...


26 posted on 03/20/2012 9:06:21 AM PDT by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
How do Japanese keyboards work? Are there 10,000 keys? Seriously 8-)

Little people with loads of tiny pens, I said pens not with an i.

27 posted on 03/20/2012 9:22:48 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorists savages.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
The Democrats would love to have Santorum win

So, you'd rather see Romney. Why hide that fact any longer? Come out of the closet.

28 posted on 03/20/2012 9:36:45 AM PDT by Kazan (Mitt Romney: The greater of two evils)
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To: SeekAndFind
It's fair game. Santorum is no political babe in the woods.

If Mitt's "I'm not concerned about the very poor. We have a safety net there. If it needs repair, I will fix it," can be exploited against him using the first part--and it was--then Santorum's “I don’t care what the unemployment rate’s going to be. Doesn’t matter to me,” can as well.

Since Santorum attacked Newt for what he might possibly say were he to become president, I've no sympathy for him.

29 posted on 03/20/2012 1:57:48 PM PDT by newzjunkey
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