It would be helpful to get some input on this race from a local.
Nevada's voting base is very small, but the state and it's interests are very big. Once you're 'made', so to speak, all the state interests line up behind you and protect the gravy train. You better believe.
I like Dean Heller. He's great. Having moved to Nevada years ago from California, it's still mind-blowing to me of the fact that I've not only spoken to my US Senator, but have done so several times -- and did so when he was Congressman from my district. Hell, he calls *us*.
Heller's Mormon and Berkeley ain't, and in a Nevada political race that basically means that she might as well be from Antarctica -- and believe me, I have genetically just as much in common with Shelley Berkeley as I do with Dean Heller.
Overall, I think that if you compare the official US Congress portrait of Shelley Berkeley alongside of the official US Senate portrait of Dean Heller, that's really all you'll need to know to predict the outcome of this race.
I can pretty much assure you that's all that the majority of Nevada voters need to know.
(Of course, I thought Sharron Angle would defeat Harry Reid last time around and look how that turned out.)