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Senate Democrats In Mortal Danger
Dick Morris.Com ^ | March 22, 2012 | Dick Morris

Posted on 03/22/2012 5:42:33 PM PDT by Hojczyk

To understand the full dimensions of the coming Republican landslide, one needs look no further than the Senate races around the country. Because the presidential race is obscured by the heat of the Republican primary, the scale of the coming upheaval is less evident in presidential polling. But a survey of the key Senate races suggests not just a GOP victory, but a total rout.

According to the usually very reliable polling by Scott Rasmussen, Republican candidates are currently leading their Democratic opponents in seven races for seats currently held by Democrats. (Florida, Missouri, Nebraska, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, and Wisconsin) A gain of seven seats would, of course, give the GOP 54 Senators.

In addition, there is one tie race – Virginia – and two races where Republicans are almost tied (New Mexico and Michigan).

On the other hand, Republicans are far ahead in their efforts to keep their seats in Texas and Arizona and somewhat ahead in Nevada.

In Massachusetts, the greatest vulnerability for the Republican incumbents, Scott Brown is nursing a lead over Warren. (The Maine race has yet to take shape).

Finally, the polling in Pennsylvania is not good for Casey nor is it good for Menendez in New Jersey.

Here’s the race by race breakout:

Florida

Congressman Connie Mack, the likely challenger to Democratic Senator Bill Nelson currently leads by 43-36 according to Rasmussen’s poll of March 13, 2012. With Nelson so far under 50%, he is meat.

Nebraska With Ben Nelson out of the way, this seat is a foregone conclusion for the Republicans. Jon Bruning, the front-runner among Republican candidates, leads former Senator Bob Kerry by 55-33 in Rasmussen’s March 15, 2012 survey.

Missouri Sarah Steelman – my personal favorite among Republican contenders – is ahead of Claire McKaskill by an unbelievable 51-41

(Excerpt) Read more at dickmorris.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: dickmorris; senate2012
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1 posted on 03/22/2012 5:42:36 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Hope for change


2 posted on 03/22/2012 5:43:39 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk
Geez, Morris is always wrong...
3 posted on 03/22/2012 5:44:36 PM PDT by Outlaw Woman (The biggest Hate group in America is located in the White House, Congress & DOJ)
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To: Outlaw Woman

Word!


4 posted on 03/22/2012 5:46:19 PM PDT by AFreeBird
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To: Outlaw Woman

Yep, his predictions scare the crap out of me. ;-)


5 posted on 03/22/2012 5:46:52 PM PDT by doc1019 (Romney will never get my vote!)
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To: Outlaw Woman

Yep! I hope Morris is just reporting from other’s and not predicting!


6 posted on 03/22/2012 5:47:28 PM PDT by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; BillyBoy; LdSentinal; AdvisorB

Ping


7 posted on 03/22/2012 5:47:31 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (A chameleon belongs in a pet store, not the White House)
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To: Hojczyk

This is where our efforts should go in 2012, folks, not pushing Willard Romney the open socialist.


8 posted on 03/22/2012 5:47:57 PM PDT by Cato in PA (1/26/12: Bloody Thursday)
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To: Hojczyk

This is what we need if the RINO Newt Romney wins. If he does, then control of both houses of congresscritters will keep the socialist in the WH down. Maybe. That is our only hope. Because if Romney wins, he will go totally liberal and forget he ever called himself anything near a conservative.


9 posted on 03/22/2012 5:48:08 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (God is watching America. He is judging America. He does not like what He is seeing.)
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To: doc1019

exactly. I would have felt more at ease if he said Dems are on the road to recovery or some B.S.

How does that guy keep any credibility at all?


10 posted on 03/22/2012 5:48:46 PM PDT by Outlaw Woman (The biggest Hate group in America is located in the White House, Congress & DOJ)
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To: Outlaw Woman

Agreed. You’d get better and more accurate predictions using a Magic 8 ball.


11 posted on 03/22/2012 5:48:58 PM PDT by Ronin (Sarah.... We really need you now!)
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To: Outlaw Woman

You mean he got the Rasmussen poll numbers backwards?


12 posted on 03/22/2012 5:49:33 PM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER ( Celebrate Republicans Freed the Slaves Month.)
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To: Hojczyk

Mortal Danger? Are they living on the edge of death?


13 posted on 03/22/2012 5:50:18 PM PDT by bmwcyle (I am ready to serve Jesus on Earth because the GOP failed again)
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To: Hojczyk

Looks good now. If Romney is elected and moves further left, as expected of the etch-o-sketch, it will evaporate quickly.


14 posted on 03/22/2012 5:50:58 PM PDT by Ingtar
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To: RetiredArmy

we’d have to ditch bonehead and McConnell to keep Romney in check.

Both those idiots sell us out to the socialist Marxist already. I completely expect them to do the same with someone on their side.


15 posted on 03/22/2012 5:55:10 PM PDT by cableguymn (Good thing I am a conservative. Otherwise I would have to support Mittens like Republicans do.)
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To: Hojczyk

Though 54 Senate seats sounds good, One of them will only serve to offset Tennessee Rino Alexander.


16 posted on 03/22/2012 5:55:10 PM PDT by Boiling point
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To: Outlaw Woman
No. He was spot on in predicting a landslide for the Republicans in 2010, which we got. He was right about a number of state houses changing hands.

He has been wrong about National elections. Doesn't read those tea-leaves very well at all.

17 posted on 03/22/2012 5:55:34 PM PDT by TheWriterTX (Riding the Long-Wave Economic Contraction, Baby!)
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To: Outlaw Woman

Just what I was thinking. Having Morris pick you as a winner is like the curse that comes with making the cover of SI. Nothing good can come of it.


18 posted on 03/22/2012 5:55:46 PM PDT by NavVet ("You Lie!")
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To: Outlaw Woman
No. He was spot on in predicting a landslide for the Republicans in 2010, which we got. He was right about a number of state houses changing hands.

He has been wrong about National elections. Doesn't read those tea-leaves very well at all.

19 posted on 03/22/2012 5:55:54 PM PDT by TheWriterTX (Riding the Long-Wave Economic Contraction, Baby!)
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To: Outlaw Woman
No. He was spot on in predicting a landslide for the Republicans in 2010, which we got. He was right about a number of state houses changing hands.

He has been wrong about National elections. Doesn't read those tea-leaves very well at all.

20 posted on 03/22/2012 5:56:10 PM PDT by TheWriterTX (Riding the Long-Wave Economic Contraction, Baby!)
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To: Outlaw Woman

“Geez, Morris is always wrong... “

Correct. Morris is a scum bag who figured out how to get rich telling conservatives what they want to hear. Like Ann Coulter.


21 posted on 03/22/2012 5:58:05 PM PDT by y6162
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To: Hojczyk

Aw crap. It’s Morris.


22 posted on 03/22/2012 5:59:32 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (The only flaw is that America doesn't recognize Cyber's omniscience. -- sergeantdave)
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To: RetiredArmy

The GOP hardly satnds against liberal Democrats, they never stand against liberal Republicans.


23 posted on 03/22/2012 6:03:40 PM PDT by freedomfiter2 (Brutal acts of commission and yawning acts of omission both strengthen the hand of the devil.)
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To: y6162

probably writing a book(let) about the upcoming ‘landslide’ as we speak. He has time to get it on the market and get thousands before the actual election. Probably will run off with Anne Colter and suck toes after the 2012 election.

*rolling eyes*


24 posted on 03/22/2012 6:04:32 PM PDT by Outlaw Woman (The biggest Hate group in America is located in the White House, Congress & DOJ)
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To: Cato in PA

If BO wins (which I doubt) if we win the Senate maybe impeachment proceedings can start. He has mountains of corruption surrounding him and with his finger in the middle of it. Just hasn’t had time to all come out yet.


25 posted on 03/22/2012 6:05:45 PM PDT by dandiegirl
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To: Boiling point

“Though 54 Senate seats sounds good, One of them will only serve to offset Tennessee Rino Alexander.”

Exactly. I hope a conservative will run against !Lamar! in 2014.


26 posted on 03/22/2012 6:05:57 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: TheWriterTX
Hell... I predicted the House win. He also predicted a huge win in the Senate too iirc. NO THANKS
27 posted on 03/22/2012 6:06:33 PM PDT by Outlaw Woman (The biggest Hate group in America is located in the White House, Congress & DOJ)
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To: Hojczyk

This is what should happen. But I don’t see it happening if Mitt Romney heads the ticket.

The Republicans could turn this whole thing around. But I’m afraid that they really, really, really don’t want to.

We swept the House elections last November, in spite of Republican efforts to kill as many Tea Party candidates as possible. But a Romney ticket will make things far more difficult.


28 posted on 03/22/2012 6:08:03 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: cableguymn

Right


29 posted on 03/22/2012 6:08:50 PM PDT by Outlaw Woman (The biggest Hate group in America is located in the White House, Congress & DOJ)
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To: Cicero

A Tea Party leader said today Mitt would be at the Mercy of a Tea Party caucus within the Republican senate caucus if Republicans gain the senate.

Mitt will be forced to follow the Senate lead and his influence will be diluted


30 posted on 03/22/2012 6:12:55 PM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 ..... Crucifixion is coming)
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To: Ronin

lol!


31 posted on 03/22/2012 6:14:28 PM PDT by Outlaw Woman (The biggest Hate group in America is located in the White House, Congress & DOJ)
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To: Hojczyk

Whether you respect Morris or hate him, most of his article is just reporting polling data (not his), which is pretty much independent of the quality of his judgment.

And the salient point in those polls is the number of incumbent donkeys polling well below 50% - generally accepted as the kiss of death by those in the public opinion profession.


32 posted on 03/22/2012 6:18:36 PM PDT by Stosh
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To: Cicero
I don’t see it happening if Mitt Romney heads the ticket . . . a Romney ticket will make things far more difficult.

We just need to reset everything, like previous election history is on an Etch A Sketch — you can kind of shake it up and we start all over again - and make the down-ticket elections our priority. We can't afford to lose interest and let the anti-American leftist keep the White House and have a friendly Congress. If we're guaranteed a choice between big government liberals, we have to get every conservative to the polls and elect the most constitution-loving, small government, conservative Congress possible. That way, either liberal will be limited in the damage he can do.

33 posted on 03/22/2012 6:22:35 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
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To: Cicero
This is what should happen. But I don’t see it happening if Mitt Romney heads the ticket.

I feel your pain and don't expect Romney to win but I intend to treat the downticket races like the presidential race.
34 posted on 03/22/2012 6:49:36 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Hojczyk

If I’ve learned one thing from the 2010 elections, it’s that polls this far out are not necessarily a harbinger for things to come. Remember how far down Harry Reid was about this time before the election? He was definitely on the way out, and looked what ended up happening. The campaigning hasn’t started for real in these races, and the Dems haven’t started their dirty tricks yet.


35 posted on 03/22/2012 6:53:27 PM PDT by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: TheWriterTX

That one didn’t take rocket science to know a tsunami was coming. There’s not one person, other than Nancy Pelosi maybe, that predicted anything other than what happened.


36 posted on 03/22/2012 6:56:05 PM PDT by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: Hojczyk
All pointing to "Mortal Peril"


37 posted on 03/22/2012 7:01:17 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1157 of America's ObamaVacation from reality [Heroes aren't made, Frank, they're cornered...])
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To: Pollster1

Well, I’m not going to lose interest. I’m just saying that if we get a socialist loser at the top of the ticket, a lot of ordinary voters probably will.

History suggests that a strong Presidential candidate is important in presidential years—less so in the off-year elections, of course.

I will not vote for Romney. But I will go to the polls and vote for those down the ticket—and I hope maybe we can agree on a single write-in candidate for POTUS, as well.

Maybe Romney still will lose the nomination. But it’s not looking good. And virtually everyone is coming out and demonizing Santorum now, which I’m afraid will just make a Romney win more likely.


38 posted on 03/22/2012 7:17:55 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: bmwcyle

Mortal Danger? Are they living on the edge of death?
++++++++++++++++++++++++

I settle for the Democrats taking a long walk off a short plank.

Arrrrrrghhhh me maties!!!


39 posted on 03/22/2012 7:18:15 PM PDT by ak267
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To: Boiling point

Unfortunately we have more RINO’s in the Senate than just one - McCain, Lindsey, Murkowski, Brown, Collins - to name just a few. Hopefully we will be able to elect a real Conservative to replace Kay Bailey so maybe Texas will have at least one Conservative Senator - Cornyn who is not up until 2014 certainly can’t be counted on!


40 posted on 03/22/2012 7:18:43 PM PDT by Grams A (The Sun will rise in the East in the morning and God is still on his throne.)
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To: Outlaw Woman

Here’s hoping for once Dick’s right about something. Although, the Republicans haven’t done much to deserve it.


41 posted on 03/22/2012 7:35:23 PM PDT by Bullish
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To: Boiling point

Even a 60 seat majority doesn’t mean anything these days. With all the RINOS infesting the joint it damn near needs to be 75 just to be sure.

And then I still wouldn’t trust them to do the right thing.


42 posted on 03/22/2012 7:45:00 PM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal The 16th Amendment!)
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To: cripplecreek

“If we’re guaranteed a choice between big government liberals, we have to get every conservative to the polls and elect the most constitution-loving, small government, conservative Congress possible. That way, either liberal will be limited in the damage he can do.”
********************************************************
Hear, Hear! We should try our best to keep Romney from being the nominee—and we should not give up on our attempts to do that.
But if Romney is the nominee we should certainly get out and vote for him since, as undesirable as he may be, he is far superior to Obama. Everytime I see a FReeper post that if Romney’s the nominee, they’re staying home in November I get almost physically ill. NONE of us should be defeatist.

The possibilities of getting a Republican led Senate led by CONSERVATIVE Republicans are quite real and, in my opinion, LIKELY if we get the base out this fall. I think Morris is picking up on this.

We need to support the non-RINO/CINOS for nomination where that makes sense. Some of the important races are:

TED CRUZ to replace the retiring Kay Bailey Hutchinson in Texas.
SARAH STEELMAN to defeat the hapless Democrat incumbent Claire McCaskill in Missouri.
JOSH MANDEL to defeat the incumbent uber liberal Democrat Sherrod Brown in Ohio.
RICHARD MOURDOCK to replace the despicable RINO/Democrat collaborationist Richard Lugar in Indiana’s Republican primary (and then to coast to victory in the general election).
MARK NEUMANN over the RINO Tommie Thompson in Wisconsin.
DON STENBERG over the less desirable (and slightly wobbly) Jon Bruning in Nebraska Republican primary.

If we get the above TRUE CONSERVATIVES in the Senate, we’ll have gone a long way toward having the numbers needed to elect TRUE CONSERVATIVES to the post of Majority Leader. AND THE RINOS (AND THEIR MEDIA ALLIES) KNOW THIS.

In addition to the above races, there are a number of other important Senate races that could help insure that none of the Republican leaders in the Senate “go wobbly” on us.

So be courageous; 2012 is going to be a great year for conservatives.


43 posted on 03/22/2012 8:10:13 PM PDT by House Atreides
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To: Hojczyk; CedarDave

Where is New Mexico, currently held by a rat?

Should be a tie just like Va.


44 posted on 03/22/2012 8:12:30 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: Hojczyk

Not mortal enough.


45 posted on 03/22/2012 8:38:44 PM PDT by Hardraade (http://junipersec.wordpress.com (nobody gives me warheads anyway))
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To: Cato in PA
This is where our efforts should go in 2012, folks, not pushing Willard Romney the open socialist.

Absolutely! No way will I vote for milt, but no way I will stay home either. I'll vote GOP down ticket and for Potus I will vote 3rd party/Indy if there any acceptable choices. If not I will just wright-in Palin.

46 posted on 03/22/2012 9:23:37 PM PDT by rhinohunter (Not voting for RINO Romney...no way...no how)
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To: House Atreides

Yes, let’s be courageous. I really need encouragement right now.


47 posted on 03/22/2012 9:29:44 PM PDT by txhurl (Thank you, Andrew Breitbart. In your untimely passing, you have exposed these people one last time.)
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To: Hojczyk
If the Senate is in mortal danger, then they should have justice passed on them. To wit:
1. A rope
2. A tree
3. Assembly required
4. Repeat as required
5. Problem solved

[Hint: This applies to Donkeys and RINOs.]

48 posted on 03/22/2012 10:00:29 PM PDT by MasterGunner01 (11)
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To: Hojczyk

Even if we could tell the difference between a GOP Senate and a Demo.Senate (we couldn’t), Obama doesn’t recognize ANY Senate, House or the Constitution.


49 posted on 03/22/2012 11:10:29 PM PDT by lewislynn ( What does the global warming movement and the Fairtax movement have in commom? Misinformation)
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To: Clintonfatigued; Hojczyk; randita; Lazlo in PA; fieldmarshaldj; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican

Casey is in trouble? That’s news to me. I don’t even know which third tier challenger will win the GOP primary.


50 posted on 03/25/2012 2:09:56 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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