Posted on 03/22/2012 5:42:33 PM PDT by Hojczyk
To understand the full dimensions of the coming Republican landslide, one needs look no further than the Senate races around the country. Because the presidential race is obscured by the heat of the Republican primary, the scale of the coming upheaval is less evident in presidential polling. But a survey of the key Senate races suggests not just a GOP victory, but a total rout.
According to the usually very reliable polling by Scott Rasmussen, Republican candidates are currently leading their Democratic opponents in seven races for seats currently held by Democrats. (Florida, Missouri, Nebraska, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, and Wisconsin) A gain of seven seats would, of course, give the GOP 54 Senators.
In addition, there is one tie race – Virginia – and two races where Republicans are almost tied (New Mexico and Michigan).
On the other hand, Republicans are far ahead in their efforts to keep their seats in Texas and Arizona and somewhat ahead in Nevada.
In Massachusetts, the greatest vulnerability for the Republican incumbents, Scott Brown is nursing a lead over Warren. (The Maine race has yet to take shape).
Finally, the polling in Pennsylvania is not good for Casey nor is it good for Menendez in New Jersey.
Here’s the race by race breakout:
Florida
Congressman Connie Mack, the likely challenger to Democratic Senator Bill Nelson currently leads by 43-36 according to Rasmussen’s poll of March 13, 2012. With Nelson so far under 50%, he is meat.
Nebraska With Ben Nelson out of the way, this seat is a foregone conclusion for the Republicans. Jon Bruning, the front-runner among Republican candidates, leads former Senator Bob Kerry by 55-33 in Rasmussen’s March 15, 2012 survey.
Missouri Sarah Steelman – my personal favorite among Republican contenders – is ahead of Claire McKaskill by an unbelievable 51-41
(Excerpt) Read more at dickmorris.com ...
“Geez, Morris is always wrong... “
Correct. Morris is a scum bag who figured out how to get rich telling conservatives what they want to hear. Like Ann Coulter.
Aw crap. It’s Morris.
The GOP hardly satnds against liberal Democrats, they never stand against liberal Republicans.
probably writing a book(let) about the upcoming ‘landslide’ as we speak. He has time to get it on the market and get thousands before the actual election. Probably will run off with Anne Colter and suck toes after the 2012 election.
*rolling eyes*
If BO wins (which I doubt) if we win the Senate maybe impeachment proceedings can start. He has mountains of corruption surrounding him and with his finger in the middle of it. Just hasn’t had time to all come out yet.
“Though 54 Senate seats sounds good, One of them will only serve to offset Tennessee Rino Alexander.”
Exactly. I hope a conservative will run against !Lamar! in 2014.
This is what should happen. But I don’t see it happening if Mitt Romney heads the ticket.
The Republicans could turn this whole thing around. But I’m afraid that they really, really, really don’t want to.
We swept the House elections last November, in spite of Republican efforts to kill as many Tea Party candidates as possible. But a Romney ticket will make things far more difficult.
Right
A Tea Party leader said today Mitt would be at the Mercy of a Tea Party caucus within the Republican senate caucus if Republicans gain the senate.
Mitt will be forced to follow the Senate lead and his influence will be diluted
lol!
Whether you respect Morris or hate him, most of his article is just reporting polling data (not his), which is pretty much independent of the quality of his judgment.
And the salient point in those polls is the number of incumbent donkeys polling well below 50% - generally accepted as the kiss of death by those in the public opinion profession.
We just need to reset everything, like previous election history is on an Etch A Sketch — you can kind of shake it up and we start all over again - and make the down-ticket elections our priority. We can't afford to lose interest and let the anti-American leftist keep the White House and have a friendly Congress. If we're guaranteed a choice between big government liberals, we have to get every conservative to the polls and elect the most constitution-loving, small government, conservative Congress possible. That way, either liberal will be limited in the damage he can do.
If I’ve learned one thing from the 2010 elections, it’s that polls this far out are not necessarily a harbinger for things to come. Remember how far down Harry Reid was about this time before the election? He was definitely on the way out, and looked what ended up happening. The campaigning hasn’t started for real in these races, and the Dems haven’t started their dirty tricks yet.
That one didn’t take rocket science to know a tsunami was coming. There’s not one person, other than Nancy Pelosi maybe, that predicted anything other than what happened.
Well, I’m not going to lose interest. I’m just saying that if we get a socialist loser at the top of the ticket, a lot of ordinary voters probably will.
History suggests that a strong Presidential candidate is important in presidential years—less so in the off-year elections, of course.
I will not vote for Romney. But I will go to the polls and vote for those down the ticket—and I hope maybe we can agree on a single write-in candidate for POTUS, as well.
Maybe Romney still will lose the nomination. But it’s not looking good. And virtually everyone is coming out and demonizing Santorum now, which I’m afraid will just make a Romney win more likely.
Mortal Danger? Are they living on the edge of death?
++++++++++++++++++++++++
I settle for the Democrats taking a long walk off a short plank.
Arrrrrrghhhh me maties!!!
Unfortunately we have more RINO’s in the Senate than just one - McCain, Lindsey, Murkowski, Brown, Collins - to name just a few. Hopefully we will be able to elect a real Conservative to replace Kay Bailey so maybe Texas will have at least one Conservative Senator - Cornyn who is not up until 2014 certainly can’t be counted on!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.