Skip to comments.Mapping the way to GOP success in November
Posted on 04/02/2012 1:24:33 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
...Take a map of the United States and three crayons. Color the states Mitt Romney has won so far in red. Color the states Rick Santorum has won in blue. Color the states Newt Gingrich has won in green. Then look at the results.
....Romney's states replicate almost exactly the states Barack Obama won four years ago. Almost all of Santorum's states line up with the states John McCain took. Gingrich's two states also went for McCain.
That leads us to these twin conclusions: Romney is weak where the Republicans are strong and strong where the Republicans are weak. Santorum (and Gingrich) shows strength in Republican areas and weakness in Democratic areas.
There are few nuances in these results. Romney has lost three states that have voted Republican 11 consecutive times and one state that voted Republican each of the last 12 times except for 1976, when a Southerner, Gov. Jimmy Carter of Georgia, was on the ballot. Romney lost two states that have voted Republican 10 of the last 12 times. Not every presumptive Republican nominee can claim that.
To take this analysis to the next level: Santorum speaks to the GOP base for the general election in 2012, Romney to areas where Republicans will likely struggle in November.
That's the easy part. The hard part is figuring out whether Romney's profile is a prescription for winning the general election or a road map to disaster.
Let's take the dark side for Romney first. By basically relinquishing the South, the party's modern base - losing six of the eight states of the Old Confederacy that have voted - Romney has displayed a dangerous inability to speak the rhetoric and speak to the issues that made the GOP the party of governance for much of the period 1969 to 2009.
(Excerpt) Read more at jsonline.com ...
That and anyone but Romney.
So this proves Romney is a RINO?
Read the editorial what this pundit puts forth.
It’s not possible to print the entire piece.
He’s saying that Romney does poorly among Republicans in strongly conservative states and better in wishy-washy liberal states. Just about what one would expect from a RINO.
Romney is weak for the same reason McCain was weak: the conservative base doesn’t like him. They stayed home in 2008 and may again in 2012. The “conventional wisdom” that it’s all up to the wimpy middle is a load of crap.
One additional conclusion: We need to allocate GOP delegates more on the basis of actual electoral votes delivered and less on the basis of population.
I guess Romney thinks he can win against nobama.
If Romney is the nominee, he’s screwed himself.
If Romney is the nominee, he’s screwed all of us, too.
What the GOP establishment believes is that you can’t win with out the moderates. What the last 12 elections have show (from both parties) is that you can’t win without your base.
If your base is fired up and you turn out your base, you win. If your base is NOT fired up, you don’t get money, you don’t get volunteers, you dont get the campain support you need.
The GOP establishment is playing chicken with conservatives beliving that the conservatives will once again hold their noses and vote for whoever the GOP establishment puts up. I dont believe that will be the case. I believe they will lose that game of chicken. Conservatives are fed up with the RINO mentality.
I still believe in miracles and am praying for one that cannot be stated here-God’s hand is capable of providing such a miracle and in such a way that is completely beyond what we can ask or think. My only concern is that America is so arrogant, so unrepentant that God will not answer such a prayer, but I rely on His unfailing love to provide His grace, No matter what the fina outcome is in November.