Skip to comments.Ipsos: 85%-99% chance of Obama winning
Posted on 04/03/2012 1:43:21 PM PDT by Fred
Mitt Romneys slow but seemingly successful trudge to the GOP nomination aside, President Obama is a virtual lock to win a second term, according to a blockbuster election analysis by Ipsos. The bottom line, said Ipsos polling director Clifford Young: If Obamas weak approval rating stays at 47 percent, there is an 85 percent chance he wins reelection. Should it rise to 50 percent or better, which is the goal of the Obama-Biden campaign, he stands a 99 percent chance of winning.
The Republican primaries are nothing more than an interesting side-show to an eventual Obama victory, said Young, managing director of Ipsos Public Affairs U.S. polling. He tells Secrets: Obama is the odds-on favorite barring some unforeseen random event. As such, we really should not be asking who will win the presidency but instead who will hold the House and Senate and will Obama be able to govern?
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
Ipsos polling is as left as you can get.
The same media said Obama could not win in 2008 because his primary went into June, right?
What if gas goes to $8 a gallon.
Oh yeuah, that means Obama wins.
I don’t know what Ipsos is but I still beleive BHO is going to win and win big.
Romney can not beat BHO because he is in essence the same.
I agre with the conclusion however, that winning the Congress is essential, maybe as much as winning the White House.
The problem with NOT winning the Presidency is Executive Orders. This guy will do whatever he can by EO and the lamestream media will not care one bit. As a matter of fact, they will probably APPLAUD it.
At this time in 1980, Reagan was 20 points behind Carter.
The administration has been looking for a way to stir financial support ever since the 41% approval poll came out a few weeks ago. Since then, we’ve had the “war on women” and “the war on blacks” manufactured to get his numbers up.
Obama doesn’t have to win, the GOP E is GIVING it to him with their push for LIBERAL Romney. He can never overcome his record, he doesn’t even have the personality to do it. He is the GOP E’s version of ZERO.
No one can be this stupid, so I have to assume it was done deliberately as some ‘so called’ conservative leaders are even falling like dominoes for Zero. And this voter and others refuse to fall for their game they have been playing for years that got us here. Each of their ‘picks’ over the years have been flat. McCain didn’t even try - lackluster DELIBERATELY because it was thought for sure Sarah was going to make them/GOP E win. It is all by design this election - they are giving it away.
Tranlation: 8.5-9.9% chance of winning.
Will ISPOS allow me to place a bet against their prediction? Since they are 85% sure, are they willing to give me 6 to 1 odds?
Everyone knows Pepsi-lite is better for you than Pepsi. Yet Pepsi outsells Pepsi-lite...everywhere...all the time.
Obama will wipe the floor with his Caucasian mini-me....
A poor imitation of anything engenders nothing but disrespect in most people
(1) The economy will slowly improve until election day.
(2) A small majority of eligible USA voters support the European Socialist political model - and their voter participation rate has slowly increased for 4 straight presidential elections.
(3) Conservatives have had NO national political leadership since Newt Gingrich self-destructed in 1998.
(4) America accepts 1 million new citizens each year, and 75% of them vote for the Democratic Party.
(5) The Hard Left MSM has relentlessly, viciously, and brilliantly assaulted the Republican Party for 40 years - yet, the GOP still has NO organized national strategy to counter this assault.
In the actual election?
In an honest election?
Unfortunately, as a candidate and politician, Mitt Romney isn't anything close to Reagan. The last time a party was as unenthusiastic about its candidate as the Republicans are about Romney, the Democrats nominated Walter Mondale. They were whistling by the graveyard then, too.
But the real gamblers at InTrade.com will give you 60-40 odds that Obama will be reelected.
>>At this time in 1980, Reagan was 20 points behind Carter.
True, but Romney is no Reagan.
Whether Obama wins or not really has very little to do with Mitt. The entire election will be about Obama and whether voters want to give him another 4 years or not. My guess is that the answer will be an overwhelming “NO”.