I agree with the Toe Sucker, but for different reasons.
In the Trayvon Martin case, Obama has lit the fuse on a nationwide race war.
Any voter who is not black realizes that he or she is the target of that war, and will be in serious trouble if the leader of that war were to gain a second term.
So they’ll run screaming to the GOP and vote for a yellow dog, a warm bucket of spit, or perhaps even Mitt Romney.
It’s the Southern Strategy, more wildly successful than Nixon ever dreamed it could be.
i think obama is the favorite...but, I also think what you say here could end up being relevant:
“Any voter who is not black realizes that he or she is the target of that war, and will be in serious trouble if the leader of that war were to gain a second term.”
obviously that sentiment will not show up clearly in polling anytime soon...SO...there IS a possibility that come mid October, obama could start sinking and it could end up a blow out, ala 1980. That “could” happen.
(Note to Romney: if you end up winning big, it doesn’t mean you are Reagan. It just means that obama is worse than Carter).