i think obama is the favorite...but, I also think what you say here could end up being relevant:
“Any voter who is not black realizes that he or she is the target of that war, and will be in serious trouble if the leader of that war were to gain a second term.”
obviously that sentiment will not show up clearly in polling anytime soon...SO...there IS a possibility that come mid October, obama could start sinking and it could end up a blow out, ala 1980. That “could” happen.
(Note to Romney: if you end up winning big, it doesn’t mean you are Reagan. It just means that obama is worse than Carter).
The sentiment is out there now. Wait until they start burning Detroit, Philly and Baltimore this summer.
Not to mention the neo-hippie antics of Occupy Wall Street.
I still chuckle about Morris and his toe sucking incident.
The woman who was involved was not only from Pittsburgh....she was from the exact neighborhood in Pittsburgh were, when I was a kid, you used to go cruising if your intentions were to meet a girl like that.
Mitt Romney is the Nidal Hasan of the Republican party, someone on the liberal side of the war ready to destroy as much of conservatism as possible.