No he didn't. Rasmussen had the GOP up like 12 points over the Democrats on the generic ballot. Virtually everyone including the NY Times Nate Silver knew the GOP was going to take over the US House. The only people that didn't see it coming were the kooks at places like Kos, DU, etc - and even they probably knew it was coming in their heart. Most sensible analysts predicted the GOP pickup was going to be around 50 seats - and also knew crummy candidates like Christine O' Donnell, Carl Paladino, etc, would be easily defeated.
Gallup has Hussein at 50% today. People are going to have to face the fact that Obama is still reasonably popular considering how lousy the economy is and $4.00 gas. He will be hard to beat. Romney is a lackluster candidate and my guess is, unfortunately, that Obama has a very good chance at a second term. Santorum would have fared even worse since he wouldn't be able to stop himself from blathering on about how contraception is "not okay", why we need to wage a war on porn, etc.
” Most sensible analysts predicted the GOP pickup was going to be around 50 seats..”
And you didn’t answer my observation about the Republicans taking over 26 state legislatures.
I know there’s ras-bots who love their rat hero, but he is very fallible.
Exactly. American sheeple on the whole don't think like those of us here in the conservative environs like FR. We don't have to like it, but Obama still holds at least half of America in thrall, comprising his base. Much of the previous drop in approval ratings can be attributed to a disappointment he hasn't whipsawed the Republicans and turned the country harder to the left. Look at the Gallup numbers... he has gone nearly straight up.. a 15-point swing that commenced right after he made those comments about the Supreme Court. There's something about that confrontation with the Supremes that has the sheep feeling all warm again. Make no mistake.. he's still the rock star and the cool black guy, and in image-obsessed America, that goes a long way. Romney has no discernible base of support and he generates no enthusiasm from any quarter.
It sucks, but America is a different country now, even compared to 2000. Considering 49.5% pay no federal income taxes.. and LIKE it that way and want yet more blood drawn from the "rich" .. Obama has massive structural advantages going into election day. When all is said and done, Obama will win by about the same electoral vote margin as McCain did. But.... this is what the GOP establishment wanted... presenting a sacrificial lamb who will set about losing gracefully. Well... looks like they got what they want.
Gallup at this point is polling only national adults and that method is the most inaccurate when trying to see ahead. The use of likely voters is the only way to get results approaching a semblance of accuracy and even then they are nothing but a snapshot.