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U.S. intelligence gains in Iran seen as boost to confidence(it's not making warhead???)
Washington Post ^ | April 7, 2012 | Joby Warrick and Greg Miller

Posted on 04/07/2012 9:32:20 PM PDT by Seizethecarp

The Obama administration has cited new intelligence reports in arguing against a preemptive military strike by Israel against Iranian nuclear facilities.

The expanded espionage effort has confirmed the consensus view expressed by the U.S. intelligence community in a controversial estimate released publicly in 2007. That estimate concluded that while Iran remains resolutely committed to assembling key building blocks for a nuclear weapons program, particularly enriched uranium, the nation’s leaders have opted for now against taking the crucial final step: designing a nuclear warhead.

“It isn’t the absence of evidence, it’s the evidence of an absence,” said one former intelligence official briefed on the findings. “Certain things are not being done.”

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cia; drone; iran; israel
The 2007 NIE was fraudulent the day it came out. The Iranians already have a nuclear warhead design provided by AQ Khan, IIRC.

This WaPo story is yet another preemptive attempt to de-legitimize the inevitable Israeli attack so that Israel, not Obama, gets blamed when the Iranian asymetric blowback kills US troops and civilians.

Obviously, the absence of evidence that Iran is designing a warhead is NOT evidence of absence of the same. It's the unknown unknowns that Isreal will not rely on the US to detect or trust the US under Obama to act on.

1 posted on 04/07/2012 9:32:27 PM PDT by Seizethecarp
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2 posted on 04/07/2012 9:34:18 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: LucyT

Obama is confident Iran is not designing a warhead ping...


3 posted on 04/07/2012 9:35:02 PM PDT by Seizethecarp
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To: musicman
Perfect cartoon for this story!

BTW, I posted just the very last three paragraphs of the story. The entire article was a lead-up to the claim that the 2007 NIE has been validated by the "new intelligence" on which we obviously wasted $ billions. Talk about Alice in Wonderland! The treason in the WH and the media continues...

4 posted on 04/07/2012 9:40:57 PM PDT by Seizethecarp
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To: Revolting cat!; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

Thanks Seizethecarp.


5 posted on 04/07/2012 9:41:10 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Seizethecarp

Pure old fashioned taqiyya from the White House.

The logic makes me think of OJ. All the probabilities of the mutual co incidences pointed directly to his guilt. .... each piece by its self was so highly improbable....


6 posted on 04/07/2012 9:44:13 PM PDT by himno hero (Obamas theme...Death to America...The crusaders will pay!)
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To: Seizethecarp; a fool in paradise

I trust the “intelligence community” that told us in 1989 that it was all hunky dory in the Soviet block of Eastern Europe! When are they ever wrong?!


7 posted on 04/07/2012 9:44:13 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Let us prey!)
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To: Seizethecarp

Thanks! I agree about the treason “duo”!!


8 posted on 04/07/2012 9:45:42 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Seizethecarp

Anybody that thinks that Iran is not making nuclear warheads are delusional. Ahmadinejad and his cohorts believe they can bring on the 12th Imam through a worldwide conflagration and this can only happen with nuclear weapons.


9 posted on 04/07/2012 9:49:43 PM PDT by doc1019 (Romney will never get my vote!)
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To: Seizethecarp

I would bet Israel’s intelligence knows as much if not more than our intelligence. So, what we think is irrelevant. If Israel sees a nuke in Iran’s future, you can bet it’ll be coming from Israel.


10 posted on 04/07/2012 9:51:32 PM PDT by Terry Mross ("It happened. And we let it happen." - Peter Griffin, Family Guy)
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To: SunkenCiv

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/nov/05/iran-tested-nuclear-warhead-design

Iran tested advanced nuclear warhead design – secret report

Exclusive: Watchdog fears Tehran has key component to put bombs in missiles

Julian Borger, diplomatic editor

guardian.co.uk, Thursday 5 November 2009 15.45 EST

The UN’s nuclear watchdog has asked Iran to explain evidence suggesting that Iranian scientists have experimented with an advanced nuclear warhead design, the Guardian has learned.

The very existence of the technology, known as a “two-point implosion” device, is officially secret in both the US and Britain, but according to previously unpublished documentation in a dossier compiled by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iranian scientists may have tested high-explosive components of the design. The development was today described by nuclear experts as “breathtaking” and has added urgency to the effort to find a diplomatic solution to the Iranian nuclear crisis.

The sophisticated technology, once mastered, allows for the production of smaller and simpler warheads than older models. It reduces the diameter of a warhead and makes it easier to put a nuclear warhead on a missile.

Documentation referring to experiments testing a two-point detonation design are part of the evidence of nuclear weaponisation gathered by the IAEA and presented to Iran for its response.


11 posted on 04/07/2012 9:52:31 PM PDT by Seizethecarp
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To: Seizethecarp

These are the days of calm and peace. America smiles and thinks the world will never catch up with them.

War is coming. We didn’t recognize it in the 70s. We ignored it in the 80’s 90s. It will slap us into reality soon.

Our greatest freedom will be our ultimate enemy. Give us your tired, yearning for freedom. These words have giving hope to the masses but freedom is not what everyone seeks.


12 posted on 04/07/2012 9:54:21 PM PDT by South Dakota (shut up and drill)
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To: South Dakota

American intelligence gave us the “christian” obama, the greatest deceiver and destroyer in American history.

This indecision, self doubt and identity crisis will be the source of Americas greatest spanking. There is a price to be paid for such ignorance.

We don’t need to worry about Iran, we have obama.

Aside from that, if their power generation technology was peaceful , why is is so clandestine? Hardened bunkers?


13 posted on 04/07/2012 10:07:11 PM PDT by himno hero (Obamas theme...Death to America...The crusaders will pay!)
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To: Seizethecarp

Disinformation from WAPO, yanking a page right out of Goebbels’ book.

The Omulla Junta has seized control of the press and courts and congress and rules by dictate.

Anybody done their taxes yet? Holy smokes I am going to have to sell 25% of my assets to pay my income tax. I get no deductions anymore. And I am no 1 per center. Trickle down poverty.


14 posted on 04/07/2012 10:18:18 PM PDT by FlyingEagle
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To: himno hero

“We don’t need to worry about Iran, we have obama.”

Incredible! ROFL!


15 posted on 04/07/2012 10:37:46 PM PDT by Carthego delenda est
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To: himno hero

Iran can strike us. It is from within that our enemies will seek to destroy us


16 posted on 04/07/2012 10:52:39 PM PDT by South Dakota (shut up and drill)
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To: South Dakota

Only because of the distortion of our Constitution and Her Republic to Protect.


17 posted on 04/07/2012 11:18:59 PM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: Seizethecarp
Zero to the iranians: If you can just hold off for a few months, I'll have a lot more flexibility in dealing with the jews
18 posted on 04/07/2012 11:28:27 PM PDT by paul51 (11 September 2001 - Never forget)
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To: Seizethecarp
Since the truth has never crossed the lips of anyone in the Obama admin., I expect Iran will test a weapon within a year.
19 posted on 04/08/2012 1:12:41 AM PDT by Mister Da (The mark of a wise man is not what he knows, but what he knows he doesn't know!)
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To: Seizethecarp
Let's see now...the IAEA says Iran *is* building a nuke and Osama Obama says they're not.Who to believe?

I've gotta go with the UN on this one.

(Good God,did I really say that?)

20 posted on 04/08/2012 6:46:59 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Jimmy Carter Is No Longer The Worst President To Have Served In My Lifetime.)
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To: Mister Da
I expect Iran will test a weapon within a year.

That certainly might be their *hope* but you know what they say...."sometimes the best laid plans..."

21 posted on 04/08/2012 6:48:54 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Jimmy Carter Is No Longer The Worst President To Have Served In My Lifetime.)
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To: Seizethecarp

As long as something does not go BooooooM, he can say anything, we are better at predicting after the fact.


22 posted on 04/08/2012 9:25:24 AM PDT by itsahoot (Tag lines are a waste of bandwidth, as are most of my comments.)
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To: Seizethecarp
BTW, I posted just the very last three paragraphs of the story. The entire article was a lead-up to the claim that the 2007 NIE has been validated by the "new intelligence" on which we obviously wasted $ billions. Talk about Alice in Wonderland! The treason in the WH and the media continues...

If Iran suitcase-nukes Manhattan or Chicago or L.A. or Las Vegas (den of iniquity) or DC, the only hope for the press to save face will be to accuse Israel and/or Sarah Palin of having detonated it themselves in order to make Obama look bad.

Cheers!

23 posted on 04/08/2012 10:25:02 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: grey_whiskers
“If Iran suitcase-nukes Manhattan or Chicago or L.A. or Las Vegas (den of iniquity) or DC...”

I do not believe Iran will get "the bomb." IMO, Netanyahu is not a traitor to Israel and Obama knows it! I believe Netanyahu has given Barry just a few months to produce a surrender by the Iranians of their break-out bomb capability...or Israel is going in with or without the US, screw the risk to Obama’s reelection if something “goes wrong.”

Something will absolutely “go wrong” (lots of US citizens and military die) if the US does not take out Iranian retaliatory capability on day one. Taking out Iran's retaliatory missile batteries and Hormuz closing ability is not something Israel can do at the same time that it is bombing Iran's nuclear targets.

24 posted on 04/08/2012 11:23:21 AM PDT by Seizethecarp
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To: musicman

bttt


25 posted on 04/08/2012 11:48:24 AM PDT by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both)
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