Gingrich would need to get about 95% of the remaining primary delegates to win the nomination. That includes NJ, NY, CT, RI, CA. Gingrich is still over 1000 delegates short.
Gingrich would need to prevent Romney from getting 600 of the remaining 1100+ delegates, including NJ, NY, CT, RI, CA.
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The only way Gingrich gets to the WH is if both Romney and Obama drop out or Obama sends Gingrich an invitation.
Welcome to FR!
Do you happen to have access to an accurate delegate count now that the race is down to Romney, Newt and Paul?
Now that Santorum as dropped out of the race, I do wonder where the Santorum delegates will go. Then there are the states that have had their primary but their delegates have not been assigned or bound to a particular candidate. I also wonder about the states where the status of their delegates being “winner take all” or “proportional” has not been decided.
There are still several states yet to have their Republican Primary so I really wonder how so many claim the race is over. Things might look a lot different by the end of June.
By staying in he still gets some media attention for his issues, and anyone still sending him money helps pay down his campaign debt. It’s a win/win for him. Besides, I think he is having fun tooling around and talking to the public. Seems he goes to a lot of zoos and stuff too. Why not? Until Romney officially has 1144 delegates he may as well force some in the press to cover him for a little while longer. He’s burned his bridges at Fox, so maybe he will head over to CNN when this thing is over and make that network a little more watchable.
Wall Street is salivating at the prospect. Trillions are at stake.
Vote for Newt in PA to signal support for more conservative Tea Party positions than Romney advocates.
Billionaires these days just haven't got what it takes.
Romney’s campaign is sputtering along. Without his super pacs..Newt would be the nominee. The coward won’t even debate Newt again.
The numbers are NOT with Mitt
Posted by noprisoners49 (Diary)
Friday, April 13th at 5:30PM EDT
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Recommenders: garfieldjl (Diary), dialove, rightwingnut2 (Diary), mswalnut (Diary)
Mitt Romney must win over 60% of all remaining hard delegates to secure the GOP nomination. Surprised?
19 states still need to be heard from, and of those states 869 hard delegates are available at the state and district level (discounting the 37 total delegates available between Indiana and Arkansas, which have proportionality rules only a democrat could love). State and committee GOP delegates number about 69, which I’m throwing into my calculations as a given for Romney.
Nevertheless, Romney still needs 663 delegates to reach that magic 1144 number.
Can he do it?
Of the 11,280,792 votes cast so far, Romney has accumulated 4,595,908 or only about 41%. Typically, Romney does not garner more than an average of 44% of the vote. Santorum averaged about 25% of the vote. Even if half of Santorum’s supporters vote for Mitt, this still does not give him the necessary 60+ % to secure the GOP nomination.
[All data from http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_vote_count.html].
Is a brokered convention still possible?
Santorum merely suspended correct? He has not endorsed anyone else.
If we get to a brokered convention, then Newt and Rick have a chance and either is infinitely preferable to the Liar RINO.
But no doubt in my mind that Newt is made for American history as President, if not this time then in 2016 when he will be 72 years old, a little old but if he stays in good health he can get two terms in to turn this country towards the ideals of its founding.
A few problems with your theory that the last conservative in the race for nomination has no chance.
When it sinks in among the GOP electorate during the next four months that Romney is a corporate raider who refuses to release his tax returns, that he has real problems with what is sure to be the big issues of the campaign - fiscal and tax issues, that he is still the gaffe-master with no broad appeal to the average voter, and that he intends to run to the left to try to take away democrat voters - the delegates and down-ticket politicians will not commit suicide for their party’s pre-determined presidential aspirant.
“Can Newt Gingrich keep his sputtering campaign alive?”
Sure. If all the fervent supporters that post here on FR will send him $10, $15 or $20 thousand dollars then Newt can keep on flying private jets here and there to campaign.
Your candidate needs your money!
no /sarc is necessary or appropriate
If he can keep it together until the convention, mabe there
is hope.
Welcome aboard. May your stay be pleasant as well as informative.
Well, he needs some money to continue.
He could get bit by a few more penguins and sue the Zoos. Or he could release the Global Warming book he put on hold until the primaries are over.
He could cut up his Tiffany’s card.
just suggestions and just teasing