First Gallup 2012 tracking poll: Romney 47, Obama 45

Hot Air ^ | APRIL 16, 2012 | ALLAHPUNDIT

[RobinMasters]

Worth blogging or no? On the one hand, it’s registered voters, not likelies, and we’ve got, oh, another 200 or so of these to go before election day. On the other hand, go look at BuzzFeed’s historical comparison. Incumbents always start out ahead — until now. For some reason they omit 1984, but Conn Carroll has that number: Reagan led Mondale by fully 13 points in April that year. Not since Gerald Ford has a sitting president actually trailed his presumptive opponent six-plus months before the election.

The race breaks down into the expected patterns by party, with 90% of Democrats supporting Obama, and 90% of Republicans supporting Romney. The Republican results show that despite the rancor and divisiveness of the Republican campaign, the vast majority of Republicans are backing Romney in the head-to-head battle with Obama, as they have in ballot tests earlier this year.

The crucial voting bloc of independents breaks toward Romney by 45% to 39%, giving the GOP challenger his slight overall edge…

At this point, there is no statistically significant advantage for either candidate [in terms of enthusiasm], as 80% of Romney voters and 76% of Obama voters say they will definitely vote next November.

[JaguarXKE]

I wish I could say I’m happy, but I look at as whether we want out cr*p sandwich on white or wheat

[Lazlo in PA]

I have to say, I was surprised by this poll. Milt should be down to Obummer considering how brutal this Primary has been. One would think that even Obummer would have a bit of a lead. I am sure the WH is crapping their pants being behind a loser like Milt.

[mikelets456]

How does this Marxist drum up 45%? Gas at $4 per gallon, high unemployment, scandal after scandal, vacations, etc..etc. I think he’s at 32%...lying media!

[traderrob6]

That’s a pretty dam% good analogy. Considering I hate whole wheat bread, I’ll hold my nose and vote for whitebread Willard.

[Marathoner]

How does this Marxist drum up 45%?

Holder's people + Occupy parasites + too many brainwashed women who believe he's protecting their birth control.

[Marathoner]

I have to say, I was surprised by this poll. Milt should be down to Obummer considering how brutal this Primary has been.

I'm really not surprised for 3 reasons: No more novelty of the 1st black in the WH, unlike 2008; the ecomomy sucks, no matter how much the drivebys try to lie about it; unlike Bill Clinton, Comrade Zero just really isn't likeable. There's no good old boy side to him at all.

[Steely Tom]

Boys and girls, this is what we call a “head fake.”

[mosesdapoet]

For all the candidate bashing that Romney, and his mostly libertarian surrogates on talk radio who by mocking candidates against Eugenics support it. has done without advancing anything positive even about himself. I’m not surprized it’s where Romeny’s scarey two points is at.

I just wonder what a generic party poll will be like .

[Longbow1969]

I have to say, I was surprised by this poll. Milt should be down to Obummer considering how brutal this Primary has been. One would think that even Obummer would have a bit of a lead. I am sure the WH is crapping their pants being behind a loser like Milt.

90% of Republicans are backing Romney already and, at least in this poll, Willard is winning the Independents by 6%. I'd expect these polls to bounce around a lot, but it will likely be very close in November. Hussein is still the favorite, but Mitt could certainly win.

[noinfringers2]

This pole is nothing more than a result of a pretentious bunch of people trying to affect the election and GOP choice.

[parisa]

This is GREAT NEWS!!! ANd it’s not even likely but registered!! The media is playing this like it’s an actual horse race. Utter rubbish. obumbum and his vampire empire won’t know what hit them in November. It is going to be the most unmitigated disastrous embarrassments for this WH Occupier. MG, I can’t wait for the privilege of voting.

[randita]

Obama lost independents on Obamacare and porkulus. The 2010 elections turned on those two issues.

Don’t see how independents are going to go back to Obama with the bitter taste still in their mouths.

[Patton@Bastogne]

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Liberal, Mormon Mitt Romney as the GOP 2012 Presidential nominee will be the "GOP Bataan's Death March" ...

This Gallup Poll is pure "Stalinist Propaganda" ... certainly paid-for by Mittens and his "carpetbombing" SuperPAC ..

Geographical location: Salt Lake City, Utah ... just a wormhole's skip-and-a-hop from Planet Kolob ...




Why the poll, especially this early ... with Mittens with (what) 40 percent of the GOP delgates so far ?

To cover the fact that Mitt REFUSES to debate Newt Gingrich in Texas ...

and to convince the "uniformed" that Romney is a "Winner" ...




The same Gallup organization already has their September "polling questions ready" ... should their GOP E-RINO buttboy win the nomination ...



Gallup "September" Presidential Poll Question 1-A:

Do you think that Martin Luther King and Joseph Smith are both with Jesus in Heaven ?


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Gallup "September" Presidential Poll Question 1-B:

Do you think that Jesus and Satan are really Brothers ?


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Gallup "September" Presidential Poll Question 2:

Do you think it is Hypocritical of Mormons to be "Anti-Gay Marriage" when their Prophet had 15 Wives ...

and Mitt Romney's MEXICAN grandfather had THREE wives ?


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Gallup "September" Presidential Poll Question 3:

Do you think that it's Wrong for Romney to have delayed releasing his Federal Tax returns to just six (6) weeks before the Presidential Election ?


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Gallup "September" Presidential Poll Question 4:

Do you think that "honest" and "compassionate" Americans should have "offshore" bank accounts ?


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Gallup "September" Presidential Poll Question 5:

How many times have You or a Friend or Family member been "unjustly" FIRED FROM THEIR JOB ?


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Gallup "September" Presidential Poll Question 6:

How much would You do for Charity if You had the same $ 150 MILLION DOLLAR personal fortune that Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney has ?


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Gallup "September" Presidential Poll Question 7:

Do You think it's "fair" that Romney is upset that Barack Obama REFUSES to publicly debate Romney ...

after Romney repeatedly refused ALL of Newt Gingrich's debate challenges after Rick Santorum dropped-out of the GOP Nomination race ?

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