This poll captures “leaners” but it is still registered voters. Likely voters would be + 3% greater lead for the Republican.
posted on 04/18/2012 2:09:56 PM PDT
This poll captures leaners but it is still registered voters. Likely voters would be + 3% greater lead for the Republican.
Undecideds break 80/20 for the challenger even in years when the challenger gets beaten badly. So you need to tack another 6.4 points onto the challenger or 54.4%. If that holds out it will be the biggest blowout since 1984 when Reagan picked up 58% of the popular vote in a 49 state blowout.
I don't expect this lead to hold up once Obama turns the flying monkeys lose on Willard. I certainly can't be news Obama wants to hear. Obama expected to be sitting on a healthy lead after the GOP beat itself to death in the primaries.
The good news is we are probably going to win. The bad news is with Willard we won't win much. Kind of like winning a free house in Detroit.
posted on 04/18/2012 2:27:27 PM PDT
(There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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