Be prepared for a lot of poll fluctuation, most of it will actually be due to sampling, not changes of opinion.
They’ll take a poll that’s 34%D and 32%R and say “look! Romney’s ahead” then take another poll that’s 38%D and 28%R and then go “look! Obama’s gained four points!”.
So just hold your water. I think very few people will change their vote between now and November. Either you love socialism or you hate it.
“Be prepared for a lot of poll fluctuation, most of it will actually be due to sampling, not changes of opinion.”
Exactly. I could create a sample with 50% Republicans, 40% Democrats and 10% Indy and get Romney to 8-10% over OFudgePackula. In order for a poll to be valid the samples must be based upon current demographics.