Skip to comments.Net Migration from Mexico Falls to Zero—and Perhaps Less
Posted on 04/24/2012 8:15:28 PM PDT by neverdem
The largest wave of immigration in history from a single country to the United States has come to a standstill. After four decades that brought 12 million current immigrantsmore than half of whom came illegallythe net migration flow from Mexico to the United States has stoppedand may have reversed, according to a new analysis by the Pew Hispanic Center of multiple government data sets from both countries.
The standstill appears to be the result of many factors, including the weakened U.S. job and housing construction markets, heightened border enforcement, a rise in deportations, the growing dangers associated with illegal border crossings, the long-term decline in Mexicos birth rates and changing economic conditions in Mexico.
The report is based on the Centers analysis of data from five different Mexican government sources and four U.S. government sources. The Mexican data come from the Mexican Decennial Censuses (Censos de Población y Vivienda), the Mexican Population Counts (Conteos de Población y Vivienda), the National Survey of Demographic Dynamics (Encuesta Nacional de la Dinámica Demográfica or ENADID), the National Survey of Occupation and Employment (Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo or ENOE), and the Survey on Migration at the Northern Border of Mexico (Encuesta sobre Migración en la Frontera Norte de México or EMIF-Norte).
The U.S. data come from the 2010 Census, the American Community Survey, the Current Population Survey and the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.
Among the reports key findings:
In the five-year period from 2005 to 2010, about 1.4 million Mexicans immigrated to the United States and about 1.4 million Mexican immigrants and their U.S.-born children moved from the United States to Mexico. In the five-year period a decade earlier (1995 to 2000), about 3 million Mexicans had immigrated to the U.S. and fewer than 700,000 Mexicans and their U.S. born-children had moved from the U.S. to Mexico.
This sharp downward trend in net migration has led to the first significant decrease in at least two decades in the number of unauthorized Mexican immigrants living in the U.S.to 6.1 million in 2011, down from a peak of nearly 7 million in 2007. Over the same period the number of authorized Mexican immigrants rose modestly, from 5.6 million in 2007 to 5.8 million in 2011.
Mexicans now comprise about 58% of the unauthorized immigrants living in the United States. They also account for 30% of all U.S. immigrants. The next largest country of origin for U.S. immigrants, China, accounts for just 5% of the nations stock of nearly 40 million immigrants.
Apprehensions of Mexicans trying to cross the border illegally have plummeted by more than 70% in recent years, from more than 1 million in 2005 to 286,000 in 2011a likely indication that fewer unauthorized immigrants are trying to cross. This decline has occurred at a time when funding in the U.S. for border enforcementincluding more agents and more fencinghas risen sharply.
As apprehensions at the border have declined, deportations of unauthorized Mexican immigrantssome of them picked up at work or after being arrested for other criminal violationshave risen to record levels. In 2010, nearly 400,000 unauthorized immigrants73% of them Mexicanswere deported by U.S. authorities.
Although most unauthorized Mexican immigrants sent home by U.S. authorities say they plan to try to return, a growing share say they will not try to come back to the U.S. According to a survey by Mexican authorities of repatriated immigrants, 20% of labor migrants in 2010 said they would not return, compared with just 7% in 2005.
Looking back over the entire span of U.S. history, no country has ever sent as many immigrants to this country as Mexico has in the past four decades. However, when measured not in absolute numbers but as a share of the immigrant population at the time, immigration waves from Germany and Ireland in the late 19th century equaled or exceeded the modern wave from Mexico.
Download complete report(PDF).
I’ll let you all know when the million illegals who live in my immediate neighborhood decide to return home. Don’t anybody hold their breath.
I don’t believe the study either. In the first place I do believe that the number of illegals has always far exceeded the few million any study claims. Returning to Mexico? Not in Texas. They have continued to pour over the border, cranking out more babies and taking over.
Bahlohneee..... Or Chorizo .....
And we know this exactly HOW?
Re: “Net Migration” Falls To Zero
So, the number of illegal Mexicans coming in EQUALS the number of illegal Mexicans going back.
And that’s portrayed as a victory?
Smoke and mirrors. Ask any of the service providers if they’re still under the gun for illegal immigrant services.
There are between 20 and 35 million illegals in the United States today. And if there aren’t, it’s because they have already been fast-tracked to citizenship.
No, they screwed up the economy even worse as a matter of national security. Now ElQaeda will have a harder time sneaking into the country, and all those Berlitz Spanish courses have gone to waste. There is a war on terror going on. And now we have more secure borders, because people are crossing in the opposite direction./s
I am happy to realize that the PEW people have a huge force of members standing at all points along our border (standing no more than 10 feet from each other) interviewing invaders from the south and illegals fleeing from the north back into Mexico, asking them questions on why they are either entering and leaving the U.S..
After all, that is the only way they could get their data for this amazing study....RIGHT?
What an accomplishment!
For anyone who believes this study, call me, for I have a business deal to speak to you about...and it can make you very wealthy without hardly any work what-so-ever...just a little “seed money.”
that the invasion from the south will make whitey a minority by 2025
This ‘study’ isn’t worth the paper it’s written on. They are still pouring over the border into the US.
Naaah, this is just trying to reassuringly soften up the public for the coming immigration legislation attempts this fall.
Maybe less illegals Cause Obama has destroyed all jobs in the U.S.
“Apprehensions of Mexicans trying to cross the border illegally have plummeted by more than 70% in recent years, from more than 1 million in 2005 to 286,000 in 2011”
If this is true, it’s only because they are ALL here already and no one wants to admit it!
The standstill appears to be the result of many factors, including the weakened U.S. job and housing construction markets,
BS! Even if they can’t find work, they would still pour in for the freebies obama would give them.
Yup. They probably only manage to catch 1 out of 10,,,if that many.
Isn’t Mexico’s unemployment rate lower than ours?
The Rats wont be in a bind. Just because they went back to Mexico doesn’t stop them from voting.
Obama has screwed up the country so badly, that even starving Mexicans no longer want to sneak in!