Posted on 05/01/2012 6:43:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
| Obama | Romney | |
|---|---|---|
| 04/24-29/2012 | 46% | 47% |
| 04/23-28/2012 | 47% | 46% |
| 04/22-27/2012 | 48% | 45% |
| 04/21-26/2012 | 50% | 43% |
| 04/20-24/2012 | 49% | 43% |
| 04/19-23/2012 | 49% | 42% |
| 04/18-22/2012 | 47% | 44% |
| 04/17-21/2012 | 47% | 44% |
| 04/16-20/2012 | 45% | 46% |
| 04/15-19/2012 | 44% | 47% |
These are the results when registered voters are asked: "Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each five-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 2,200 registered voters; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
The debates are basically going to be Obama saying ad nauseum, “You did the same thing, Mitt.”
The campaign is going to be one long dreary slog to the bottonm- with the least unpopular candidate after the mudfest emerging as the winner.
National polling isn’t as important as state polling because we elect on a state bases”
You are absolutely correct.
That said...I think at somepoint, if for example, Romney were to be 3 points on top naitonally for an extended period, it seems that those national polls sort of “pull” the state polls in that driection over time. It is interesting to watch every 4 years, and I doubt this year will be any different....
The national polls are irrelevant....except indirectly and it seems in that way they gain relevance as fall approaches
As the trend manifests itself it will gather momentum and at some place along that trend line Obama will make a decision about whether to contrive an October Surprise. I have been warning since February or early March that we should not fear the Ides of March But Beware the Surprises of October (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2854282/posts).
As the numbers trend against Obama it becomes increasingly likely that we will see a strike on Iran.
If Romney actually runs AGAINST Obama’s policies, spending, ‘forward’ scheme and the inevitable cliff it imposes, he might win.
If Romney runs on ‘Obama is a nice guy’, Romney loses just like McCain did.
Romney needs to step up and show a definitive and distinct difference between him and his direction for the Nation as opposed to Obama’s.
Otherwise, Obama will eek out a 2nd term.
That depends. If SCOTUS strikes down Obamacare, Romney will have a huge card up his sleeve in that he'll always be able to answer, "at least what I did was constitutional" whenever the subject gets brought up.
If SCOTUS doesn't strike down Obamacare, yes, this charge becomes more difficult to defend against.
Being ahead doesn’t matter if there is no path to 270 (see Al Gore)...he has got to win FLA, NC, OHIO, VA
Bull. A handful of Freepers may stay home or vote for Virgil Goode but all polling currently indicates that Romney is slowly winning over conservative voters, many of whom supported him (albeit begrudgingly) in their state primaries. They'll show up to vote for him.
I believe the correct term would be "deeply saddened."
Hundreds? A couple dozen tops. They just show up on every thread and post the same talking points.
The overwhelming majority of Freepers are ABO. It's just they've been badgered into silence.
A poll of LIKELY voters is more accurate than a poll of registered voters.
This is a spin poll, notice its “registered voters’ not “likely voters”. The spin doctors want to show nobama just barely behind to juice up sympathy. If they showed the butthead was 15% down, then his friends would be so down they would not bother to vote.
Propaganda does not sleep, thrust damn little you read or hear from those with a purpose.
Registered voters polling is worthless.
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