Skip to comments.Election 2012: The Core Four States: Obama 46%, Romney 43%
Posted on 05/03/2012 8:37:56 AM PDT by xzins
With the Republican primary race all but settled, President Obama still holds a slight lead over likely GOP nominee Mitt Romney in combined polling of the key swing states of Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia.
New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying of Likely Voters in the so-called Core Four states finds that Obama picks up 46% support to Romneys 43%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 1,271 Likely Voters in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia was conducted on April 16-30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. .Rasmussen subscribers can log in to read the rest of this article.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
This suggests that Santorum's base -- a large pro-life, pro marriage social conservative base -- did not transfer their loyalty to Romney.
As predicted, Romney stands a very large chance of losing the social conservative base.
If true I will forever blame the social conservatives for further burying our cause. The newly appointed SUPREMES will forever hail wrath upon them.....
Yeah, yeah, Romney is losing six months out. Fact is, the Kenyan Commie isn’t polling at 50%. And any incumbent not at that mark is in trouble.
Typical Republican! Already ginning up the “Blame the SocialCons”. It will be Mitts fault if he loses because he is a poor campaigner who is sodden and has no personality along with him going moderate instead promoting conservatism which he is incapable of doing
They don’t care. They are not permitted by faith and conscience to support a pro-abortion, pro-gay marriage candidate.
Everyone knew they were a large voting block.
I for one will be campaigning against both Romney and Obama in Ohio and campaigning for Virgil Goode, the Constitution Party Candidate, a true conservative!
Virgil Goodes’ Stand on the Issues at link:
Exactly...he is under 50% at a time when the media is talking about Osama Bin Laden day and night...
I think Obama is in trouble.
Ping to article.
Romney already showing weak in major electoral states.
The fears of conservatives are being realized in romney’s weakness.
He will reject the base and campaign for liberal votes. That has been the prediction. It makes sense for a liberal such as him.
As MrR says, “Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line.” It is sad to see that happening here on FR, so many compromising and just falling in line which is what Mitt has been counting on from the beginning. They are playing into the liberal’s hands.
Well, he`s your problem now GOP. YOU try drag the leftist over the finish line.
I have stopped giving a darn about the general and have already chalked it up as a loss no matter who wins. My fear is that Romney will crater so badly that he will crush the GOP down ticket.
Yes, a war is remains to be fought to defeat Obama, but Obama is not winning at this time. He is at 46% with 4% undecided. He would have to win all of the undecideds to get to 50%.
Additionally, there are 7% for ‘another candidate’. There is no ‘other candidate’ on the left to siphon votes off. These are conservatives or moderates who are not yet over the bruising primary. Some are likely Paul fans who are unlikely to pull the lever for Obama. They will go third party, stay home, or decide Romney and the GOP is better than Obama.
I was told yesterday that history shows that ANY President’s poll numbers at THIS point in the election process (May)...predict where he will be in November....evidently the numbers won’t rise from here....for Obomba....that means...he will stay at about 46% (where this person told me he is now...FWIW)
What's your solution? We can't control who the nominee is at this stage. Mitt will be the nominee at the convention, and it is realistically Romney or Obama being sworn in next January. I understand all the pitfalls of a Romney presidency...I am not excited about it at all. The devastation of another term of Obama is not an option. 2-3 Left-wing Supreme Justices, further economic devastation, permanent Obamacare just to name a few.
That's why I'm putting the emphasis on the down ticket races. Our goal is not just to defeat the particular big government liberal currently occupying our White House, it's to defeat big government liberalism. If the choice really is Obama/Romney, then we cannot defeat liberalism at the executive level and we must defeat it in Congress. We need, far more than ever before, to get every conservative to the polls in November so that we can repeat the Congressional landslide of 2010. We need a House that will propose and pass responsible spending bills with a balanced budget. We need a Senate that will reject liberal activist judicial nominees and demand a judiciary that defers to the Constitution of the United States as the "Supreme Law of the Land". It's our job as voters to make that happen in spite of the GOP-e shenanigans.
OK...so what do we do now? We didn’t manage to get the GOP to nominate a conservative, so do we vote third-party, or do we resign ourselves to the moderate?
I don’t have the answer, but I can understand the reasoning behind voting for Romney to get Obama out.
I mean, going from radical leftist to managerial statist is a bit of an improvement, I suppose.
Obama at 46% is still a disaster for him.
Oh, somebody call the whaaaaambulance on this one.
Romney is a liberal. I don't care how big of an R anyone places after his name, the guy is a say anything politician that goes against the very fiber of being Conservative and you want to hold OTHERS responsible for that? Nice projections there, rino.
Obama doesnt need 50% in November
In 1992 Clinton got 43% Bush I had 36% and Perot got 19%
The undecided are probably Conservatives and if they wont go for the liberal Romney they sure wont go for his twin Obama...
All Obama needs is what he has now...
and his lead will get larger after the convention should Romney manage to bulldoze his way to the finish..
I am voting for Virgil Goode, leaving the GOP to die a painful death. I am voting my conscience and trusting God.
Like Daniel under Nebuchenezzar, I will stand by my faith and principles and pray.
If we can get conservatives to support a real candidate, then we take away the power of the GOP elite. If we don’t take down that oligarchy we will keep getting more and more liberals posing as Republicans. Every election in the last 20 years they have put up more and more liberal candidates. They need to learn their lesson and that will only happen if we make them irrelevant.