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Poll: Romney catches Obama in Ohio, Florida but trails in Pa.
Chicago Tribune ^ | 03 MAY 12 | Kim Geiger

Posted on 05/03/2012 2:20:27 PM PDT by Drew68

WASHINGTON -- It’s been more than 50 years since a candidate has won the White House without carrying at least two of the three swing states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, and a new poll shows Mitt Romney neck and neck with President Obama in two of them.

Romney, who trailed Obama 49% to 42% in Florida and 47% to 41% in Ohio in late March, is now statistically tied with the president, 44% to 43% in Florida and 42% to 44% in Ohio, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll of voters in the three states.

Obama, however, has improved on his lead in Pennsylvania, where he beats Romney 47% to 39%, up from the 45%-42% lead he enjoyed in March.

Quinnipiac surveyed 3,467 voters in the three states in interviews on cellphones and land lines from April 25 through May 1. The results of the survey, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points, led Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the university’s polling institute, to conclude that Obama is doing “slightly better” than Romney in the three states.

“What appears to be keeping Romney in the ballgame, at least in Florida and Ohio, is the perception he can better fix the economy,” Brown said.

(Excerpt) Read more at chicagotribune.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012; election; elections; polls; romney; romney2012
Not good news for the dog eater.
1 posted on 05/03/2012 2:20:35 PM PDT by Drew68
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To: Drew68

If Romney’s caught the imposter in Ohio and Florida then you can stick a fork in Zero, he’s done.


2 posted on 05/03/2012 2:30:35 PM PDT by JoeA (JoeA / Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est)
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To: Drew68

Not good news for the dog eater...

...except for the fact that RCP shows him with 253 EV’s, which are unlikely to change, and all he needs to do is hold onto the lead he already has in Ohio to win it all...that’s it...win Ohio, a better than even shot right now, and he’s in...
...think my vote’s going to the Constitution Party this year, especially as I live in blue Pa...for all the good it will do me...


3 posted on 05/03/2012 2:33:55 PM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: JoeA
you can stick a fork in Zero, he's done.

God, I hope so.

It won't be this easy though. There's still a battle ahead.

4 posted on 05/03/2012 2:33:54 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: IrishBrigade
think my vote's going to the Constitution Party this year

The only impact Virgil Goode will have on this election is if he throws Virginia to Obama, in which case Goode supporters will deservedly find themselves persona non grata in the opinions of a huge segment of Americans.

5 posted on 05/03/2012 2:38:58 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: Drew68

It’s not good news at all for the messiah.
Romney is at his weakeset right now after the primarys which is normal.
That is going to change drastically in the months to come.
Zero could only hope that the election were held today, because right now would be his best chance, it’s all downhill for him from here.


6 posted on 05/03/2012 2:41:21 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares ( Refusing to kneel before the "messiah".)
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To: Drew68

If Quinnipiac is showing this, this is horrible for thugbama since Quinnipiac is typically favorable to rats in the sampling.


7 posted on 05/03/2012 2:43:33 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Drew68

Mickey Mouse could beat Obama this time around. But, there really is no difference between Romney and Obama, so I will not be voting for either one.


8 posted on 05/03/2012 2:44:07 PM PDT by petercooper (The one difference between Obama & Romney: Obama is only half white.)
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To: Drew68

The polls that I’ve seen in the last few days are all over the place. Romney up here, Obama up there. Depending on what poll it is, Romney is ahead in a state while another poll has Obama ahead in the same state. Polls won’t mean much until Labor Day.


9 posted on 05/03/2012 2:47:14 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Drew68

Problem we have here in PA is this - at each end of the Commonwealth, are two major cities, Philly and Pittsburgh.
Both are heavily RAT cities (no pun intended). As such, we need a SUPER STRONG Republican showing in the rest of the Commonwealth to neutralize the big city vote.


10 posted on 05/03/2012 2:59:13 PM PDT by Mr. Wright
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To: Signalman
Polls won’t mean much until Labor Day.

True but Obama should be far ahead right now and then the polls would tighten up closer to election day. That's he's neck and neck with Romney (who technically isn't even the nominee yet) at this early stage does not bode well for his reelection.

Right not the only thing Romney really has to do is not screw up.

11 posted on 05/03/2012 3:00:17 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: Drew68
Not good news for the dog eater

Not good news for some Freepers.

12 posted on 05/03/2012 3:06:21 PM PDT by paudio (no tagline for now...)
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To: IrishBrigade
...think my vote’s going to the Constitution Party this year, especially as I live in blue Pa...for all the good it will do me...

Pa isn't very blue at all.

I think it was Carville that said; "Pennsylvania is Pittsburgh and Philadephia with Alabama in between".

Of course voting third party could make it more blue than it should be. :)

13 posted on 05/03/2012 3:07:03 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: paudio

“Not good news for some Freepers.”

They want Obama to lose but they don’t want Romney to win. Don’t ask me to figure out how that could make any sense.


14 posted on 05/03/2012 3:20:40 PM PDT by ari-freedom
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To: Mr. Wright
Problem we have here in PA is this - at each end of the Commonwealth, are two major cities, Philly and Pittsburgh.

Allegheny County (includes Pittsburgh) went 45% Toomey, 55% Sestak in 2010. Philadelphia County(includes Philly) went 16% Toomey, 84% Sestak in 2010.

Philly is the real problem, not Pittsburgh. Why can't we just give Philly to New Jersey and let Christie deal with it? :o)

15 posted on 05/03/2012 3:21:59 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: JoeA
....you can stick a fork in Zero,he's done.

A dangerous assumption,IMO.This one's gonna be close,2000 close.If you look at the stats from 2000 you'll not only see that 300 votes made the difference in FL but also that 1000 Nader votes in NH (*four* Electoral Votes),had they gone to algore,would mean "former President algore" today.*Thats* how close 2000 was!

We must fight,scratch and claw our way to the defeat of Bill Ayers's favorite disciple.

16 posted on 05/03/2012 3:24:43 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Unlike Mrs Obama,I've Been Proud Of This Country My *Entire* Life!)
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To: smoothsailing

I say we take off and nuke it from orbit.


17 posted on 05/03/2012 3:24:43 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: Drew68

Pennsylvania is not a must win. FL and OH are. This is encouraging news for those hoping to retire Obama in 2013.


18 posted on 05/03/2012 3:25:43 PM PDT by newzjunkey (I advocate separation of school and sport)
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To: Gay State Conservative
This one's gonna be close,2000 close.

That's why these Virgil Goode fools are making me nervous. 5% for Goode in Virginia (current polling numbers in his home state) could be just enough to keep those 13 electoral votes in Obama's column. Lose Virginia and Romney's road to 270 just got a helluva lot steeper.

19 posted on 05/03/2012 3:31:52 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: EEGator

LOL!


20 posted on 05/03/2012 3:39:35 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: newzjunkey
Pennsylvania is not a must win. FL and OH are. This is encouraging news for those hoping to retire Obama in 2013.

Lose PA and he'll absolutely need VA, NC and IA. This takes him to 272 according to 270 to win (cool site, BTW). See my previous post on the current perils in Virginia.

21 posted on 05/03/2012 3:39:50 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: smoothsailing

...and I was born there.


22 posted on 05/03/2012 3:46:52 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: smoothsailing

Allegheny went Sestak - so Allegheny is part of the problem, not part of the solution.


23 posted on 05/03/2012 3:48:20 PM PDT by Mr. Wright
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To: Drew68
The problem is that we know, from the liberaltarian votes of the past, that if they can throw the election to Obama they will consider it a great triumph for small constitutionally limited government.

I know. Of course it's insane. But nobody ever accused turd party doo-dads of having the sense they were born with.

24 posted on 05/03/2012 4:03:31 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Mr. Wright

Romney will not win PA under any circumstances. My state is a case in point on why the RNC’s strategy to “appeal to moderates” won’t work. The libs in the Philly area will stick with Obama and Romney won’t turn out the base in Carville’s “T” in Pennsylvania. These are blue collar people with classic American values, not just mindless “haters” of the current President. A millionaire Mormon from Massachusetts has no appeal to them. They’re independent thinkers and don’t just vote party line. The candidate has to appeal to them. Turnout was down in the primary from 2008 despite McCain already having all the delegates he needed in 2008. McCain was a better crossover candidate for PA than Romney and he lost by 10 points. OH and FL were much closer losses for McCain so Romney has a chance there.


25 posted on 05/03/2012 4:04:44 PM PDT by JediJones (From the makers of Romney, Bloomberg/Schwarzenegger 2016. Because the GOP can never go too far left.)
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To: JediJones
Romney will not win PA under any circumstances.

A Republican hasn't won PA since G.H.W. Bush in '88. Not really sure why they call it a swing state. It's pretty solidly blue when it comes to electing a president.

26 posted on 05/03/2012 4:09:05 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: Drew68
obama has been to Ohio about ten times since his election, usually addressing small handpicked crowds of highschool idiots, so I assume he is very worried about the Buckeye State. Not much enthusiasm for him here, despite the plethora of union filth.
27 posted on 05/03/2012 4:09:25 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: hinckley buzzard

I’d rather get a chance in 2016 for a conservative to win than have Romney for 8 years or Romney beaten by a Democrat in 2016. Romney’s a phony, a fraud and a fake. If he wins, then he and others like him are the future of the Republican party. There’s a chance to restore the Republican party as a party that stands and fights for conservative values if he loses, but not if he wins. So spare us the condescending remarks. Third party voting is a valid strategic move.


28 posted on 05/03/2012 4:10:41 PM PDT by JediJones (From the makers of Romney, Bloomberg/Schwarzenegger 2016. Because the GOP can never go too far left.)
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To: JediJones
I’d rather get a chance in 2016 for a conservative to win than have Romney for 8 years or Romney beaten by a Democrat in 2016.

We haven't elected a conservative since 1984. What makes you think we'll get one next cycle?

What we need to do is get the dog-eating Marxist out of the White House!

29 posted on 05/03/2012 4:18:06 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: Mr. Wright

Look at the marginal difference between Allegheny and Philadelphia counties, that tells the tale.

Pittsburgh is a headache, Philadelphia is a rampant cancer.


30 posted on 05/03/2012 4:19:25 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: JoeA

stick a fork in Zero, he’s done.-——————

And feed him to a dog


31 posted on 05/03/2012 4:31:33 PM PDT by Surrounded_too
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To: hinckley buzzard
The problem is that we know, from the liberaltarian votes of the past, that if they can throw the election to Obama they will consider it a great triumph for small constitutionally limited government.

No doubt about it. The third party voters will think they've done a great service and wallow in their delusions of superiority. Strange breed indeed.

32 posted on 05/03/2012 4:41:13 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: Drew68

Because maybe the Tea Party and every other conservative group will get its act together after this year’s debacle. I don’t expect the people who endorsed Santorum will wait until February next time to pick a horse.


33 posted on 05/03/2012 5:00:25 PM PDT by JediJones (From the makers of Romney, Bloomberg/Schwarzenegger 2016. Because the GOP can never go too far left.)
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To: Drew68

This takes him to 272 according to 270 to win (cool site, BTW)...

...if you like playing with 270, do this, if you will...click PA and NV to blue, as RCP has already done, and then look at the winning possibilities that result yields...ten possibiities for dogmeat and five for Romney...and all five require a FL victory, and four others require both FL and OH...on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...


34 posted on 05/03/2012 5:49:25 PM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: IrishBrigade

on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...

...I erred...the dog eater has not three winning combinations without FL or OH, but actually has eight...


35 posted on 05/03/2012 5:55:09 PM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: JediJones
So spare us the condescending remarks. Third party voting is a valid strategic move.

It's your right but it is a tactic not a strategery, and in this case, it's not even a good tactic.

There is, however, no law that prevents stupidity, and you will show us and exercise your rights to the fullest.

I hope that I've spared you the condescending remarks, mook.

36 posted on 05/03/2012 5:57:04 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages, start today.)
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To: Drew68
.


You all really trust this "genuine" MSM Stalinist propaganda ?


Qui bono ?


First ... Obama's gonna use this news to rally the base, especially Hollywood and the ghetto crowd ...


Second ... just for "Mittens" ...

this news is the MSM's effort to "set-in-conrete" Myth's electability before the GOP Tampa Convention ...

Prediction ...

The very "second" that "if" Myth Romney were to win that GOP Nomination ...

his polling numbers (as reported by the MSM) drop like the stock market in 2008 ...

and that's "before" the National Geographic special "seven-part-series" on the Mormon Planey Kolob ... in September 2012 ...



Myth Romney ... and his E-RINO party-thugs deserve "every minute" of the poltical ass-kicking they're gonna get ...



.
37 posted on 05/03/2012 5:59:32 PM PDT by Patton@Bastogne (Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin "will win" the 2012 GOP Nomination in Tampa !)
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To: Drew68

I can hardly contain my excitement.


38 posted on 05/03/2012 6:09:10 PM PDT by Leep (Enemy of the Statist)
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To: IrishBrigade
I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...

You're right. I get wrapped in national poll results and forget that at the end of the day, the only thing that matters are electoral votes. In addition to Florida and Ohio, Virginia and North Carolina are must-have states for Romney and, ouch, like FL and OH, they both went blue last election.

39 posted on 05/03/2012 6:11:52 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: Mr. Wright

“Problem we have here in PA is this - at each end of the Commonwealth, are two major cities, Philly and Pittsburgh.
Both are heavily RAT cities (no pun intended)”

Give Philadelphia and its suburbs to New Jersey.
Give Pittsburgh to... hmmm, that’s harder....

Could give it to Ohio, but that might “tip” Ohio to the blue side.
Don’t give it to West Virginia, WV is the only state north of the Mason-Dixon line that voted for McCain over Obama (I believe).

How about, “West Maryland”? :)


40 posted on 05/03/2012 7:23:26 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: Drew68

I live in Pennsylvania. The good news is, outside the largest cities, the majority is fairly conservative.
The bad news is, the probable nominee is not a conservative.
I predict Romney will get less than 200 electoral votes in November.


41 posted on 05/03/2012 7:28:54 PM PDT by Lady Lucky (Fleece, tallow, and get out to be weighed.)
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To: IrishBrigade

“...if you like playing with 270, do this, if you will...click PA and NV to blue, as RCP has already done, and then look at the winning possibilities that result yields...ten possibiities for dogmeat and five for Romney...and all five require a FL victory, and four others require both FL and OH...on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...”

My predictions:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2872829/posts?page=50#50
270 (Romney) to 268 (Obama), unless there is a “Nebraska split”.


42 posted on 05/03/2012 7:29:35 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: newzjunkey
Pennsylvania is not a must win. FL and OH are. This is encouraging news for those hoping to retire Obama in 2013.

I think you're right.I haven't sat down and done the new math required by the census but I think all we have to do is take the same states that W took in 2000.Seems "do-able" to me now that the bloom is off Osama's rose.

43 posted on 05/03/2012 7:34:21 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Unlike Mrs Obama,I've Been Proud Of This Country My *Entire* Life!)
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To: Drew68

Lose Virginia and Romney’s road to 270 just got a helluva lot steeper.

I guess the GOP should have considered the effect nominating a liberal would have on it’s base. May be the elites could have compromised and supported Newt or Santorum. The elites have made it clear that it’s their way or the highway and now they a crying because some chose the highway.


44 posted on 05/03/2012 7:56:18 PM PDT by freedomfiter2 (Brutal acts of commission and yawning acts of omission both strengthen the hand of the devil.)
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To: randita; conservative_pa; Lazlo in PA; smoothsailing; Las Vegas Dave; Farmer Dean; LS; ...

We’ve got to get Obama out of there. I just with we had a better nominee.


45 posted on 05/04/2012 5:12:38 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (A liberal's compassion is limited to the size of other peoples' paychecks)
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To: Drew68
Right handed sock puppet fighting left handed sock puppet. Yawn...


46 posted on 05/04/2012 11:11:44 AM PDT by American in Israel (A wise man's heart directs him to the right, but the foolish mans heart directs him toward the left.)
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To: Clintonfatigued; ADemocratNoMore; Akron Al; arbee4bush; agrace; ATOMIC_PUNK; Badeye; Bikers4Bush; ..
Special thanks to Clintonfatigued for the ping.


Ohio Ping!

To be added to the Ohio Ping List, please freepmail,
(the three of us), Flutters, Whenifhow, and LasVegasDave.

47 posted on 05/04/2012 1:49:58 PM PDT by Las Vegas Dave ("All 57 states, or is it 58, must stand together and defeat O-bozo! VOTE the usurper out!!")
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To: Drew68

This election just has this vibe to it that the Democrats and their media minions are much more nervous than they want to show. Romney takes Ohio and Florida, and Obama is all but over. Obama had a momentum bubble for being the first black President and people always want to be a part of history, but now that that is over states like Virginia, Indiana and North Carolina are coming home. New Hampshire is a lost cause for him with Romney being the strong nominee. Frankly, I look at the map and don’t see a plausible Obama win. He is going to have to fight in blue Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa and Philadelphia. He is competitive but at a fundamental disadvantage in Colorado and Nevada. And even if he wins all of that, all of it, he still loses without Ohio and Florida. Obama needs a game changer or Romney will be President.


48 posted on 05/04/2012 9:20:51 PM PDT by Dragonspirit (Always remember President Token won only by defecting on his CFR pledge.)
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To: Patton@Bastogne

“Myth Romney ... and his E-RINO party-thugs deserve “every minute” of the poltical ass-kicking they’re gonna get ... “

and America deserves 4 more years of BO? God Save America.


49 posted on 05/05/2012 8:30:49 PM PDT by IWONDR
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To: IWONDR
.


America does not need the choice between a half-black, lying, scum-bag liberal (non-christian) ...

and a half-white lying, scum-bag liberal (non-christian) for the 2012 presidential election ...



Someday ... if The Lord genuinely blesses America ... we'll see see someone like Sarah Palin in the White House ...

and BTW ... neither of the (liberal) options above like Sarah Palin ...

and BOTH of these scumbags have ridiculed her, and sent their "evil" political machines after her in an attempt to destroy her ... and her family ...



.
50 posted on 05/05/2012 8:54:21 PM PDT by Patton@Bastogne (Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin "will win" the 2012 GOP Nomination in Tampa !)
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