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Poll: Romney catches Obama in Ohio, Florida but trails in Pa.
Chicago Tribune ^ | 03 MAY 12 | Kim Geiger

Posted on 05/03/2012 2:20:27 PM PDT by Drew68

WASHINGTON -- It’s been more than 50 years since a candidate has won the White House without carrying at least two of the three swing states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, and a new poll shows Mitt Romney neck and neck with President Obama in two of them.

Romney, who trailed Obama 49% to 42% in Florida and 47% to 41% in Ohio in late March, is now statistically tied with the president, 44% to 43% in Florida and 42% to 44% in Ohio, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll of voters in the three states.

Obama, however, has improved on his lead in Pennsylvania, where he beats Romney 47% to 39%, up from the 45%-42% lead he enjoyed in March.

Quinnipiac surveyed 3,467 voters in the three states in interviews on cellphones and land lines from April 25 through May 1. The results of the survey, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points, led Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the university’s polling institute, to conclude that Obama is doing “slightly better” than Romney in the three states.

“What appears to be keeping Romney in the ballgame, at least in Florida and Ohio, is the perception he can better fix the economy,” Brown said.

(Excerpt) Read more at ...

TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012; election; elections; polls; romney; romney2012
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To: Drew68

I live in Pennsylvania. The good news is, outside the largest cities, the majority is fairly conservative.
The bad news is, the probable nominee is not a conservative.
I predict Romney will get less than 200 electoral votes in November.

41 posted on 05/03/2012 7:28:54 PM PDT by Lady Lucky (Fleece, tallow, and get out to be weighed.)
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To: IrishBrigade

“...if you like playing with 270, do this, if you PA and NV to blue, as RCP has already done, and then look at the winning possibilities that result yields...ten possibiities for dogmeat and five for Romney...and all five require a FL victory, and four others require both FL and OH...on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...”

My predictions:
270 (Romney) to 268 (Obama), unless there is a “Nebraska split”.

42 posted on 05/03/2012 7:29:35 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: newzjunkey
Pennsylvania is not a must win. FL and OH are. This is encouraging news for those hoping to retire Obama in 2013.

I think you're right.I haven't sat down and done the new math required by the census but I think all we have to do is take the same states that W took in 2000.Seems "do-able" to me now that the bloom is off Osama's rose.

43 posted on 05/03/2012 7:34:21 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Unlike Mrs Obama,I've Been Proud Of This Country My *Entire* Life!)
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To: Drew68

Lose Virginia and Romney’s road to 270 just got a helluva lot steeper.

I guess the GOP should have considered the effect nominating a liberal would have on it’s base. May be the elites could have compromised and supported Newt or Santorum. The elites have made it clear that it’s their way or the highway and now they a crying because some chose the highway.

44 posted on 05/03/2012 7:56:18 PM PDT by freedomfiter2 (Brutal acts of commission and yawning acts of omission both strengthen the hand of the devil.)
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To: randita; conservative_pa; Lazlo in PA; smoothsailing; Las Vegas Dave; Farmer Dean; LS; ...

We’ve got to get Obama out of there. I just with we had a better nominee.

45 posted on 05/04/2012 5:12:38 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (A liberal's compassion is limited to the size of other peoples' paychecks)
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To: Drew68
Right handed sock puppet fighting left handed sock puppet. Yawn...

46 posted on 05/04/2012 11:11:44 AM PDT by American in Israel (A wise man's heart directs him to the right, but the foolish mans heart directs him toward the left.)
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To: Clintonfatigued; ADemocratNoMore; Akron Al; arbee4bush; agrace; ATOMIC_PUNK; Badeye; Bikers4Bush; ..
Special thanks to Clintonfatigued for the ping.

Ohio Ping!

To be added to the Ohio Ping List, please freepmail,
(the three of us), Flutters, Whenifhow, and LasVegasDave.

47 posted on 05/04/2012 1:49:58 PM PDT by Las Vegas Dave ("All 57 states, or is it 58, must stand together and defeat O-bozo! VOTE the usurper out!!")
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To: Drew68

This election just has this vibe to it that the Democrats and their media minions are much more nervous than they want to show. Romney takes Ohio and Florida, and Obama is all but over. Obama had a momentum bubble for being the first black President and people always want to be a part of history, but now that that is over states like Virginia, Indiana and North Carolina are coming home. New Hampshire is a lost cause for him with Romney being the strong nominee. Frankly, I look at the map and don’t see a plausible Obama win. He is going to have to fight in blue Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa and Philadelphia. He is competitive but at a fundamental disadvantage in Colorado and Nevada. And even if he wins all of that, all of it, he still loses without Ohio and Florida. Obama needs a game changer or Romney will be President.

48 posted on 05/04/2012 9:20:51 PM PDT by Dragonspirit (Always remember President Token won only by defecting on his CFR pledge.)
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To: Patton@Bastogne

“Myth Romney ... and his E-RINO party-thugs deserve “every minute” of the poltical ass-kicking they’re gonna get ... “

and America deserves 4 more years of BO? God Save America.

49 posted on 05/05/2012 8:30:49 PM PDT by IWONDR
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America does not need the choice between a half-black, lying, scum-bag liberal (non-christian) ...

and a half-white lying, scum-bag liberal (non-christian) for the 2012 presidential election ...

Someday ... if The Lord genuinely blesses America ... we'll see see someone like Sarah Palin in the White House ...

and BTW ... neither of the (liberal) options above like Sarah Palin ...

and BOTH of these scumbags have ridiculed her, and sent their "evil" political machines after her in an attempt to destroy her ... and her family ...

50 posted on 05/05/2012 8:54:21 PM PDT by Patton@Bastogne (Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin "will win" the 2012 GOP Nomination in Tampa !)
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