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To: Drew68

This takes him to 272 according to 270 to win (cool site, BTW)...

...if you like playing with 270, do this, if you will...click PA and NV to blue, as RCP has already done, and then look at the winning possibilities that result yields...ten possibiities for dogmeat and five for Romney...and all five require a FL victory, and four others require both FL and OH...on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...


34 posted on 05/03/2012 5:49:25 PM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: IrishBrigade

on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...

...I erred...the dog eater has not three winning combinations without FL or OH, but actually has eight...


35 posted on 05/03/2012 5:55:09 PM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: IrishBrigade
I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...

You're right. I get wrapped in national poll results and forget that at the end of the day, the only thing that matters are electoral votes. In addition to Florida and Ohio, Virginia and North Carolina are must-have states for Romney and, ouch, like FL and OH, they both went blue last election.

39 posted on 05/03/2012 6:11:52 PM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: IrishBrigade

“...if you like playing with 270, do this, if you will...click PA and NV to blue, as RCP has already done, and then look at the winning possibilities that result yields...ten possibiities for dogmeat and five for Romney...and all five require a FL victory, and four others require both FL and OH...on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...”

My predictions:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2872829/posts?page=50#50
270 (Romney) to 268 (Obama), unless there is a “Nebraska split”.


42 posted on 05/03/2012 7:29:35 PM PDT by Road Glide
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